{"id":364419,"date":"2026-08-03T00:46:40","date_gmt":"2026-08-03T00:46:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/peraltafinancing.com\/uncategorized\/el-nino-michaelbaugh-com\/"},"modified":"2026-08-03T00:46:40","modified_gmt":"2026-08-03T00:46:40","slug":"el-nino-michaelbaugh-com","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=364419","title":{"rendered":"El Ni\u00f1o \u2013 MichaelBaugh.com"},"content":{"rendered":"


\n<\/p>\n

\n

Quepos, Costa Rica<\/p>\n

This is an El Ni\u00f1o year. The Pacific Ocean warms up along the equator, and the trade winds die down. Back in the 1600s, fishers in Peru recognized a pattern. Every few years, their nets came up light. The fish were sparse. The trend seemed to peak around December, when cooler waters usually bring plankton and hordes of hungry fish. But every so often, December brought next to nothing. They named those years El Ni\u00f1o de Navidad, the Christ Child.<\/p>\n

\"\"Maybe they were being ironic. It\u2019s impossible to know now. El Ni\u00f1o could have just as easily been \u201cthe boy,\u201d indifferent to hunger and suffering alike.<\/p>\n

They expect this year\u2019s El Ni\u00f1o to be a strong one. Costa Rica\u2019s rainy season will trickle into hot, dry days. Atlantic hurricanes will weaken or veer away. Some places will parch under drought; others will flood. A few will be just right. Regardless, change is coming.<\/p>\n

November, December; that\u2019s when we will know for sure. El Ni\u00f1o, yes. And also the elections back home. Will the midterms cast the United States, my home, further into autocracy or even dictatorship? Or, will democracy hold up? Is our constitution worth the parchment it\u2019s written on?<\/p>\n

Fish or famine. Who wins or who loses? The forecast is hard to read. Which of us will suffer the floods and droughts? Who dodges the storms over and over again? Do you fight or flee? Can you really curse the rain?<\/p>\n

We are in Costa Rica, Tim and I, because this is where we might seek refuge. Albert Einstein, Sigmund Freud, Thomas Mann, and Billy Wilder all ran from the Nazis, all of them just in time. I hear how extreme that sounds, even as I write it. That was so long ago. I\u2019m American. Nothing like that could happen in the United States.<\/p>\n

But it can. I wonder if it already has. Change is the nature of things. Call it horrific or beautiful. Either way, here I am in our home down a dirt road in the rainforest. The rainy season will run dry this year. The sun will burn hotter. Impish child.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

Note: we are currently visiting Costa Rica. We have not moved here.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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