{"id":353992,"date":"2026-07-07T22:33:32","date_gmt":"2026-07-07T22:33:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/peraltafinancing.com\/business\/investing\/private-equity-podcast-private-equity-in-2026-why-12-is-the-new-five\/"},"modified":"2026-07-07T22:33:32","modified_gmt":"2026-07-07T22:33:32","slug":"private-equity-podcast-private-equity-in-2026-why-12-is-the-new-five","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=353992","title":{"rendered":"Private Equity Podcast | Private Equity in 2026: Why \u201c12 is the new five\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Private Equity in 2026: Why \u201c12 is the new five\u201d | Bain &amp; Company | Fund Shack Ep. 89\" width=\"840\" height=\"473\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/Ww4_TPlSLm0?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>Private equity is entering a tougher operating environment where historical tailwinds from cheap debt and multiple expansion are no longer enough. In this episode of Fund Shack, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/emiliodomingo\/\" class=\"ek-link\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" rel=\"external noopener noreferrer\">Emilio Domingo<\/a>, Chief Commercial Officer for Bain &amp; Company\u2019s EMEA Private Equity practice, joins Ross Butler to discuss Bain\u2019s 2026 private equity <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bain.com\/insights\/outlook-gaining-traction-global-private-equity-report-2026\/?__cf_chl_f_tk=ssGXUujyD2TwCSCMD8gB5ZO4lY.zolCvWXjL8QkPCW0-1782970965-1.0.1.1-J6OUkxfx.peO2sO0pyROa8l_NosXNgmomFnrUoz5aZI\" class=\"ek-link\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" rel=\"external noopener noreferrer\">outlook<\/a>, why earnings growth requirements have increased sharply, and what separates winning managers from the rest.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>The headlines<\/strong><\/h2>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u201c12 is the new five\u201d means value creation has become materially harder.<\/strong> Bain\u2019s analysis suggests average buyouts now need far higher EBITDA growth to deliver the same returns investors achieved in the low-rate era.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Margin expansion has contributed surprisingly little to historical private equity returns.<\/strong> Revenue growth and multiple expansion did much of the heavy lifting, but that formula is less reliable today.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Specialisation, scale and accumulated experience are becoming decisive.<\/strong> Emilio argues that successful managers increasingly need a clear edge, whether sectoral, regional, operational or capability-led.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Value creation is becoming more structured, but not purely formulaic.<\/strong> The best investors combine playbooks, talent and tools with tailored judgement for each portfolio company.<\/li>\n<li><strong>AI may widen the gap between winners and losers.<\/strong> Private equity firms that can deploy AI use cases at scale across portfolios may develop a meaningful advantage.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>What does \u201c12 is the new five\u201d mean for private equity?<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Bain\u2019s \u201c12 is the new five\u201d thesis captures a major shift in the economics of buyout investing. Emilio explains that, in the period from roughly 2013 to 2023, an average buyout could generate a strong gross return with around 5% annual EBITDA growth. Today, Bain\u2019s analysis suggests that to achieve a similar 2.5x gross money multiple, an average buyout may need EBITDA growth closer to 12%.<\/p>\n<p>The challenge is not simply that deal markets have been slower or that financing costs have increased. It is that the return formula itself has changed. The industry can no longer rely as heavily on low interest rates, rising valuation multiples or broad market beta.<\/p>\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Why has margin expansion been so difficult?<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Margin expansion, it turns out, has contributed very little to average private equity value creation over the past decade. Revenue growth and multiple expansion have been the dominant contributors, while average entry and exit EBITDA margins have often remained broadly similar.<\/p>\n<p>That does not mean private equity-backed companies have been poorly managed. Emilio frames the issue as a \u201cleaky bucket\u201d. Even when managers improve operations, those gains can be offset by price erosion, wage inflation, input cost inflation, supply chain disruption and other macroeconomic pressures.<\/p>\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Why does speed matter in private equity transformation?<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Speed is a recurring theme in the episode. Emilio is clear that time kills returns mathematically. IRR naturally diminishes as hold periods extend, particularly after year five, so value creation needs to begin early.<\/p>\n<p>That does not mean reckless change. It means entering ownership with a clear view of the company\u2019s full potential, a prioritised value creation plan and the organisational capacity to begin execution from day zero.<\/p>\n<p>This is also why Chief Transformation Officers are becoming more common in private equity-backed companies. Emilio notes that CTOs are increasingly part of the executive team, often reporting to the CEO, with responsibility for coordinating and owning the transformation agenda. The role varies by company and investor, but the trend reflects a broader move towards more deliberate execution.<\/p>\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>How will AI affect private equity?<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>AI is now moving from experimentation to implementation in private equity. Emilio says that 9 to 12 months ago, many portfolio companies were still testing individual AI use cases. Today, more of those proof-of-concept projects are being scaled across businesses.<\/p>\n<p>The implications are broad. AI can improve investment team efficiency, support value creation teams, automate parts of diligence, improve portfolio company operations and enable more systematic transformation. However, Emilio cautions against treating AI as a single abstract concept. The real question is which use cases work, where they work and how quickly they can be scaled.<\/p>\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Do private equity-backed companies have an AI advantage?<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Private equity-backed companies may be well positioned to adopt AI because the ownership model is built for transformation. These companies often have focused boards, aligned shareholders, strong incentives and a clear mandate to improve performance within a defined time period.<\/p>\n<p>Emilio argues that private equity firms have historically brought innovation into portfolio companies, and AI is likely to be another example of that. GPs that build internal AI capabilities and deploy them across their portfolios may accumulate experience quickly. That experience can then be reused in future deals, reinforcing the advantage of specialised and scaled investors.<\/p>\n<p>This is one of the most important strategic points in the episode. AI is not just another operational tool. It may become part of the differentiation between private equity managers.<\/p>\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>What is the outlook for private equity?<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Emilio believes private equity remains a successful asset class and will continue to generate returns above public markets. However, the industry is becoming more segmented.<\/p>\n<p>The winners are likely to be managers with clear differentiation, strong value creation capabilities, relevant scale and the ability to adapt to new technologies and operating conditions. The weaker performers are likely to struggle, particularly as the cost of doing business and the cost of generating alpha continue to rise.<\/p>\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Guest bio: Emilio Domingo<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong>Emilio Domingo is a Partner in Bain &amp; Company\u2019s London office and Chief Commercial Officer for Bain\u2019s EMEA Private Equity practice.<\/strong> In this role, he drives the commercial agenda for Bain\u2019s regional private equity practice, helping the firm bring its capabilities, solutions and products to financial investor clients.<\/p>\n<p>Emilio previously led Bain\u2019s UK private equity practice. He has extensive experience across M&amp;A, commercial and operational due diligence, business carve-outs, merger integration and value creation planning. His sector experience includes business services, technology and industrials.<\/p>\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n<p><strong>About our Sponsor<\/strong><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Private Markets Capability for Wealth Advisers<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Clients are increasingly asking not only whether they should invest in private markets, but how private equity and private credit fit within a portfolio, what the liquidity trade-offs are and what the underlying risks actually look like. <\/p>\n<p>The PMC-Q50 was developed to help advisers test their preparedness before those conversations take place. <\/p>\n<p>The free assessment takes around 25 minutes and produces a personalised private markets capability profile. <\/p>\n<p>It identifies where knowledge is strong, where it may need sharpening and which areas should be prioritised next. <\/p>\n<p>Take the PMC-Q50 assessment. <\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/pmc-q50.scoreapp.com<\/p>\n<p>Or find out more at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.privatemarketscapability.com\/\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" rel=\"external noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.privatemarketscapability.com\/<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Private equity is entering a tougher operating environment where historical tailwinds from cheap debt and multiple expansion are no longer enough. In this episode of Fund Shack, Emilio Domingo, Chief Commercial Officer for Bain &amp; Company\u2019s EMEA Private Equity practice, joins Ross Butler to discuss Bain\u2019s 2026 private equity outlook, why earnings growth requirements have [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":353993,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[96],"tags":[13746,6252,11448,19796],"dealstore":[],"offerexpiration":[],"class_list":["post-353992","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-investing","tag-equity","tag-podcast","tag-private","tag-private-chat"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Private Equity Podcast | Private Equity in 2026: Why \u201c12 is the new five\u201d - Som2ny Network<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=353992\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Private Equity Podcast | Private Equity in 2026: Why \u201c12 is the new five\u201d - Som2ny Network\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Private equity is entering a tougher operating environment where historical tailwinds from cheap debt and multiple expansion are no longer enough. In this episode of Fund Shack, Emilio Domingo, Chief Commercial Officer for Bain &amp; Company\u2019s EMEA Private Equity practice, joins Ross Butler to discuss Bain\u2019s 2026 private equity outlook, why earnings growth requirements have [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=353992\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Som2ny Network\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-07-07T22:33:32+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Emilio-Domingo-Bain-Fund-Shack.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"863\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"450\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"5 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=353992#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=353992\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/b85e3c3dc0e1daea076524dc8810c371\"},\"headline\":\"Private Equity Podcast | Private Equity in 2026: Why \u201c12 is the new five\u201d\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-07-07T22:33:32+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=353992\"},\"wordCount\":1095,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=353992#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Emilio-Domingo-Bain-Fund-Shack.png\",\"keywords\":[\"equity\",\"Podcast\",\"Private\",\"private chat\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Investing\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=353992#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=353992\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=353992\",\"name\":\"Private Equity Podcast | Private Equity in 2026: Why \u201c12 is the new five\u201d - 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