{"id":82846,"date":"2025-02-11T23:13:25","date_gmt":"2025-02-11T23:13:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/peraltafinancing.com\/business\/investing\/the-weekly-wire-is-the-fed-finished\/"},"modified":"2025-02-11T23:13:25","modified_gmt":"2025-02-11T23:13:25","slug":"the-weekly-wire-is-the-fed-finished","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=82846","title":{"rendered":"The Weekly Wire: Is the Fed Finished?"},"content":{"rendered":" \r\n<br><div>\n\n<p>Last week the Federal Reserve raised the Fed Funds Rate by 25 bps, to a range of 4.75% on the lower end and 5.0% on the upper end (see chart), the ninth interest rate increase of the current rate hiking cycle, and an increase that took the Fed Fund\u2019s Rate to its highest level since 2007. Despite the market volatility of late, there wasn\u2019t that much doubt going into the March meeting as to where the Fed Fund\u2019s Rate would land coming out of the March meeting.<\/p>\n\n\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The same really can\u2019t be said about the path forward for monetary policy, at least as of today; based on the latest Summary of Economic Projections \u2013 often referred to as the Fed\u2019s Dot Plot \u2013 our central bank is expecting one more rate hike this cycle, taking the Fed Fund\u2019s Rate to a terminal level of 5.0% to 5.25%. That said, the Fed has also acknowledged that the travails of the banking system \u2013 here at home and increasingly, it seems, in Europe \u2013 have created tremendous uncertainty for the financial system specifically and the real economy generally. Said differently, the Fed thinks it needs to raise rates by another 25bps, but it\u2019s really not so sure it should. And further reflecting the uncertainty around the path forward for monetary policy, Wall Street, at least as of today, doesn\u2019t see the Fed raising rates again this cycle, pricing in no change to the Fed Funds Rate at the bank\u2019s May meeting and pricing in a 25 bps rate cut at the bank\u2019s June meeting.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->\n\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Fed has an unenviable job \u2013 trying to solve for price stability and full employment for the world\u2019s largest and most important economy with every decision it makes second-guessed on Wall Street, in Washington, DC, and in financial centers and political capitals around the globe. For our money, we think the Fed has likely done enough on the rate hiking front and we would be surprised if the next move for the Fed Funds Rate was higher and not lower.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/clients0.brinkercapital.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/BCI_Weekly_Wire_03-27-23_V1_SF-1.pdf\">Download the weekly wire<\/a><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>The views expressed are those of Brinker Capital and are not intended as investment advice or recommendation. For informational purposes only. Brinker Capital Investments, LLC, a registered investment advisor. 866-BCI-3\/27\/2023<\/em><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/div>\r\n<br>\r\n<!-- \/wp:freeform -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Last week the Federal Reserve raised the Fed Funds Rate by 25 bps, to a range of 4.75% on the lower end and 5.0% on the upper end (see chart), the ninth interest rate increase of the current rate hiking cycle, and an increase that took the Fed Fund\u2019s Rate to its highest level since [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":82847,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[96],"tags":[12715,23439,6039,2387],"dealstore":[],"offerexpiration":[],"class_list":["post-82846","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-investing","tag-fed","tag-finished","tag-weekly","tag-wire"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>The Weekly Wire: Is the Fed Finished? 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