{"id":299867,"date":"2025-06-18T02:03:50","date_gmt":"2025-06-18T02:03:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/peraltafinancing.com\/business\/investing\/stock-market-outlook-june-15-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-06-18T02:03:50","modified_gmt":"2025-06-18T02:03:50","slug":"stock-market-outlook-june-15-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=299867","title":{"rendered":"Stock Market Outlook \u2013 June 15 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p><strong>Stock Market Outlook entering the Week of June 15th = <span style=\"color: #008000\">Uptrend<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>ADX Directional Indicators:\u00a0<strong><span style=\"color: #008000\">Uptrend<\/span><\/strong><\/li>\n<li>Institutional Activity (Price &amp; Volume): <strong><span style=\"color: #008000\">Uptrend<\/span><\/strong><\/li>\n<li>On Balance Volume Indicator: <strong><span style=\"color: #008000\">Uptrend<\/span><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline\"><strong>ANALYSIS<\/strong><\/span><br \/>The stock market outlook stays in an uptrend, despite intensifying conflict on the world stage.<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"http:\/\/schrts.co\/MAZBdHHC\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">S&amp;P500 <em>( $SPX )<\/em><\/a> lost 0.4% last week.\u00a0 The index sits ~6% above the 50-day moving average and ~3% above the 200-day moving average.<\/p>\n<div data-shortcode=\"caption\" id=\"attachment_8977\" style=\"width: 650px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-8977\" data-attachment-id=\"8977\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/2025\/06\/15\/stock-market-outlook-june-15-2025\/2025-06-15-spx_trendline_analysis-daily\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/2025-06-15-spx_trendline_analysis-daily.png\" data-orig-size=\"1338,990\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"2025-06-15-SPX_Trendline_Analysis-Daily\" data-image-description=\"&lt;p&gt;Stock chart with trendlines, volume, ADX, and OBV for daily SPX prices&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;SPX Price &amp; Volume Chart for June 15 2025&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/2025-06-15-spx_trendline_analysis-daily.png?w=300\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/2025-06-15-spx_trendline_analysis-daily.png?w=640\" class=\"size-large wp-image-8977\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/2025-06-15-spx_trendline_analysis-daily.png?w=640\" alt=\"Technical analysis of daily SPX prices\" width=\"640\" height=\"474\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-8977\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">SPX Price &amp; Volume Chart for June 15 2025<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>The ADX, Institutional Activity, and On-Balance Volume are all in bullish territory.\u00a0 Distribution days remain low, but are worth watching over the next week or two.<\/p>\n<div data-shortcode=\"caption\" id=\"attachment_8976\" style=\"width: 650px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-8976\" data-attachment-id=\"8976\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/2025\/06\/15\/stock-market-outlook-june-15-2025\/2025-06-15-sector_performance_analysis\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/2025-06-15-sector_performance_analysis.png\" data-orig-size=\"1327,949\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"2025-06-15-Sector_Performance_Analysis\" data-image-description=\"&lt;p&gt;Data table with weekly returns for each S&amp;P500 Sector ETF&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;S&amp;P Sector Performance from Week 24 of 2025&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/2025-06-15-sector_performance_analysis.png?w=300\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/2025-06-15-sector_performance_analysis.png?w=640\" class=\"size-large wp-image-8976\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/2025-06-15-sector_performance_analysis.png?w=640\" alt=\"Weekly price performance of S&amp;P500 sector ETFs\" width=\"640\" height=\"458\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-8976\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">S&amp;P Sector Performance from Week 24 of 2025<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Energy <em>( $XLE )<\/em> led sectors higher last week, while Industrials <em>( $XLI )<\/em> lagged.\u00a0 Energy <em>( $XLE )<\/em> and Healthcare <em>( $XLV )<\/em> improved to bullish bias.<\/p>\n<div data-shortcode=\"caption\" id=\"attachment_8978\" style=\"width: 650px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-8978\" data-attachment-id=\"8978\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/2025\/06\/15\/stock-market-outlook-june-15-2025\/2025-06-15-style_performance_analysis\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/2025-06-15-style_performance_analysis.png\" data-orig-size=\"1321,956\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"2025-06-15-Style_Performance_Analysis\" data-image-description=\"&lt;p&gt;Data table with weekly returns for each investing style&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;Sector Style Performance from Week 24 of 2025&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/2025-06-15-style_performance_analysis.png?w=300\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/2025-06-15-style_performance_analysis.png?w=640\" class=\"size-large wp-image-8978\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/2025-06-15-style_performance_analysis.png?w=640\" alt=\"Weekly price performance by sector style\" width=\"640\" height=\"463\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-8978\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Sector Style Performance from Week 24 of 2025<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>High Beta <em>( $SPHB )<\/em> was the best performing style for the second week in a row, and Momentum <em>( $MTUM )<\/em> lagged.\u00a0 High Dividend <em>( $SPHD )<\/em> improved to bullish bias.<\/p>\n<div data-shortcode=\"caption\" id=\"attachment_8975\" style=\"width: 650px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-8975\" data-attachment-id=\"8975\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/2025\/06\/15\/stock-market-outlook-june-15-2025\/2025-06-15-asset_class_performance\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/2025-06-15-asset_class_performance.png\" data-orig-size=\"1327,704\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"2025-06-15-Asset_Class_Performance\" data-image-description=\"&lt;p&gt;Data table with weekly returns for various asset classes&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;Asset Class Performance from Week 24 2025&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/2025-06-15-asset_class_performance.png?w=300\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/2025-06-15-asset_class_performance.png?w=640\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-large wp-image-8975\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/2025-06-15-asset_class_performance.png?w=640\" alt=\"Weekly price performance by asset class\" width=\"640\" height=\"340\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-8975\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Asset Class Performance from Week 24 2025<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Oil <em>( $USO )<\/em> led assets higher again last week, while the U.S. Dollar was the worst performer.\u00a0 U.S. Bonds <em>( $IEF )<\/em> improved to neutral again, continuing its recent oscillations between bias levels.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline\"><strong>COMMENTARY<\/strong><\/span><br \/>The uptrend in equities has remained quite resilient despite recent increases global conflict.\u00a0 Many market participants point out that the typical \u201cflight to safety\u201d trade (U.S. bonds) hasn\u2019t occurred, so financial markets are saying all is well.\u00a0 That\u2019s no reason to get complacent.<\/p>\n<p>This time around, flows shifted more toward hard assets like gold or platinum, rather than U.S.-based assets like the dollar and bonds.\u00a0 Even silver has been on the move.\u00a0 So the flight to safety is on, just not into the traditional allocations.<\/p>\n<p>The volatility index <em>( $VIX )<\/em> is back above 20 as well, signaling elevated risk and choppy price action<em> ( 30 = high risk \/ crash )<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>For now, continue harvesting gains from outperforming \/ overbought areas and redeploy to those that are lagging \/ oversold, within assets showing bullish bias.\u00a0 But be aware that the investing environment can and does change quickly.<\/p>\n<p>Inflation data rose slightly in May, though not as much as anticipated in most cases.\u00a0\u00a0Headline CPI rose 0.1%, while Core CPI remained steady.<\/p>\n<table style=\"border-collapse: collapse;width: AUTO\" border=\"1\" width=\"AUTO\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"7\">\n<tbody>\n<tr style=\"width: 50pt;height: 15.0pt\">\n<td><strong>CPI (y\/y)<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\"><strong>Actual<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\"><strong>Prior<br \/><\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\"><strong>Expected<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"width: 50pt;height: 15.0pt\">\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>Headline<\/em><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>+2.4%<\/em><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>+2.3%<\/em><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>+2.5%<\/em><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"width: 50pt;height: 15.0pt\">\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>Core<\/em><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>+2.8%<\/em><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>+2.8%<\/em><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>+2.9%<\/em><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Headline PPI rose in May, while Core PPI fell.\u00a0 April data was revised higher by +0.1%.<\/p>\n<table style=\"border-collapse: collapse;width: AUTO\" border=\"1\" width=\"AUTO\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"7\">\n<tbody>\n<tr style=\"width: 50pt;height: 15.0pt\">\n<td><strong>PPI (y\/y)<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\"><strong>Actual<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\"><strong>Prior<br \/><\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\"><strong>Expected<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"width: 50pt;height: 15.0pt\">\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>Headline<\/em><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>+2.6%<\/em><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>+2.5%<\/em><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>+2.6%<\/em><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"width: 50pt;height: 15.0pt\">\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>Core<\/em><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>+3.0%<\/em><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>+3.2%*<\/em><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>+3.1%<\/em><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>This week, May retail sales data comes out Tuesday, FOMC makes another interest rate decision Wednesday, and US markets are closed Thursday for Juneteenth.<\/p>\n<p>Best to Your Week!<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><strong><em>P.S. If you find this research helpful, please tell a friend.<br \/>If you don\u2019t, tell an enemy.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<h6>Sources: Bloomberg, CNBC, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Hedgeye, Stockcharts.com, TradingEconomics.com, U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics<\/h6>\n<hr\/>\n<h6>Invest Safely, LLC is an independent investment research and online financial media company.\u00a0 Use of Invest Safely, LLC and any other products available through invest-safely.com is subject to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy.<\/h6>\n<h6>Not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.<\/h6>\n<\/p><\/div>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Stock Market Outlook entering the Week of June 15th = Uptrend ADX Directional Indicators:\u00a0Uptrend Institutional Activity (Price &amp; Volume): Uptrend On Balance Volume Indicator: Uptrend ANALYSISThe stock market outlook stays in an uptrend, despite intensifying conflict on the world stage. The S&amp;P500 ( $SPX ) lost 0.4% last week.\u00a0 The index sits ~6% above the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":299868,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[96],"tags":[6128,11209,12752,3310],"dealstore":[],"offerexpiration":[],"class_list":["post-299867","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-investing","tag-june","tag-market","tag-outlook","tag-stock"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Stock Market Outlook \u2013 June 15 2025 - Som2ny Network<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=299867\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Stock Market Outlook \u2013 June 15 2025 - Som2ny Network\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Stock Market Outlook entering the Week of June 15th = Uptrend ADX Directional Indicators:\u00a0Uptrend Institutional Activity (Price &amp; Volume): Uptrend On Balance Volume Indicator: Uptrend ANALYSISThe stock market outlook stays in an uptrend, despite intensifying conflict on the world stage. 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