{"id":80008,"date":"2025-02-10T14:48:19","date_gmt":"2025-02-10T14:48:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/peraltafinancing.com\/business\/finance\/dell-vs-hp-as-ai-server-hype-cools-jpmorgan-favors-dell-dell-technologies-nysedell\/"},"modified":"2025-02-10T14:48:19","modified_gmt":"2025-02-10T14:48:19","slug":"dell-vs-hp-as-ai-server-hype-cools-jpmorgan-favors-dell-dell-technologies-nysedell","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=80008","title":{"rendered":"Dell Vs. HP: As AI Server Hype Cools, JPMorgan Favors Dell &#8211; Dell Technologies (NYSE:DELL)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<br \/><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.benzinga.com\/files\/images\/story\/2025\/02\/10\/Dell-Technologies-Inc-.jpeg?optimize=medium&amp;dpr=1&amp;auto=webp&amp;height=675&amp;width=1200&amp;fit=crop\" \/><\/p>\n<div id=\"article-body\" itemprop=\"articleBody\" itemscope=\"\" itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/Article\">\n<div>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.benzinga.com\/topic\/artificial-intelligence\">AI server boom<\/a> that once had investors piling into U.S.-branded server stocks is losing steam, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.benzinga.com\/25\/02\/43588299\/us-stocks-to-open-on-a-positive-note-after-a-string-of-bad-mondays-recent-dip-has-reached-its-low-point-says-technical-analyst\">Wall Street isn&#8217;t thrilled<\/a>. <\/p>\n<p>JPMorgan analyst Samik Chatterjee sees mounting near-term challenges for <strong>Dell Technologies Inc<\/strong> <span class=\"ticker\" data-ticker=\"DELL\" data-exchange=\"NYSE\" style=\"display: inline-block;\">DELL<\/span> and <strong>Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co<\/strong> <span class=\"ticker\" data-ticker=\"HPE\" data-exchange=\"NYSE\" style=\"display: inline-block;\">HPE<\/span>, but he&#8217;s siding with Dell as the better bet in this AI reset.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The AI Server Party Winds Down<\/h2>\n<p>For months, AI servers were the golden goose, but concerns are mounting. Chatterjee outlines four key issues: <\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Margin pressure from advanced AI compute configurations, <\/li>\n<li>A more competitive landscape with HPE and Lenovo ramping up, <\/li>\n<li>Supply constraints from<strong> Nvidia Corp<\/strong>&#8216;s <span class=\"ticker\" data-ticker=\"NVDA\" data-exchange=\"NASDAQ\" style=\"display: inline-block;\">NVDA<\/span> Blackwell shipments, and <\/li>\n<li>Doubts about AI training intensity following <strong>DeepSeek<\/strong>&#8216;s recent innovation.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>The result? <\/p>\n<p>Dell is down 8% year-to-date and off 26% from recent highs, while HPE has stayed flat. <\/p>\n<p><strong>Super Micro Computer Inc <\/strong><span class=\"ticker\" data-ticker=\"SMCI\" data-exchange=\"NASDAQ\" style=\"display: inline-block;\">SMCI<\/span>, which rode the AI wave early, is up 19% YTD but faces its own supply and competition hurdles.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Read Also: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.benzinga.com\/insights\/news\/25\/02\/43463093\/if-you-invested-100-in-this-stock-5-years-ago-you-would-have-this-much-today\">If You Invested $100 In This Stock 5 Years Ago, You Would Have This Much Today<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Dell: AI Hangover But A Broader Recovery Looms<\/h2>\n<p>Dell has taken a beating as AI server revenue expectations cooled and broader IT spending remains sluggish. Chatterjee&#8217;s forecast trims consensus revenue growth from high-single digits to 4% and EPS growth from 19% to 11%. But with Dell&#8217;s valuation at just 12x forward earnings, the downside risk appears contained.<\/p>\n<p>JPMorgan sees a turnaround potential later in the year as traditional IT spending picks up.<\/p>\n<p>For the fourth quarter, Dell&#8217;s earnings are expected to slightly exceed consensus, with revenue at $24.8 billion (+11% YoY) and EPS at $2.60 (vs. consensus of $2.52). However, first quarter guidance looks softer, with projected revenue of $23.0 billion (+3% YoY) and EPS of $1.55, below consensus at $1.80. <\/p>\n<p>The bigger challenge? AI server revenue is moderating while traditional IT demand isn&#8217;t bouncing back fast enough.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">HP Enterprise: AI Server Optimism Keeps It Afloat<\/h2>\n<p>HPE has fared better in 2024, thanks in part to optimism around a high-profile deal with <strong>Elon Musk<\/strong>&#8216;s xAI. But that doesn&#8217;t mean it&#8217;s in the clear. AI server revenue is expected to decline in the near term due to limited Blackwell supply and waning demand for Hopper-based systems.<\/p>\n<p>For the first quarter, HPE should hit consensus estimates with revenue of $7.8 billion (+15% YoY) and EPS of $0.49. But the second quarter guidance may disappoint, with revenue projected at $7.8 billion (+9% YoY) and EPS of $0.46, trailing consensus of $0.50. <\/p>\n<p>While HPE benefits from hybrid cloud strength, its AI server momentum isn&#8217;t expected to repeat early in FY25.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Verdict: Dell Over HPE<\/h2>\n<p>JPMorgan acknowledges that both companies face headwinds, but Dell&#8217;s stock has already absorbed much of the AI server reset. While HPE has an xAI win keeping sentiment higher, Dell&#8217;s broader enterprise IT recovery gives it a stronger upside story heading into the second half of 2024.<\/p>\n<p>Bottom line? <\/p>\n<p>The AI server craze is cooling, but for those looking to position for a rebound, Dell appears to be the more de-risked bet.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Read Next: <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><a class=\"text-sm my-4\" href=\"https:\/\/www.benzinga.com\/apis?utm_source=benzinga.com&amp;utm_campaign=article-bottom\" rel=\"noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Market News and Data brought to you by Benzinga APIs<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"copyright\">\u00a9 2025 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The AI server boom that once had investors piling into U.S.-branded server stocks is losing steam, and Wall Street isn&#8217;t thrilled. JPMorgan analyst Samik Chatterjee sees mounting near-term challenges for Dell Technologies Inc DELL and Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co HPE, but he&#8217;s siding with Dell as the better bet in this AI reset. The AI [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":80009,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[93],"tags":[15986,40256,3445,19147,40257,40258,11062,18778],"dealstore":[],"offerexpiration":[],"class_list":["post-80008","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-finance","tag-cools","tag-dell","tag-favors","tag-hype","tag-jpmorgan","tag-nysedell","tag-server","tag-technologies"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Dell Vs. 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