Alabama (4-0) at Mississippi State (4-0) leads week 5 predictions – Savvy Game Line

  Savvy Index   2026       predictions week 5         9/28/26       rank accuracy last week:    56 – 15       this season: 283 – 48 wins losses game value     Oregon St. 2 2 34 Both teams are playing well   Colorado St. 2 2 28 above Savvy Index projections.               Fresno St. 3 1 27 WSU qb Cade Pinnick throws more   Washington St. 1 3 23 interceptions than touchdowns.               Navy 1 2 24     Air Force 2 1 28                 Cincinnati 4 0 27 This games comes with a   Arizona 3 1 30 very high upset alert.               Baylor 3 1 22 ASU attendance is way down this year.   Arizona St. 2 1 30 Are fans losing interest?               Toledo 3 1 42 Toledo rb John Alan Ricthter   Ball St. 1 3 17 has already thrown 11 td passes.               Utah St. 1 3 14 BSU qb Maddux Madsen has 24 Boise St. 3 1 34 yet to throw an interception this year.               W Michigan 2 2 33 WMU nearly beat Michigan in week 1   Buffalo 2 2 17 but has since performed below expectations.               Memphis 3 1 41     Charlotte 0 4 17               8 Miami Fl 4 0 33 There isn’t much doubt anymore about   Clemson 3 1 21 which of these teams will win this game each year.               Akron 1 3 20     C Michigan 2 2 27                 Georgia So. 1 3 28     Coastal Car 1 3 23               15 Texas Tech 4 0 37 TTU is sputtering because of Hammond.   Colorado 2 2 17 It’s Castellanos time in Lubbock.               Syracuse 1 2 24 Experts say Syracuse   Connecticut 2 2 27 will win by 5+.               Liberty 3 1 28 Delaware is performing   Delaware 2 2 23 better each week.               Texas Southern 1 3 14 FAU receiver Kelby Valshon   Florida Atl. 3 1 41 is going to come up big in this game.               Virginia 3 0 31 Virginia should easily surpass   Florida St. 2 2 24 Vegas’ 2.5 predicted spread.               Vanderbilt 3 1 21   1 Georgia 3 0 36                 Old Dominion 1 3 24 I find it odd that the experts favor Old   Georgia St. 3 1 31 Dominion when Georgia St is playing way above expectations.               San Jose St. 2 2 21 Sunday game.   Hawai’i 1 3 25                 UCF 3 1 24 UCF has much better momentum   Houston 3 1 30 so this rates as a high upset game.               Purdue 1 3 21 Oddsmakers set the spread   Illinois 2 2 41 at just 3 points. It will be many times more.             5 Ohio St. 3 1 24 This should be close but OSU 9 Iowa 4 0 23 has a stronger roster.               W Virginia 3 1 25     Iowa St. 2 2 28                 Marshall 3 1 20     James Madison 4 0 41                 Middle Tenn 2 2 21 I doubt Kansas will produce the   Kansas 1 2 28 20 point spread that experts predict.               Ohio 2 2 26 KSU averages 31 points on even dates and 1.5   Kent St. 2 2 28 on odd dates. This is an odd-date game.               Army 2 1 32     LA Tech 1 2 24                 Arkansas St. 2 2 21 This should be a well-played   Louisiana 3 1 28 and very competitive game.               McNeese St. 1 3 0   7 LSU 3 1 57                 E Michigan 2 3 21     Massachusetts 4 0 30                 Bowling Green 0 4 16 Bowling Green’s defense gives up   Miami Oh 2 2 35 6.8 ypc to opposing running backs.             17 Michigan 3 1 26     Minnesota 3 1 21               4 Alabama 4 0 34 Miss St is among the top five 20 Mississippi St. 4 0 28 on Savvy for greatest number of positive trends.             11 Florida 4 0 35 But Missouri WR Cayden Lee   Missouri 3 1 30 is going to be hard to stop.               Maryland 2 2 21 Maryland’s Chris Durr leads the   Nebraska 4 0 33 nation with 35 receptions this season.               UTEP 1 3 17     New Mexico 3 1 36                 W Kentucky 1 3 27     New Mexico St. 1 3 28               2 Notre Dame 4 0 34 Notre Dame’s defense   N Carolina 2 1 13 allows just 8 ppg.               Louisville 2 2 34 High upset potential because Louisville’s   N Carolina St. 2 2 29 defense has a lot of problems right now.               Wyoming 2 2 12 NDSU has scored over 30   N Dakota St. 4 0 31 points in all four games this year.             18 Penn St. 3 1 31 I think Savvy’s 11 point   Northwestern 2 1 20 spread might be a little high.               UTSA 3 1 37 This may be closer than expected since UTSA’s   Rice 1 3 20 defense has given up 101 pts in the past three games.             6 Indiana 4 0 42 Okay, so it’s not the same IU   Rutgers 1 3 14 we saw last year but the Hoosiers are still pretty good.               Texas St. 2 2 33 Texas St. rb Torrance Burgess Jr.   San Diego St. 1 3 28 averages more than 8 yards per carry.               Boston Col 2 2 18 I would be surprised if SMU   SMU 3 1 35 hits Vegas’ 20-point spread.               LA Monroe 0 4 23 Careful here … So Alabama is the worst   S Alabama 2 2 38 rush defense team in America.               Kentucky 3 1 28 Kentucky needs to find a way to stop   S Carolina 2 2 32 the run once opponents get near the goal line.             12 BYU 3 0 33 I’ll be surprised if TCU’s anemic offense   TCU 2 2 17 comes up with two or more touchdowns.               Auburn 3 1 24   16 Tennessee 3 1 28                 Arkansas 2 2 19 Two teams that are both worse than expected. 21 Texas A&M 2 2 33 . . . but Arkansas is worser.               N Texas 2 2 31 Experts favor   Tulsa 3 1 27 Tulsa by 2.5.               Samford 1 3 7     UAB 2 2 44                 California 2 2 24     UNLV 2 2 27                 Washington 3 1 27 The season is getting away from both of 22 USC 4 1 30 these once-exalted programs.               Temple 1 3 19 USF metrics on Savvy have gone negative   USF 4 0 33 and point to potential upset – soon.             25 Pittsburgh 4 0 28 Oddsmakers favor   Virginia Tech 4 0 24 Va Tech by 4.5.               Stanford 2 2 24 Stanford’s success comes from   Wake Forest 3 1 32 being 2nd nationally for fewest turnovers.               Michigan St. 2 2 21 After a slow start, Wisconsin   Wisconsin 3 1 28 has three impressive wins in a row.