{"id":338242,"date":"2025-12-10T22:05:41","date_gmt":"2025-12-10T22:05:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/peraltafinancing.com\/business\/finance\/debunked-the-later-you-retire-the-earlier-you-die\/"},"modified":"2025-12-10T22:05:41","modified_gmt":"2025-12-10T22:05:41","slug":"debunked-the-later-you-retire-the-earlier-you-die","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=338242","title":{"rendered":"Debunked: The Later You Retire, The Earlier You Die?!"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>I am writing this post for one reason \u2013\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>To debunk a terrible, bullsh** study which concludes that: <\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><strong>\u201cThe later you retire, the earlier you die.\u201d\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Sounds\u2026intriguing?! <\/p>\n<p>Retire early = live longer?!<\/p>\n<p>Retire later = die sooner?! <\/p>\n<p>It pains me that a bunch of suckers in my line of business (creating educational personal finance content) either don\u2019t have the common sense to <em>really<\/em> think about these results, <strong><em>or<\/em> <\/strong>are too cynical to care that they\u2019re re-posting bullsh**. See below: <\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-4-1024x1024.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-60153\" style=\"width:399px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-4-1024x1024.png 1024w, https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-4-300x300.png 300w, https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-4-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-4-768x768.png 768w, https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-4.png 1080w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\"\/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-6.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-60155\" style=\"width:315px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-6.png 1024w, https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-6-300x300.png 300w, https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-6-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-6-768x768.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\"\/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"799\" src=\"https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Screenshot-2025-12-05-at-11.54.22-AM-1-1024x799.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-60157\" style=\"width:457px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Screenshot-2025-12-05-at-11.54.22-AM-1-1024x799.png 1024w, https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Screenshot-2025-12-05-at-11.54.22-AM-1-300x234.png 300w, https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Screenshot-2025-12-05-at-11.54.22-AM-1-768x599.png 768w, https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Screenshot-2025-12-05-at-11.54.22-AM-1.png 1338w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\"\/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>I know I\u2019m not the only one thinking, <em>\u201cJesus, where\u2019s the common sense?\u201d <\/em><\/p>\n<p>Forgive me for my attitude. <\/p>\n<p>But this study is making the rounds among thousands and thousands of retirees and soon-to-be retirees, and it\u2019s clear that many people are falling for it. <\/p>\n<p>This \u201cstudy\u201d is totally false. So please \u2013 if you <em>ever<\/em> see this study shared online, simply share this article in response to help those would-be suckers. <\/p>\n<p>Let\u2019s get to de-bunking. <\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Retire Early, Live Longer. Retire Later, Die Sooner. <\/h2>\n<p>It\u2019s pretty simple. This \u201cstudy\u201d suggests that the average early 50s retiree will live to their mid-80s, while the average mid-60s retiree will live less than 5 years more. <\/p>\n<p>Roughly, for every year you retire earlier, you\u2019ll live <em>at least<\/em> one year longer. <\/p>\n<p>Retire at 60? You\u2019ll live to 77. <\/p>\n<p>Retire at 55? You\u2019ll live to 83. <\/p>\n<p>What a sobering stat, if true. <\/p>\n<p>But\u2026<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Common Sense Filter<\/h2>\n<p>First, let\u2019s use common sense. <\/p>\n<p>Of the many smoking guns here, I\u2019ll just skip to the biggest one: <\/p>\n<p><strong>The average person who retires at age 65 will die by age 67?! <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Does that pass the sniff test in any way? <\/p>\n<p>Let\u2019s keep going to ages 66, 67, 68, 69, etc. (which conveniently aren\u2019t in this study). <\/p>\n<p>Does the average person who retires at 68\u2026just immediately die? <\/p>\n<p>Do they hop in a time machine to die at 67? <em>Whoa, it\u2019s 2024 again..aaaannnd I\u2019m dead.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Did the people who created this study not consider these obvious questions? <em> <\/em><\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"300\" height=\"258\" src=\"https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-10.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-60163\"\/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Lived Experience Filter<\/h2>\n<p>We\u2019ve all lived a long time and met a lot of people. <\/p>\n<p>Surely a result as stark as this would mesh with our lived experience in the world, at least to some degree. <\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Causal Filter<\/h2>\n<p>Let\u2019s ask <em><strong>what if<\/strong>. <\/em><\/p>\n<p>What if this study is actually correct? We ought to then wonder, <em>\u201cwhat would the causal factor be that\u2019s leading to this result?\u201d <\/em><\/p>\n<p>Why does each year of earlier retirement actually lead to longer life? <\/p>\n<p>The most frequent answer seems to be, <em>\u201cWork is so stressful. You leave work, no more stress, you live way longer.\u201d <\/em><\/p>\n<p>But if that was true, surely people would be dying <strong>AT WORK!!!<\/strong> Why aren\u2019t more people dying at their desks from all the stress? <\/p>\n<p>If work is that stressful, then the act of leaving work, <em>at any age<\/em>, ought to fundamentally <em>decrease<\/em> one\u2019s mortality, not increase it. <\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-12-1024x683.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-60165\" style=\"width:530px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-12-1024x683.png 1024w, https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-12-300x200.png 300w, https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-12-768x512.png 768w, https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-12-930x620.png 930w, https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-12.png 1350w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>The average 68-year old employee<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The \u201cWhy Haven\u2019t I Heard of This?\u201d Filter<\/h2>\n<p>We all know that smoking increases mortality. We know that. <\/p>\n<p>So does heroin and being 200 pounds overweight. <\/p>\n<p>If you\u2019re smoking, shooting heroin, and 200 pounds overweight, you better quit your job right away.<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ve all heard of the <em>real<\/em> factors that have the biggest impacts on our mortality. For example, the CDC states that <a href=\"https:\/\/archive.cdc.gov\/www_cdc_gov\/tobacco\/data_statistics\/fact_sheets\/health_effects\/tobacco_related_mortality\/index.htm\">smokers\u2019 life expectancies are at least 10 years shorter than non-smokers<\/a>.<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"201\" height=\"251\" src=\"https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-14.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-60167\"\/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>10 years of life expectancy is a huge deal. That\u2019s why you\u2019ve heard of how bad smoking is. <\/p>\n<p>So \u2013 why aren\u2019t more legitimate people shouting about this \u201cretirement risk factor\u201d from the rooftops?  <\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Distribution Filter<\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;\">The American Academy of Actuaries (aka the foremost experts in longevity) includes\u00a0<strong>4 factors<\/strong>\u00a0when <a href=\"https:\/\/www.longevityillustrator.org\/\">helping retirees estimate their potential lifespan<\/a>.<\/span> Those four factors are: <\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Current Age<\/li>\n<li>Gender<\/li>\n<li>Smoking Status<\/li>\n<li>General Health<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The age at which you retire does not affect their estimates or probabilities of when you\u2019ll live. <\/p>\n<p>But even then, we need to consider the distribution! Meaning \u2013 should we think of longevity as one specific \u201caverage age of death?\u201d Or as a spectrum of ages and probabilities? <\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"485\" src=\"https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-7-1024x485.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-60158\" style=\"width:669px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-7-1024x485.png 1024w, https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-7-300x142.png 300w, https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-7-768x364.png 768w, https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-7.png 1240w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\"\/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>It\u2019s a spectrum. Not a specific age. <\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The \u201cShitty Decimal\u201d Filter<\/h2>\n<p>Personal pet peeve, but it has merit, too: <\/p>\n<p>Why are there tenths of years in the <em>\u201cAge at Retirement\u201d<\/em> column? Why aren\u2019t they simply, whole numbers? <\/p>\n<p>The independent variable in a study like this should be straightforward to express, so the results are easy to understand. We don\u2019t need, nor want, to understand tenths of a year there. <\/p>\n<p>The study looked at retirees of age 55.1, 56.4, and 58.3. <\/p>\n<p>It should be 55, 56, 57\u2026etc. <\/p>\n<p>The fact that it\u2019s <em>not<\/em> that way? It\u2019s just poorly done. And that raises suspicion. <\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"686\" height=\"386\" src=\"https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-16.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-60169\" style=\"width:440px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-16.png 686w, https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-16-300x169.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 686px) 100vw, 686px\"\/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Where Did This \u201cResult\u201d Come From?<\/h2>\n<p>Let\u2019s pivot. Where did this bad study come from in the first place? <\/p>\n<p>I had to do a little Internet rabbit-hole digging. Here\u2019s what I\u2019ve got: <\/p>\n<p>In 2002, a Chinese\/Taiwanese PhD named Sing Lin (<em>who I couldn\u2019t verify actually exists<\/em>) \u201cpublished\u201d this <a href=\"https:\/\/faculty.kfupm.edu.sa\/coe\/gutub\/english_misc\/retire1.htm\">\u201cpaper\u201d<\/a> where derives inspiration from Japanese physicist named Leo Esaki <em>(who does exist, and won a Nobel Prize in Physics). <\/em><\/p>\n<p>Dr. Esaki inspired this research by observing that for many people, their most creative years occur in the 20s and 30s, and that most people fall off precipitously in older age. <\/p>\n<p><em>In a beautiful ironic twist, Dr. Esaki was still working as recently as 2021, at the age of 96. Clearly, later retirement has harmed his longevity. <\/em><\/p>\n<p>The author, Sing Lin, then pivots to another PhD, Ephrem Cheng (<em>who I couldn\u2019t verify actually exists<\/em>), who is cited in the paper for providing the statistical data after analyzing Boeing Corporation\u2019s pension data<em>.<\/em> Supposedly, other large corporations (Lockheed, Ford, IBM) had similar data sets. <\/p>\n<p>These data sets all indicated that later retirees died sooner. <\/p>\n<p>Compelling?<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"489\" height=\"302\" src=\"https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-8.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-60160\" style=\"width:619px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-8.png 489w, https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-8-300x185.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 489px) 100vw, 489px\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>This is an actual graph from the paper, and even by 2002 Windows standards, it\u2019s ugly. <\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>Well, it <em>was<\/em> compelling until Boeing responded in 2004 to say, <em>\u201cYou know that weird \u2018study\u2019 that\u2019s going around and supposedly uses our pension data? Well, our actual pension actuary experts took a look and the whole thing is baloney.\u201d <\/em><\/p>\n<p>Here\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/dn720001.ca.archive.org\/0\/items\/boeing-lets-retire-the-rumor-about-life-expectancy-7.30.2004\/Boeing%20Let%27s%20Retire%20the%20Rumor%20About%20Life%20Expectancy%20-%207.30.2004.pdf\">the memo from Boeing<\/a>. <\/p>\n<p>The study is simply false. <\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">And What Does Research Actually Say?<\/h2>\n<p>As for <strong>real<\/strong> research, I\u2019m officially out over my skis here. I don\u2019t know statistics, actuarial science, or longevity research. <\/p>\n<p>But I <em>can<\/em> read English! <\/p>\n<p>Here\u2019s the summary from a peer-reviewed study in the <em><strong>Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health<\/strong>.<\/em> The study has the catchy name: <a href=\"https:\/\/pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/27001669\/\">\u201c<em>Association of retirement age with mortality: a population-based longitudinal study among older adults in the USA<\/em>\u201c<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Here\u2019s the part I <em>do<\/em> understand: <\/p>\n<p>\u201c<strong>Results:\u00a0<\/strong>\u2026a 1-year older age at retirement was associated with an 11% lower risk of all-cause mortality\u2026\u201d <\/p>\n<p><em>In other words: older age of retirement, LOWER risk of death. <\/em><\/p>\n<p>\u201c<strong>Conclusions:\u00a0<\/strong>Early retirement may be a risk factor for mortality and prolonged working life may provide survival benefits among US adults.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Well. That\u2019s the opposite of our apocryphal study. <\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Retire, Don\u2019t Die<\/h2>\n<p>Let\u2019s bury the hatchet in this fake study. <\/p>\n<p>Retiring later isn\u2019t a death sentence, and retiring early isn\u2019t the holy grail. <\/p>\n<p><em>This guy below is still working at <a href=\"https:\/\/indianajones.fandom.com\/wiki\/Grail_Knight\">age 700+!!!<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"400\" height=\"170\" src=\"https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-9.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-60162\" style=\"width:492px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-9.png 400w, https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-9-300x128.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 400px) 100vw, 400px\"\/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>Thank you for reading! Here are three quick notes for you: <\/p>\n<p><strong>First<\/strong> \u2013 If you enjoyed this article, join 1000\u2019s of subscribers who read Jesse\u2019s free weekly email, where he send you links to the smartest financial content I find online every week. 100% free, unsubscribe anytime.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Second<\/strong> \u2013 Jesse\u2019s podcast <em><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/personal-finance-for-long-term-investors\/\">\u201cPersonal Finance for Long-Term Investors\u201d<\/a><\/strong><\/em> has grown ~10x over the past couple years, now helping ~10,000 people per month. <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/podcasts.apple.com\/us\/podcast\/the-best-interest-personal-finance-for-long-term-investors\/id1553180943\">Tune in and check it out.<\/a>   <\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Last<\/strong> \u2013 Jesse works full-time for a fiduciary wealth management firm in Upstate NY. Jesse and his colleagues help families solve the expensive problems he writes and podcasts about. <a href=\"https:\/\/bestinterest.blog\/work\/\"><strong>Schedule a free call with Jesse<\/strong><\/a> to see if you\u2019re a good fit for his practice. <\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ll talk to you soon! <\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I am writing this post for one reason \u2013\u00a0 To debunk a terrible, bullsh** study which concludes that: \u201cThe later you retire, the earlier you die.\u201d\u00a0 Sounds\u2026intriguing?! Retire early = live longer?! Retire later = die sooner?! It pains me that a bunch of suckers in my line of business (creating educational personal finance content) [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":338243,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[93],"tags":[26041,1194,11253,11009],"dealstore":[],"offerexpiration":[],"class_list":["post-338242","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-finance","tag-debunked","tag-die","tag-earlier","tag-retire"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Debunked: The Later You Retire, The Earlier You Die?! - Som2ny Network<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=338242\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Debunked: The Later You Retire, The Earlier You Die?! - Som2ny Network\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"I am writing this post for one reason \u2013\u00a0 To debunk a terrible, bullsh** study which concludes that: \u201cThe later you retire, the earlier you die.\u201d\u00a0 Sounds\u2026intriguing?! Retire early = live longer?! Retire later = die sooner?! 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