H2 2026 Outlook: Build for Breadth, Against the Grain


True resilience is found beyond the crowded trades


TL;DR. The first half of 2026 is one for the books. An energy shock from the Iran War has rewritten the arc of inflation and interest rates, while a seismic technological shift rewires every corner of the modern economy. For investors, the halfway point offers an opportunity to review and reset – and build a more resilient portfolio that could withstand challenges ahead. Overall, we think the second half of 2026 is the time to: Diversify, for real — beyond increasingly concentrated indices, crowded trades. Get selective in AI — Back the disciplined, disrupting monetisers over the disrupted and cash-strained spenders. Brace for the inflation bump — Ripples from the energy shock could keep prices sticky into year-end, before disinflationary forces reassert themselves. Capture income — Elevated yields open a rare chance to lock in income at levels unseen in years….



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