{"id":7080150,"date":"2026-10-08T14:11:05","date_gmt":"2026-10-08T14:11:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=7080150"},"modified":"2026-10-08T14:11:05","modified_gmt":"2026-10-08T14:11:05","slug":"we-need-to-open-up-the-ai-black-box","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=7080150","title":{"rendered":"We Need to Open Up the AI Black Box"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"line-height: 150%; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto; mso-margin-top-alt: auto;\"><i><span style=\"color: #333333; mso-bidi-font-family: Calibri; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;\">Paul<br \/>\nCerrato, senior research analyst and communications specialist, Mayo Clinic<br \/>\nPlatform, and John Halamka, M.D., president, Mayo Clinic Platform, wrote this<br \/>\narticle.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"line-height: 150%; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto; mso-margin-top-alt: auto;\"><span style=\"color: #333333;\">AI\u2019s so-called black box refers<br \/>\nto the fact that much of the underlying technology behind machine learning-enhanced<br \/>\nalgorithms is <\/span><span style=\"border: 1pt none windowtext; padding: 0in;\">probability\/statistics<br \/>\nwithout a human readable explanation. <\/span><span style=\"color: #333333;\">Oftentimes that\u2019s the case because the advanced math or the data<br \/>\nscience behind the algorithms is too complex for the average user to understand<br \/>\nwithout additional training. Several stakeholders in digital health maintain, however,<br \/>\nthat this lack of understanding isn\u2019t that important. They argue that as long<br \/>\nas an algorithm generates actionable insights, most clinicians don\u2019t really<br \/>\ncare about what\u2019s \u201cunder the hood.\u201d Is that reasoning sound?<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"line-height: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none; text-autospace: none;\"><span style=\"color: #333333; mso-bidi-font-family: Calibri; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;\">Some<br \/>\nthought leaders point to the fact that there are many advanced,<br \/>\ncomputer-enhanced diagnostic and therapeutic tools currently in use that<br \/>\nphysicians don\u2019t fully understand, but nonetheless accept. <span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0<\/span>The CHA2DSA-VASc score, for instance, is used<br \/>\nto estimate the likelihood of a patient with non-valvular atrial fibrillation<br \/>\nhaving a stroke. Few clinicians are familiar with the original research or detailed<br \/>\nreasoning upon which the calculator is based, but they nonetheless use the<br \/>\ntool. <span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0<\/span>Similarly, many physicians use the<br \/>\nFRAX score to estimate a patient\u2019s 10-year risk of developing a bone fracture,<br \/>\ndespite the fact that they have not investigated the underlying math.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"line-height: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none; text-autospace: none;\"><span style=\"color: #333333;\">It\u2019s<br \/>\nimportant to point out, however, that the stroke risk tool and the FRAX tool<br \/>\nboth have major endorsements from organizations that physicians respect. The <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.acc.org\/latest-in-cardiology\/articles\/2014\/10\/14\/11\/02\/the-revised-acc-aha-hrs-guidelines-for-the-management-of-patients-with-atrial-fibrillation\">American Heart Association<\/a><span style=\"color: #333333;\"> and the American College of<br \/>\nCardiology both recommend the CHA2DSA-VASc score while the National<br \/>\nOsteoporosis Foundation supports the use of FRAX score. That gives physicians<br \/>\nconfidence in these tools even if they don\u2019t grasp the underlying details. To<br \/>\ndate, there are no major professional associations recommending specific AI-enabled<br \/>\nalgorithms to supplement the diagnosis or treatment of disease. The <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/31862754\/\">American<br \/>\nDiabetes Association<\/a><span style=\"color: #333333;\"> did<br \/>\ninclude a passing mention of an AI-based screening tool in its 2020 Standards<br \/>\nof Medical Care in Diabetes, stating: \u201c<\/span>Artificial intelligence systems that<br \/>\ndetect more than mild diabetic retinopathy and diabetic macular edema<br \/>\nauthorized for use by the FDA represent an alternative to traditional screening<br \/>\napproaches. However, the benefits and optimal utilization of this type of<br \/>\nscreening have yet to be fully determined.\u201d That can hardly be considered a<br \/>\nrecommendation.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"line-height: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none; text-autospace: none;\"><span style=\"color: #333333;\">Given<br \/>\nthis scenario, most physicians have reason to be skeptical, and surveys bear<br \/>\nout that skepticism.\u00a0\u00a0 A <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/academic.oup.com\/jamia\/article-abstract\/28\/6\/1117\/6046152?redirectedFrom=fulltext\">survey of 91 primary care physicians<\/a><span style=\"color: #333333;\"> found that <i>understandability<br \/>\n<\/i>of AI is one of the important attributes they want before trusting its<br \/>\nrecommendations during breast cancer screening. Similarly, a survey of senior<br \/>\nspecialists in UK found that understandability was one of their primary<br \/>\nconcerns about AI.\u00a0 <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/32106285\/\">Among<br \/>\nNew Zealand physicians<\/a><span style=\"color: #333333;\">,<br \/>\n88% <\/span>were<br \/>\nmore likely to trust an AI algorithm that produced an understandable<br \/>\nexplanation of its decisions.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"line-height: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none; text-autospace: none;\"><span style=\"color: #333333;\">Of<br \/>\ncourse, it may not be possible to fully explain the advanced mathematics used<br \/>\nto create machine learning based algorithms. But there are other ways to describe<br \/>\nthe logic behind these tools that would satisfy clinicians.\u00a0 As we have mentioned in previous publications<br \/>\nand oral presentations, there are tutorials available to simplify machine<br \/>\nlearning-related systems like neural networks, random forest modeling,<br \/>\nclustering, and gradient boosting. Our <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.taylorfrancis.com\/books\/mono\/10.1201\/9781003094234\/digital-reconstruction-healthcare-paul-cerrato-john-halamka\">most recent book<\/a><span style=\"color: #333333;\"> contains an entire chapter on this<br \/>\ndigital toolbox. Similarly, <i>JAMA <\/i>\u00a0has created <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/sites.jamanetwork.com\/machine-learning\/#multimedia\">clinician friendly video tutorials<\/a><span style=\"color: #333333;\"> designed to graphically<br \/>\nillustrate how deep learning is used in medical image analysis and how such<br \/>\nalgorithms can be used to help detect lymph node metastases in breast cancer<br \/>\npatients.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"line-height: 150%;\"><span style=\"color: #333333; mso-bidi-font-family: Calibri; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;\">These resources require clinicians to take the initiative and<br \/>\nlearn a few basic AI concepts, but developers and vendors also have an<br \/>\nobligation to make their products more transparent.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>One way to accomplish that goal is through <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s42256-021-00338-7\"><span style=\"mso-bidi-font-family: Calibri; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;\">saliency maps and generative adversarial<br \/>\nnetworks<\/span><\/a><span style=\"color: #333333; mso-bidi-font-family: Calibri; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;\">. Using<br \/>\nsuch techniques, it\u2019s possible to highlight the specific pixel grouping that a neural<br \/>\nnetwork has identified as a trouble spot, which the clinician can then view on<br \/>\na radiograph, for example.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>Alex DeGrave,<br \/>\nwith the University of Washington, and his colleagues, used this approach to<br \/>\nhelp explain why an algorithm designed to detect COVID-19-related changes in<br \/>\nchest X-rays made its recommendations. <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41746-019-0216-8\"><span style=\"mso-bidi-font-family: Calibri; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;\">Amirata Ghrobani and associates<\/span><\/a><span style=\"color: #333333; mso-bidi-font-family: Calibri; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;\"> from Stanford University have<br \/>\ntaken a similar approach to help clinicians comprehend the echocardiography<br \/>\nrecommendations coming from a deep learning system. <\/span><span style=\"mso-bidi-font-family: Calibri; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-latin;\">The<br \/>\nresearchers trained a convolutional neural network (CNN) on over 2.6 million echocardiogram<br \/>\nimages from more than 2,800 patients and demonstrated it was capable of<br \/>\nidentifying enlarged left atria, left ventricular hypertrophy, and several<br \/>\nother abnormalities. To open up the black box, Ghorbani et al presented readers<br \/>\nwith \u201cbiologically plausible regions of interest\u201d in the echocardiograms they<br \/>\nanalyzed so they could see for themselves the reason for the interpretation<br \/>\nthat the model has arrived at. For instance, if the CNN said it had identified<br \/>\na structure such as a pacemaker lead, it highlighted the pixels it identifies<br \/>\nas the lead. Similar clinician-friendly images are presented for a severely<br \/>\ndilated left atrium and for left ventricular hypertrophy. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"line-height: 150%; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto; mso-margin-top-alt: auto;\"><span style=\"color: #333333; mso-bidi-font-family: Calibri; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;\">Deep<br \/>\nlearning systems are slowly ushering in a new way to manage diagnosis and treatment,<br \/>\nbut to bring skeptical clinicians on board, we need to pull the curtain back. In<br \/>\naddition to providing evidence that these tools are equitable and clinically<br \/>\neffectively, practitioners want reasonable explanations to demonstrate that they<br \/>\nwill do what they claim to do.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Paul Cerrato, senior research analyst and communications specialist, Mayo Clinic Platform, and John Halamka, M.D., president, Mayo Clinic Platform, wrote this article. AI\u2019s so-called black box refers to the fact that much of the underlying technology behind machine learning-enhanced algorithms is probability\/statistics without a human readable explanation. Oftentimes that\u2019s the case because the advanced math [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":7080151,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[393,1067,1224],"dealstore":[],"offerexpiration":[],"class_list":["post-7080150","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-black","tag-box","tag-open"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>We Need to Open Up the AI Black Box - Som2ny Network<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=7080150\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"We Need to Open Up the AI Black Box - Som2ny Network\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Paul Cerrato, senior research analyst and communications specialist, Mayo Clinic Platform, and John Halamka, M.D., president, Mayo Clinic Platform, wrote this article. 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AI\u2019s so-called black box refers to the fact that much of the underlying technology behind machine learning-enhanced algorithms is probability\/statistics without a human readable explanation. 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