{"id":68889,"date":"2025-02-05T03:08:30","date_gmt":"2025-02-05T03:08:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/peraltafinancing.com\/airbus\/ati-2024-results-beat-low-expectations\/"},"modified":"2025-02-05T03:08:30","modified_gmt":"2025-02-05T03:08:30","slug":"ati-2024-results-beat-low-expectations","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=68889","title":{"rendered":"ATI 2024 results beat low expectations"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p><strong>By Karl Sinclair<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/leehamnews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/ATI-Logo.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft wp-image-46107\" src=\"https:\/\/leehamnews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/ATI-Logo.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"148\" height=\"87\" srcset=\"https:\/\/leehamnews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/ATI-Logo.jpg 448w, https:\/\/leehamnews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/ATI-Logo-300x176.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 148px) 100vw, 148px\"\/><\/a>Feb. 4, 2025, \u00a9 Leeham News: \u201c<\/strong>Expectations were low for ATI after a mix of operational and timing issues weighed on results in 3Q2024,\u201d wrote the aerospace analyst for JP Morgan. \u201cSo a solid beat in the quarter and a better than feared guide was enough to drive significant out-performance on the day. While this quarter\u2019s results represent a step in the right direction, we think solid execution on an ascending earnings profile for this year can do more the stock from a valuation perspective and would provide a strong jumping off point for out-year earnings, where our estimates are little changed.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>ATI\u2019s fourth quarter ended on Dec. 31.<\/p>\n<p>ATI (formerly Allegheny Technologies Incorporated) is an aerospace manufacturer headquartered in Dallas (TX) which produces specialty materials for the aerospace industry.<\/p>\n<p>ATI is part of the aerospace supply chain, which has recently been under pressure and has not escaped the ravages of the Boeing troubles or the effects of the pandemic.<\/p>\n<p>In 2020, ATI\u2019s Albany (NY) operations temporarily closed down and was permanently shuttered in 2022. The plant produced high-quality titanium, with the bulk of production being purchased by Boeing.<\/p>\n<p>The corporation is organized into two divisions: High Performance Materials &amp; Components (HPMC) and Advanced Alloys &amp; Solutions (AA&amp;S).<\/p>\n<p>Aerospace and Defense dominates company revenues (62% in 2024, up from 59% in 2023), with products for commercial jet engines accounting for 33% of total company sales (up from 32%).\u00a0 Components for commercial airframes are the next largest market for the company, with 18% of revenues.<\/p>\n<p>On July 1, in a planned succession, former COO Kimberly A. Fields took over the reins as CEO from Robert S. Wetherbee, who became Executive Chairman.<\/p>\n<h5><strong>Fiscal Year 2024 Results<\/strong><\/h5>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/leehamnews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/ATI-3Q2024-Results.jpg\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"502\" height=\"268\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-46108\" src=\"https:\/\/leehamnews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/ATI-3Q2024-Results.jpg\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/leehamnews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/ATI-3Q2024-Results.jpg 502w, https:\/\/leehamnews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/ATI-3Q2024-Results-300x160.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 502px) 100vw, 502px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Revenues, gross profit, and operating income were all up, across the board, by 5%, 11% and 23%, respectively. Net income and net income attributable to ATI were down (10%) and (12%). This was primarily due to the 2023 reversal of ATI\u2019s valuation allowance of $137.4m.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/leehamnews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/ATI-HPMC-REsultd-3Q2024.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"515\" height=\"494\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-46109\" src=\"https:\/\/leehamnews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/ATI-HPMC-REsultd-3Q2024.jpg\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/leehamnews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/ATI-HPMC-REsultd-3Q2024.jpg 515w, https:\/\/leehamnews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/ATI-HPMC-REsultd-3Q2024-300x288.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 515px) 100vw, 515px\"\/><\/a>ATI uses an adjusted EDITBA, which indicates a profit of $729m for 2024, up from $635m, year-over-year.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_46110\" style=\"width: 675px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/leehamnews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/ATI-Selected-Financial-Results-3Q2024.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-46110\" class=\"wp-image-46110 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/leehamnews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/ATI-Selected-Financial-Results-3Q2024.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"665\" height=\"317\" srcset=\"https:\/\/leehamnews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/ATI-Selected-Financial-Results-3Q2024.png 665w, https:\/\/leehamnews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/ATI-Selected-Financial-Results-3Q2024-300x143.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 665px) 100vw, 665px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-46110\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><strong>Source: ATI 2024 8-K<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>HPMC has the slight edge in revenues, producing 52% of all company sales ($2.279bn vs $2.084bn). It also out-earns AA&amp;S, with better margins (20.3% vs 15.4% in 2024).<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_46111\" style=\"width: 635px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/leehamnews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/ATI-Balance-Sheet-3Q2024.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-46111\" class=\"wp-image-46111 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/leehamnews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/ATI-Balance-Sheet-3Q2024.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"625\" height=\"668\" srcset=\"https:\/\/leehamnews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/ATI-Balance-Sheet-3Q2024.png 625w, https:\/\/leehamnews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/ATI-Balance-Sheet-3Q2024-281x300.png 281w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 625px) 100vw, 625px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-46111\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><strong>Source: ATI 2024 8-K<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Although nickel-based alloys and specialty alloys decreased year-over-year by four points, it is still the driver of revenues at ATI, followed by precision forgings\/castings, and then titanium products (45%, 19% and 18%, respectively).<\/p>\n<p>Although the company is in negative net-debt territory ($1,174m), it is not in a precarious position.<\/p>\n<p>Both current and total assets are greater than current and total liabilities, indicating an ability to meet short and long-term needs. Revenues and strong margins are expected to continue into 2025. Adjusted EBITDA for 2024 was $729m and projections for 2025 detail a guidance of between $800m \u2013 $840m. Free-cash-flow is projected to be $240m \u2013 $360m.<\/p>\n<p>Given the current demands of the aviation industry supply chain, for both new aircraft, new engines, and parts for MRO of the in-service fleet, ATI appears to be well positioned for future growth and profitability.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><h3 class=\"jp-relatedposts-headline\"><em>Related<\/em><\/h3>\n<\/p>\n<p><!-- END .article -->\n<\/div>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Karl Sinclair Feb. 4, 2025, \u00a9 Leeham News: \u201cExpectations were low for ATI after a mix of operational and timing issues weighed on results in 3Q2024,\u201d wrote the aerospace analyst for JP Morgan. \u201cSo a solid beat in the quarter and a better than feared guide was enough to drive significant out-performance on the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":68890,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12027],"tags":[36507,5868,15680,4955],"dealstore":[],"offerexpiration":[],"class_list":["post-68889","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-airbus","tag-ati","tag-beat","tag-expectations","tag-results"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - 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