{"id":79969,"date":"2025-02-10T14:11:30","date_gmt":"2025-02-10T14:11:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/peraltafinancing.com\/airline\/gridlock-heads-toward-washingtons-national-airport-cranky-flier\/"},"modified":"2025-02-10T14:11:30","modified_gmt":"2025-02-10T14:11:30","slug":"gridlock-heads-toward-washingtons-national-airport-cranky-flier","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=79969","title":{"rendered":"Gridlock Heads Toward Washington\u2019s National Airport \u2013 Cranky Flier"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>In the wake of the crash of American Eagle 5342 at Washington\/National (DCA) airport, the airport is facing a tough future full of delays as regulators start to restrict the airport\u2019s operation at the same time flights are expanding.  If that makes no sense to you, you are not alone.<\/p>\n<p>As reported by Reuters, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/us\/us-faa-slow-arrivals-reagan-national-airport-reduce-risks-after-crash-2025-02-06\/\">DCA will have its arrival rate reduced from 28 to 26 flights<\/a> per hour to create an extra safety buffer at the airport.  This comes when traffic is at a relative low point, and it\u2019s already going to snarl operations.  But more flying is coming.<\/p>\n<p>I took a look at Anuvu flight status data to show just how things are shaping up.  It\u2019s not great.<\/p>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\">Washington\/National Operational Stats<\/h4>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1000\" height=\"476\" src=\"https:\/\/s6331.pcdn.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-929.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-41128\" srcset=\"https:\/\/s6331.pcdn.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-929.png 1000w, https:\/\/s6331.pcdn.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-929-300x143.png 300w, https:\/\/s6331.pcdn.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-929-150x71.png 150w, https:\/\/s6331.pcdn.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-929-768x366.png 768w, https:\/\/s6331.pcdn.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-929-320x152.png 320w, https:\/\/s6331.pcdn.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-929-720x343.png 720w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\"\/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em><sup>Data via <a href=\"http:\/\/Anuvu.com\">Anuvu<\/a><\/sup><\/em><\/p>\n<p>You can see relative spikes when weather or, of course, the accident itself, caused brief delays and cancellations.  But as you can see on the right side of the chart, cancellations have been up and on-time operations (arrivals within 14 minutes) down since the accident.<\/p>\n<p>Arrivals in particular are suffering more than departures at the airport, presumably because there\u2019s enough buffer to turn some of the airplanes around even after a later arrival.  But this is just the beginning.<\/p>\n<p>If we take a look at schedules, we are at something of a low point right now.  <\/p>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\">Average Daily Arrivals at Washington\/National<\/h4>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1200\" height=\"656\" src=\"https:\/\/s6331.pcdn.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-930-1200x656.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-41129\" srcset=\"https:\/\/s6331.pcdn.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-930-1200x656.png 1200w, https:\/\/s6331.pcdn.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-930-300x164.png 300w, https:\/\/s6331.pcdn.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-930-150x82.png 150w, https:\/\/s6331.pcdn.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-930-768x420.png 768w, https:\/\/s6331.pcdn.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-930-1536x839.png 1536w, https:\/\/s6331.pcdn.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-930-320x175.png 320w, https:\/\/s6331.pcdn.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-930-720x393.png 720w, https:\/\/s6331.pcdn.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-930-1280x699.png 1280w, https:\/\/s6331.pcdn.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-930-1320x721.png 1320w, https:\/\/s6331.pcdn.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-930.png 1587w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\"\/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em><sup>Data via <a href=\"http:\/\/Cirium.com\">Cirium<\/a><\/sup><\/em><\/p>\n<p>First, we have the five new beyond-perimeter slots which were just awarded.  This will boost operations starting in the very-near future.  You can also see a planned increase from American. I don\u2019t know what that is related to, but my guess is that it may be American stepping in to temporarily use slots that others are parking.<\/p>\n<p>You an see the drop in flying for other airlines on the black line.  Why?  It\u2019s all about the slow waiver program.<\/p>\n<p>You\u2019ll remember that the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) put slot waivers in place for the New York airports to try and reduce the operational gridlock up there.  As part of that, they also allowed airlines to reduce up to 10 percent of operations at DCA without penalty.  Why?  It\u2019s because the FAA knew that many of the New York flights that would go away would likely be on the high-frequenty DCA route.  If it didn\u2019t provide slot relief at DCA, those reductions wouldn\u2019t happen.<\/p>\n<p>With that slot waiver, well, the airlines gladly gave up flights. <\/p>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\">Monthly Arrivals at DCA from New York Airports<\/h4>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1200\" height=\"700\" src=\"https:\/\/s6331.pcdn.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-931-1200x700.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-41130\" srcset=\"https:\/\/s6331.pcdn.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-931-1200x700.png 1200w, https:\/\/s6331.pcdn.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-931-300x175.png 300w, https:\/\/s6331.pcdn.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-931-150x88.png 150w, https:\/\/s6331.pcdn.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-931-768x448.png 768w, https:\/\/s6331.pcdn.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-931-320x187.png 320w, https:\/\/s6331.pcdn.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-931-720x420.png 720w, https:\/\/s6331.pcdn.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-931-1280x747.png 1280w, https:\/\/s6331.pcdn.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-931-1320x770.png 1320w, https:\/\/s6331.pcdn.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-931.png 1476w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\"\/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em><sup>Data via <a href=\"http:\/\/Cirium.com\">Cirium<\/a><\/sup><\/em><\/p>\n<p>That is the state of play at the airport today, but what is the real impact?  I don\u2019t have runway timings, but I did go into March to look at the current number of hourly arrivals on a random Monday. <\/p>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\">Scheduled DCA Arrivals by Hour \u2013 March 10, 2025<\/h4>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1000\" height=\"480\" src=\"https:\/\/s6331.pcdn.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025_02_07-dcahourly.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-41131\" srcset=\"https:\/\/s6331.pcdn.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025_02_07-dcahourly.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/s6331.pcdn.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025_02_07-dcahourly-300x144.jpg 300w, https:\/\/s6331.pcdn.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025_02_07-dcahourly-150x72.jpg 150w, https:\/\/s6331.pcdn.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025_02_07-dcahourly-768x369.jpg 768w, https:\/\/s6331.pcdn.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025_02_07-dcahourly-320x154.jpg 320w, https:\/\/s6331.pcdn.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025_02_07-dcahourly-720x346.jpg 720w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\"\/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em><sup>Data via <a href=\"http:\/\/Cirium.com\">Cirium<\/a><\/sup><\/em><\/p>\n<p>Early in the day, it\u2019s not a problem.  Even in that busy 9am hour, the hours before and after are pretty low, so it won\u2019t have that much of a disruption.  But the noon hour is when things start to get tough.  And the 3pm\/4pm time frame followed by the peak 8pm\/9pm time frame is where arrivals have the potential to really get stacked up since they have two hours in row that fall above the limit.<\/p>\n<p>Now, we have to remember that DCA had relatively decent performance until now, so being over the rate hasn\u2019t been a real hindrance so far.  But schedules were also a little lower before.  Peak times in March have a couple more arrivals than than they did just last month.  And those five new beyond-perimeter flights will be starting soon.  Combine that with the reduction in arrival rate and things are going to be squeezed.<\/p>\n<p>Something is going to have to be done to fix this airport, and the current bandage is not a long-term solution.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In the wake of the crash of American Eagle 5342 at Washington\/National (DCA) airport, the airport is facing a tough future full of delays as regulators start to restrict the airport\u2019s operation at the same time flights are expanding. If that makes no sense to you, you are not alone. As reported by Reuters, DCA [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":79970,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12028],"tags":[12875,17845,17846,40236,2559,5306,40237],"dealstore":[],"offerexpiration":[],"class_list":["post-79969","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-airline","tag-airport","tag-cranky","tag-flier","tag-gridlock","tag-heads","tag-national","tag-washingtons"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Gridlock Heads Toward Washington\u2019s National Airport \u2013 Cranky Flier - Som2ny Network<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=79969\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Gridlock Heads Toward Washington\u2019s National Airport \u2013 Cranky Flier - Som2ny Network\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"In the wake of the crash of American Eagle 5342 at Washington\/National (DCA) airport, the airport is facing a tough future full of delays as regulators start to restrict the airport\u2019s operation at the same time flights are expanding. 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