{"id":7031616,"date":"2026-08-07T08:22:25","date_gmt":"2026-08-07T08:22:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/peraltafinancing.com\/business\/finance\/will-us-stocks-continue-to-outperform-international-stocks\/"},"modified":"2026-08-07T08:22:25","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T08:22:25","slug":"will-us-stocks-continue-to-outperform-international-stocks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=7031616","title":{"rendered":"Will US Stocks Continue to Outperform International Stocks?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<div class=\"wp-block-group\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container is-layout-constrained wp-block-group-is-layout-constrained\">\n<p><em>Don\u2019t miss an episode of our podcast,\u00a0<strong>Personal Finance for Long-Term Investors<\/strong>. Available on all podcast players. <\/em><\/p>\n<p>Here\u2019s the latest episode: <\/p>\n<p><iframe allow=\"autoplay *; encrypted-media *; fullscreen *; clipboard-write\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"175\" style=\"width:100%;max-width:660px;overflow:hidden;border-radius:10px;\" sandbox=\"allow-forms allow-popups allow-same-origin allow-scripts allow-storage-access-by-user-activation allow-top-navigation-by-user-activation\" src=\"https:\/\/embed.podcasts.apple.com\/us\/podcast\/so-youre-retiring-answering-common-questions-from-soon\/id1553180943?i=1000779988183\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>I was chatting with friend-of-the-blog <strong>Geff<\/strong> this past week. He\u2019s a true Boglehead, a long-time investor in broad <strong>US-based<\/strong> index funds. Geff asked me whether \/ why <strong>international <\/strong>stocks are needed in portfolio construction. <\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s a fair question. There are two main reasons why some people lean all-US: <\/p>\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>US stocks have historically outperformed international stocks. Why invest in underperformers? <\/li>\n<li>Many modern US companies are multinational. You get pseudo-international exposure by owning them. <strong>Coca-Cola<\/strong>, for example, gets ~60% of its revenue outside of the US. But it\u2019s part of US stock indices. <\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>Despite these two true facts, I still think international exposure is important in portfolio construction. <\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"865\" height=\"1300\" src=\"https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/pexels-photo-8481995.jpeg\" alt=\"a person passing a can of soda\" class=\"wp-image-65859\" style=\"aspect-ratio:0.665391551450899;width:195px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/pexels-photo-8481995.jpeg 865w, https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/pexels-photo-8481995-200x300.jpeg 200w, https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/pexels-photo-8481995-681x1024.jpeg 681w, https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/pexels-photo-8481995-768x1154.jpeg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 865px) 100vw, 865px\"\/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Performance Track Record<\/h2>\n<p>Since 1970 (when most data sets begin listing international indices), the US vs. international returns look like this: <\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>USA <\/strong>\u2013\u00a011.1% per year<\/li>\n<li><strong>International <\/strong>\u2013\u00a09.3% per year<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Though \u201conly\u201d a 1.8% difference between 11.1% and 9.3%, that\u2019s a\u00a0<strong>huge<\/strong>\u00a0difference when compounded over the 55-year period.<\/p>\n<p>The US market would have turned $1 in 1970 into <strong>$357<\/strong> today. <\/p>\n<p>The same dollar in an international index would have only grown to <strong>$147<\/strong>. Big difference! <\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">But It\u2019s Cyclical\u2026<\/h2>\n<p>The chart below shows a bit of the \u201ccyclicality\u201d of US outperformance vs international outperformance. If we believe in John Bogle\u2019s \u201ciron rule of investing\u201d \u2013\u00a0<em><strong>reversion to the mean! <\/strong>\u2013\u00a0<\/em>then we might believe that someday, not sure when, international markets will outperform the US for a period of time. On and on, back and forth.\u00a0<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"429\" src=\"https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-1024x429.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-65854\" srcset=\"https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-1024x429.png 1024w, https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-300x126.png 300w, https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-768x322.png 768w, https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-1536x644.png 1536w, https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image.png 1574w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\"\/><\/figure>\n<p>I don\u2019t want to be a cherry-picker, but I think a worthwhile question to ask is:\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Given the proposed cyclicality of USA vs. international performance, what if we go back to ~2010, when this current period of US outperformance started?\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>In other words \u2013 let\u2019s measure from\u00a0<strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">1970 to 2010<\/span>.\u00a0<\/strong>In that 40-year period, the returns are: <\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>USA <\/strong>\u2013\u00a010.0% per year<\/li>\n<li><strong>International <\/strong>\u2013\u00a010.1% per year<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Interesting! Very similar performance over that 40-year period.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>And since 2010 through the end of 2025?\u00a0<\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>USA <\/strong>\u2013\u00a014.1% per year\u00a0<\/li>\n<li><strong>International<\/strong> \u2013\u00a07.2% per year<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"661\" src=\"https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/US-v-Intl-for-Yancey-2-1024x661.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-65855\" style=\"aspect-ratio:1.5480261903248362;width:542px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/US-v-Intl-for-Yancey-2-1024x661.png 1024w, https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/US-v-Intl-for-Yancey-2-300x194.png 300w, https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/US-v-Intl-for-Yancey-2-768x496.png 768w, https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/US-v-Intl-for-Yancey-2-1536x992.png 1536w, https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/US-v-Intl-for-Yancey-2-scaled.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\"\/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>40 years of \u201ceven\u201d performance, and then a most-recent 15-year period of clear US outperformance. <\/p>\n<p>Will that US outperformance continue in perpetuity? A good question to ponder.\u00a0<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Are You Betting Your Portfolio On It? <\/h2>\n<p>Are you willing to bet your portfolio on future US outperformance? I see both sides of the argument. <\/p>\n<p>The strongest argument toward \u201c100% US stocks\u201d is that a US-based investor with <strong>USD liabilities<\/strong> has a legitimate currency-matching reason to overweight US assets. They <em>aren\u2019t<\/em> making an active investment bet, but instead matching their future USD liabilities to assets (stocks) denominated in USD. <\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1880\" height=\"1253\" src=\"https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/pexels-photo-4386421.jpeg\" alt=\"unrecognizable man holding wallet with money\" class=\"wp-image-65860\" style=\"aspect-ratio:1.5004313000616143;width:362px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/pexels-photo-4386421.jpeg 1880w, https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/pexels-photo-4386421-300x200.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/pexels-photo-4386421-1024x682.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/pexels-photo-4386421-768x512.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/pexels-photo-4386421-1536x1024.jpeg 1536w, https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/pexels-photo-4386421-930x620.jpeg 930w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1880px) 100vw, 1880px\"\/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>But I much prefer the \u201cglobal diversification\u201d arguments. <\/p>\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>If markets are informationally efficient, then prices reflect all available information, and the risk-adjusted expected return of any segment (US, ex-US) is not <strong>knowably <\/strong>superior to any other.<\/li>\n<li>The global market-cap-weighted portfolio is the aggregate revealed judgment of every investor on the planet about how capital should be allocated across risk. <\/li>\n<li>Deviating from the global weighting is an <strong>active <\/strong>bet that the US will outperform ex-US on a risk-adjusted basis. This is the <a href=\"https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/50-shades-of-passive-investing\/\">\u201cshades of gray\u201d<\/a> of passive investing. <\/li>\n<li>Do you (or your advisor) have skill at making macroeconomic bets? If not, then home-country bias is an unrewarded active risk. <\/li>\n<li>Equity risk (ownership of a growing stream of corporate profits) is fungible across borders. A dollar of expected risk premium from Japanese or German equity is the same \u201ctype\u201d of thing as a dollar of expected risk premium from a US equity.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>That\u2019s why I diversify internationally. <\/p>\n<p>Thank you for reading! Here are three quick notes for you: <\/p>\n<p><strong>First<\/strong> \u2013 If you enjoyed this article, join 1000\u2019s of subscribers who read Jesse\u2019s free weekly email, where he send you links to the smartest financial content I find online every week. 100% free, unsubscribe anytime.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Second<\/strong> \u2013 Jesse\u2019s podcast <em><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/personal-finance-for-long-term-investors\/\">\u201cPersonal Finance for Long-Term Investors\u201d<\/a><\/strong><\/em> has grown ~10x over the past couple years, now helping ~10,000 people per month. <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/podcasts.apple.com\/us\/podcast\/the-best-interest-personal-finance-for-long-term-investors\/id1553180943\">Tune in and check it out.<\/a>   <\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Last<\/strong> \u2013 Jesse works full-time for a fiduciary wealth management firm in Upstate NY. Jesse and his colleagues help families solve the expensive problems he writes and podcasts about. <a href=\"https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/work\/\"><strong>Schedule a free call with Jesse<\/strong><\/a> to see if you\u2019re a good fit for his practice. <\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ll talk to you soon! <\/p>\n<p>Thank you for reading! Here are three quick notes for you: <\/p>\n<p><strong>First<\/strong> \u2013 If you enjoyed this article, join 1000\u2019s of subscribers who read Jesse\u2019s free weekly email, where he send you links to the smartest financial content I find online every week. 100% free, unsubscribe anytime.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Second<\/strong> \u2013 Jesse\u2019s podcast <em><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/personal-finance-for-long-term-investors\/\">\u201cPersonal Finance for Long-Term Investors\u201d<\/a><\/strong><\/em> has grown ~10x over the past couple years, now helping ~10,000 people per month. <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/podcasts.apple.com\/us\/podcast\/the-best-interest-personal-finance-for-long-term-investors\/id1553180943\">Tune in and check it out.<\/a>   <\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Last<\/strong> \u2013 Jesse works full-time for a fiduciary wealth management firm in Upstate NY. Jesse and his colleagues help families solve the expensive problems he writes and podcasts about. <a href=\"https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/work\/\"><strong>Schedule a free call with Jesse<\/strong><\/a> to see if you\u2019re a good fit for his practice. <\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ll talk to you soon! <\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Don\u2019t miss an episode of our podcast,\u00a0Personal Finance for Long-Term Investors. Available on all podcast players. Here\u2019s the latest episode: I was chatting with friend-of-the-blog Geff this past week. He\u2019s a true Boglehead, a long-time investor in broad US-based index funds. Geff asked me whether \/ why international stocks are needed in portfolio construction. It\u2019s [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":7031617,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[93],"tags":[11316,3006,14693,11046],"dealstore":[],"offerexpiration":[],"class_list":["post-7031616","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-finance","tag-continue","tag-international","tag-outperform","tag-stocks"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Will US Stocks Continue to Outperform International Stocks? - Som2ny Network<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=7031616\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Will US Stocks Continue to Outperform International Stocks? - Som2ny Network\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Don\u2019t miss an episode of our podcast,\u00a0Personal Finance for Long-Term Investors. 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Available on all podcast players. Here\u2019s the latest episode: I was chatting with friend-of-the-blog Geff this past week. He\u2019s a true Boglehead, a long-time investor in broad US-based index funds. Geff asked me whether \/ why international stocks are needed in portfolio construction. It\u2019s [&hellip;]","og_url":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=7031616","og_site_name":"Som2ny Network","article_published_time":"2026-08-07T08:22:25+00:00","og_image":[{"width":865,"height":1300,"url":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/pexels-photo-8481995.jpeg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"admin","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"admin","Est. reading time":"4 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=7031616#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=7031616"},"author":{"name":"admin","@id":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/b85e3c3dc0e1daea076524dc8810c371"},"headline":"Will US Stocks Continue to Outperform International Stocks?","datePublished":"2026-08-07T08:22:25+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=7031616"},"wordCount":849,"commentCount":0,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=7031616#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/pexels-photo-8481995.jpeg","keywords":["Continue","International","Outperform","Stocks"],"articleSection":["Finance"],"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=7031616#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=7031616","url":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=7031616","name":"Will US Stocks Continue to Outperform International Stocks? - Som2ny Network","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=7031616#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=7031616#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/pexels-photo-8481995.jpeg","datePublished":"2026-08-07T08:22:25+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=7031616#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=7031616"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=7031616#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/pexels-photo-8481995.jpeg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/pexels-photo-8481995.jpeg","width":865,"height":1300},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=7031616#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?bp_activities=1"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Will US Stocks Continue to Outperform International Stocks?"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/#website","url":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/","name":"Som2ny Network","description":"Daily Deals","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/#organization","name":"Som2ny Network","url":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/4a0953c4-logo-300x86-1.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/4a0953c4-logo-300x86-1.png","width":300,"height":86,"caption":"Som2ny Network"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"}},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/b85e3c3dc0e1daea076524dc8810c371","name":"admin","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/729ae85bf62b9917e93538db2f2688ca?s=96&r=g&default=https%3A%2F%2Ffivemor.com%2Fwp-content%2Fplugins%2Fbuddypress-first-letter-avatar%2Fimages%2Fdefault%2F96%2Flatin_a.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/729ae85bf62b9917e93538db2f2688ca?s=96&r=g&default=https%3A%2F%2Ffivemor.com%2Fwp-content%2Fplugins%2Fbuddypress-first-letter-avatar%2Fimages%2Fdefault%2F96%2Flatin_a.png","caption":"admin"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/fivemor.com"],"url":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?author=1"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7031616","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=7031616"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7031616\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/7031617"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=7031616"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=7031616"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=7031616"},{"taxonomy":"dealstore","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fdealstore&post=7031616"},{"taxonomy":"offerexpiration","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fofferexpiration&post=7031616"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}