{"id":7029595,"date":"2026-08-06T04:56:13","date_gmt":"2026-08-06T04:56:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/peraltafinancing.com\/uncategorized\/bitcoin-news-today-ai-bubble-to-drive-btc-to-1m\/"},"modified":"2026-08-06T04:56:13","modified_gmt":"2026-08-06T04:56:13","slug":"bitcoin-news-today-ai-bubble-to-drive-btc-to-1m","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=7029595","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin News Today: AI Bubble to Drive BTC to $1M"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>In Bitcoin news today, BitMEX co-founder and Maelstrom Chief Investment Officer Arthur Hayes has made his most direct Bitcoin price prediction yet: $1M per coin, driven not by a crypto-native catalyst but by the collapse of what he calls the largest credit bubble in modern history. The mechanism he describes is the AI infrastructure buildout, and the trail of debt financing it leaves behind.<\/p>\n<p>Hayes argues that Bitcoin\u2019s path to $1M runs through a financial crisis, not around one, and that crisis hasn\u2019t happened yet. In a podcast appearance and subsequent letter to his readers, the BitMEX co-founder believes that a 2008-style crash could benefit Bitcoin in a big way.<\/p>\n<p>This bombshell dropped as Bitcoin currently trades for $64,100, up just under +1% over the past 24 hours but still down -0.5% over the past week. Daily trading volume for BTC sits at $22.7Bn.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Arthur Hayes: AI Bubble May Resemble 2008 Credit Crisis, Bitcoin Could Benefit From Monetary Easing<\/p>\n<p>BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes published a new essay, Situationship, arguing that the AI investment boom resembles a real estate buildout rather than a traditional technology\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/0nmw1cnwk2\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">pic.twitter.com\/0nmw1cnwk2<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Wu Blockchain (@WuBlockchain) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/WuBlockchain\/status\/2084831821653749898?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">August 5, 2026<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<h2 id=\"bitcoin-news-today-why-hayes-calls-ai-a-credit-story-not-an-earnings-story\">Bitcoin News Today: Why Hayes Calls AI a Credit Story, Not an Earnings Story<\/h2>\n<p>In the podcast and his letter, Hayes likened the AI boom to a \u201ccredit story like 2008\u201d rather than an \u201cearnings story like 2000.\u201d He argues that, unlike the dot-com bubble with inflated revenue, AI infrastructure resembles leveraged real estate, relying on demand and credit availability.<\/p>\n<p>During an appearance on the Thinking Crypto podcast, Hayes highlighted a structural flaw: GPU loans for AI hardware are amortized over five to six years, while GPUs become obsolete in about two years.<\/p>\n<p>If cheaper Chinese AI models commoditize inference, the financial assumptions supporting those GPU loans could collapse entirely, which would be disastrous for the market.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAs a credit event, this will be bigger than subprime,\u201d Hayes said on the Thinking Crypto podcast. \u201cIf it\u2019s all about if we go to the China price, then all these assumptions in terms of the cash flows that these GPUs are based on become kind of spurious, and it becomes a credit event.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Bitcoin &amp; Crypto Won&amp;apos;t Pump Until THIS Happens! | Arthur Hayes Interview\" width=\"840\" height=\"473\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/Fn-goZ79VRM?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"the-scale-of-leverage-behind-the-ai-bubble\">The Scale of Leverage Behind the AI Bubble<\/h2>\n<p>Hayes raises concerns about the significant data-center lease commitments made by major tech companies, totaling around $1.09 trillion, which is nearly four times their existing lease liabilities of $285Bn.<\/p>\n<p>These leases, while not directly equivalent to debt, present off-balance-sheet risks that Hayes deems dangerous. S&amp;P Global analyst Andrew Chang points out a maturity mismatch for Oracle, with lease durations of 15 to 19 years versus customer contracts lasting only five, heightening credit risk if contract renewals fail.<\/p>\n<p>Furthermore, Hayes highlighted that about $1.5 trillion in AI-related debt was issued between 2022 and mid-2026, predominantly in 2025, suggesting that this influx of capital into AI has dampened Bitcoin\u2019s market rally despite ongoing money creation.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI think that essentially AI sucked all the capital out of the room,\u201d Hayes said on the Thinking Crypto podcast. \u201cIt continues to suck all of the capital.\u201d<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"bitcoins-near-term-range-and-the-1m-macro-bitcoin-scenario\">Bitcoin\u2019s Near-Term Range and the $1M Macro Bitcoin Scenario<\/h2>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Everything is going exactly as I told you.<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/search?q=%24BTC&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">$BTC<\/a> has bottomed. <\/p>\n<p>The bear market is over.<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019re entering the most parabolic phase of the bull cycle.<\/p>\n<p>This is the phase where you wake up $50K+ richer every day, for weeks.<\/p>\n<p>For the record, I was the only one publicly calling the\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/QgMDrrieCo\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">pic.twitter.com\/QgMDrrieCo<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Crypto Fergani (@cryptofergani) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/cryptofergani\/status\/2084561689245069640?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">August 4, 2026<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Hayes is cautious about the near-term Bitcoin outlook, projecting BTC could range between $60,000 and $70,000, with a potential dip to $50,000 before a credit-cycle recovery. He believes Bitcoin hasn\u2019t reached its cycle bottom yet, anticipating it won\u2019t until the AI bubble unwinds.<\/p>\n<p>In a Thinking Crypto interview, he expressed uncertainty about timing, suggesting the unwind could happen \u201cthis fall\u201d or take \u201cyears.\u201d His $1 million Bitcoin prediction depends on a series of events, including an AI overbuild leading to a credit crisis that shifts liquidity into non-bank assets like Bitcoin.<\/p>\n<p>Hayes also predicts Ethereum could peak between $100,000 and $200,000. His firm, Maelstrom, plans to build a significant ETH position while selling out-of-the-money put options to cushion downside risk. He underscores that institutional demand is crucial to achieving these extreme price targets, as corporate Bitcoin adoption strengthens the bullish case.<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"general-link\" href=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/visit\/kalshi\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener sponsored\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-362109 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/1200-x-200_Perps_2.png\" alt=\"Kalshi Banner\" width=\"1200\" height=\"200\" srcset=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/1200-x-200_Perps_2.png 1200w, https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/1200-x-200_Perps_2-300x50.png 300w, https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/1200-x-200_Perps_2-1024x171.png 1024w, https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/1200-x-200_Perps_2-768x128.png 768w, https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/1200-x-200_Perps_2-50x8.png 50w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"what-has-to-go-wrong-before-bitcoin-wins\">What Has to Go Wrong Before Bitcoin Wins<\/h2>\n<p>In other Bitcoin news today, the Hayes thesis suggests that before any BTC rebound, there will be a broad, correlated selloff of risk assets, including Bitcoin. An unwind in AI stocks could harm bank lending and speculative capital, causing Bitcoin to fall with other assets until a liquidity injection from policymakers prompts a recovery.<\/p>\n<p>Hayes anticipates that this response will be larger than both the 2008 financial crisis and the COVID-19 stimulus. He argues that once the credit event occurs, investors may shift their capital from AI to Bitcoin and gold instead.<\/p>\n<p>Regarding the CLARITY Act, Hayes believes it holds \u201cno significance\u201d for Bitcoin\u2019s price, as its value is tied to operating outside the regulated financial system.<\/p>\n<p>He points to historical patterns showing asset price surges following monetary interventions, with Bitcoin\u2019s trajectory compared to gold\u2019s ETF development over the years.<\/p>\n<p><strong>EXPLORE:\u00a0<a class=\"general-link\" href=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/cryptocurrency\/next-1000x-crypto\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener sponsored\">Best Crypto Presales With Asymmetric Upside in the Current Market<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<section class=\"nnbtc-post-tags\">\n<\/section>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t<!--Trust Us Block --><\/p>\n<div class=\"trust-us\">\n<div class=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"trust-us__ninty-nine-logo\" src=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/wp-content\/themes\/99bitcoins\/assets\/img\/logo.svg\" width=\"95\" height=\"21\" alt=\"\"\/><\/p>\n<div class=\"grid-block\">\n<p><h2>Why you can trust 99Bitcoins<\/h2>\n<\/p>\n<div class=\"trust-us--year\">\n<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<strong>10+ Years<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"trust-us__paragraph\">Established in 2013, 99Bitcoin\u2019s team members have been crypto experts since Bitcoin\u2019s Early days.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div class=\"trust-us--year__grid\">\n<div>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<strong>90hr+<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"trust-us__paragraph\">Weekly Research<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<strong>100k+<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"trust-us__paragraph\">Monthly readers<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<strong>50+<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"trust-us__paragraph\">Expert contributors<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<strong>2000+<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"trust-us__paragraph\">Crypto Projects Reviewed<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/wp-content\/themes\/99bitcoins\/assets\/img\/Union.svg\" class=\"trust-us--image\" width=\"224\" alt=\"\"\/><\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<!-- Google News --><\/p>\n<div class=\"nnbtc-google-news\">\n\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" class=\"nnbtc-google-news__icon\" src=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/wp-content\/themes\/99bitcoins\/assets\/img\/follow-google-news.svg\" alt=\"Google News Icon\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Follow 99Bitcoins on your Google News Feed<\/p>\n<p>Get the latest updates, trends, and insights delivered straight to your fingertips. Subscribe now!<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t<a class=\"nnbtc-google-news__link\" href=\"https:\/\/news.google.com\/publications\/CAAqKQgKIiNDQklTRkFnTWFoQUtEams1WW1sMFkyOXBibk11WTI5dEtBQVAB?hl=en-GB&amp;gl=GB&amp;ceid=GB%3Aen\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><br \/>\n\t\t\tSubscribe now <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/wp-content\/themes\/99bitcoins\/assets\/img\/google-news-chevron.svg\" alt=\"\"\/><br \/>\n\t\t<\/a>\n\t<\/div>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t<!-- Author --><\/p>\n<div class=\"profile-frontend\">\n<div class=\"author-information\">\n<div class=\"author-avatar\">\n\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/author\/alex\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Alex-L.jpg\" alt=\"Alex Ioannou\"\/><\/a>\t\t\t<\/div>\n<div class=\"author-details\">\n<p>Alex Ioannou<\/p>\n<p>\n\t\t\t\tOn-Chain Journalist\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div class=\"author-description\">\n<p>\n\t\t\tAlex is a seasoned cryptocurrency trader and market analyst with over seven years of active experience in the digital asset space. Since entering the markets in 2017, Alex has specialized in identifying emerging &#8220;meta&#8221; trends and high-volatility narratives. Notably, Alex&#8230;\t\t\t<a class=\"author-read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/author\/alex\/\"><br \/>\n\t\t\t\tRead More\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><script async src=\"\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><br \/>\n<br \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In Bitcoin news today, BitMEX co-founder and Maelstrom Chief Investment Officer Arthur Hayes has made his most direct Bitcoin price prediction yet: $1M per coin, driven not by a crypto-native catalyst but by the collapse of what he calls the largest credit bubble in modern history. The mechanism he describes is the AI infrastructure buildout, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":7029596,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[139038,139040],"tags":[12920,139043,17058,986,1324,1820,1513],"dealstore":[],"offerexpiration":[],"class_list":["post-7029595","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin-btc-news-today","category-bitcoin-news-today","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-news-today","tag-btc","tag-bubble","tag-drive","tag-news","tag-today"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin News Today: AI Bubble to Drive BTC to $1M - Som2ny Network<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=7029595\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin News Today: AI Bubble to Drive BTC to $1M - Som2ny Network\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"In Bitcoin news today, BitMEX co-founder and Maelstrom Chief Investment Officer Arthur Hayes has made his most direct Bitcoin price prediction yet: $1M per coin, driven not by a crypto-native catalyst but by the collapse of what he calls the largest credit bubble in modern history. 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The mechanism he describes is the AI infrastructure buildout, [&hellip;]","og_url":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=7029595","og_site_name":"Som2ny Network","article_published_time":"2026-08-06T04:56:13+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1254,"height":1254,"url":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/ChatGPT-Image-Aug-5-2026-11_27_49-AM.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"admin","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"admin","Est. reading time":"5 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=7029595#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=7029595"},"author":{"name":"admin","@id":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/b85e3c3dc0e1daea076524dc8810c371"},"headline":"Bitcoin News Today: AI Bubble to Drive BTC to $1M","datePublished":"2026-08-06T04:56:13+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=7029595"},"wordCount":997,"commentCount":0,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=7029595#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/ChatGPT-Image-Aug-5-2026-11_27_49-AM.jpg","keywords":["Bitcoin","Bitcoin News Today","BTC","Bubble","Drive","NEWS","Today"],"articleSection":["Bitcoin (BTC) News Today","Bitcoin News Today"],"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=7029595#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=7029595","url":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=7029595","name":"Bitcoin News Today: AI Bubble to Drive BTC to $1M - 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