{"id":294057,"date":"2025-06-15T02:58:37","date_gmt":"2025-06-15T02:58:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/peraltafinancing.com\/uncategorized\/forexlive-americas-fx-news-wrap-13-jun-markets-are-in-flux-as-israel-and-iran-lob-bombs\/"},"modified":"2025-06-15T02:58:37","modified_gmt":"2025-06-15T02:58:37","slug":"forexlive-americas-fx-news-wrap-13-jun-markets-are-in-flux-as-israel-and-iran-lob-bombs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=294057","title":{"rendered":"Forexlive Americas FX news wrap 13 Jun: Markets are in flux as Israel and Iran lob bombs"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div id=\"\">\n<p data-start=\"0\" data-end=\"248\" data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">The <strong data-start=\"4\" data-end=\"42\" data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">U.S. dollar moved higher overnight (and coming into the US session)<\/strong>, driven by classic <strong data-start=\"62\" data-end=\"88\" data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">flight-to-safety flows<\/strong> following Israel&#8217;s strike on Iran. However, <strong data-start=\"133\" data-end=\"180\" data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">U.S. yields did not follow the usual script<\/strong>\u2014instead of falling amid geopolitical stress, they moved <strong data-start=\"237\" data-end=\"247\" data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">higher<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"250\" data-end=\"707\" data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">This divergence from the typical Pavlovian response raises questions. It may reflect <strong data-start=\"335\" data-end=\"356\" data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">rising oil prices<\/strong> and the <strong data-start=\"365\" data-end=\"396\" data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">renewed threat of inflation<\/strong>, which can put upward pressure on yields. Alternatively, it could be a <strong data-start=\"468\" data-end=\"493\" data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">technical retracement<\/strong>, with yields rebounding after recently dipping below key benchmarks\u2014<strong data-start=\"562\" data-end=\"583\" data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">4% for the 2-year<\/strong>, <strong data-start=\"585\" data-end=\"609\" data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">4.5% for the 10-year<\/strong>, and <strong data-start=\"615\" data-end=\"637\" data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">5% for the 30-year<\/strong>\u2014that had served as rough markers for the yield curve in recent weeks.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"709\" data-end=\"996\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\" data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">Or perhaps it\u2019s something broader: <strong data-start=\"744\" data-end=\"764\" data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">investor fatigue<\/strong> with the constant swings in policy tone from the Trump administration and escalating global tensions. Whatever the reason, markets are behaving less predictably\u2014adding another layer of complexity for traders and policymakers alike.<\/p>\n<p data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">Regardless of the reason, today yields moved higher.<\/p>\n<p data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">Looking at the near-closing levels in the US debt market:<\/p>\n<ul data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">\n<li data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">2 year yield 3.952%, +4.6 basis points.<\/li>\n<li data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">5-year yield 4.008%, +4.9 basis points<\/li>\n<li data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">10 year yield 4.408%, +5.2 basis points.<\/li>\n<li data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">30 year yield 4.901%, +5.9 basis points<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-start=\"0\" data-end=\"266\" data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">The <strong data-start=\"4\" data-end=\"19\" data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">U.S. dollar<\/strong> initially rose on the back of <strong data-start=\"50\" data-end=\"76\" data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">flight-to-safety flows<\/strong>, but those gains began to fade as the day progressed. While the greenback is still closing higher against all major currency pairs, it has pulled back significantly from its intraday highs.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"268\" data-end=\"437\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\" data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">Despite the late-day retracement, a look at end-of-day levels shows the <strong data-start=\"340\" data-end=\"380\" data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">dollar posted gains across the board<\/strong>, finishing stronger versus each of the major currencies.<\/p>\n<ul data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">\n<li data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">EUR 0.38%<\/li>\n<li data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">GBP 0.39%<\/li>\n<li data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">JPY +0.39%<\/li>\n<li data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">CHF +0.15%<\/li>\n<li data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">CAD +0.06%<\/li>\n<li data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">AUD +0.72%<\/li>\n<li data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">NZD +0.96%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">For the trading week, although the USD was higher for the day, it was lower for the week:<\/p>\n<ul data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">\n<li data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">EUR -1.79%<\/li>\n<li data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">GBP -0.26%<\/li>\n<li data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">JPY -0.53%<\/li>\n<li data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">CHF -1.26%<\/li>\n<li data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">CAD -0.70%<\/li>\n<li data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">AUD unchanged<\/li>\n<li data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">NZD -0.06%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">US stocks fell in trading today and that helped to push the major indices negative for the week:<\/p>\n<ul data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">\n<li data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">Dow -1.79% for the day and -1.32% for the week<\/li>\n<li data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">S&amp;P -1.13% for the day and -0.39% for the week.<\/li>\n<li data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">NASDAQ index -1.30% for the day and -0.63% of Week.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-start=\"0\" data-end=\"295\" data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">Looking ahead, <strong data-start=\"15\" data-end=\"64\" data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran<\/strong> are expected to keep markets on edge, fueling ongoing uncertainty. At the same time, a packed central bank calendar will shape the direction of global monetary policy, with the <strong data-start=\"242\" data-end=\"294\" data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">Federal Reserve taking center stage on Wednesday<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"297\" data-end=\"717\" data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">While the Fed is widely expected to keep rates unchanged, the market\u2019s attention will be firmly on the <strong data-start=\"400\" data-end=\"420\" data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">policy statement<\/strong>, <strong data-start=\"422\" data-end=\"446\" data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">economic projections<\/strong>, and the <strong data-start=\"456\" data-end=\"468\" data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">dot plot<\/strong> outlining future rate expectations. This comes on the heels of cooler-than-expected inflation data, which has eased some pressure. However, the potential inflationary impact of tariffs remains a concern, as does the risk of softening labor markets.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"719\" data-end=\"1107\" data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">Other key central banks will also be in the spotlight. The <strong data-start=\"778\" data-end=\"795\" data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">Bank of Japan<\/strong> will announce its decision on Tuesday\u2014no change is expected as policymakers remain firmly dovish. On Thursday, the <strong data-start=\"911\" data-end=\"930\" data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">Bank of England<\/strong> is also expected to hold rates steady, while the <strong data-start=\"980\" data-end=\"1003\" data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">Swiss National Bank<\/strong> is anticipated to deliver a <strong data-start=\"1032\" data-end=\"1059\" data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">25 basis point rate cut<\/strong>, potentially lowering its policy rate to 0.00%.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1109\" data-end=\"1348\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\" data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">Beyond central banks, the economic calendar is also active, featuring <strong data-start=\"1179\" data-end=\"1200\" data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">U.S. retail sales<\/strong>, <strong data-start=\"1202\" data-end=\"1235\" data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">Australian employment figures<\/strong>, and the latest reading on <strong data-start=\"1263\" data-end=\"1273\" data-v-7f05d5e4=\"\">UK GDP<\/strong>\u2014all of which could provide further insight into the global growth outlook.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div data-v-5e3b6b10=\"\" data-v-75b2d9a1=\"\">\n  Later this year,<br \/>\n  <a href=\"https:\/\/www.forexlive.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" data-v-5e3b6b10=\"\"><b data-v-5e3b6b10=\"\">ForexLive.com<\/b><\/a><br \/>\n  is evolving into<br \/>\n  <a href=\"https:\/\/investinglive.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-v-5e3b6b10=\"\"><b data-v-5e3b6b10=\"\">investingLive.com<\/b><\/a>, a new destination for intelligent market updates and smarter<br \/>\n  decision-making for investors and traders alike.\n<\/div>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The U.S. dollar moved higher overnight (and coming into the US session), driven by classic flight-to-safety flows following Israel&#8217;s strike on Iran. However, U.S. yields did not follow the usual script\u2014instead of falling amid geopolitical stress, they moved higher. This divergence from the typical Pavlovian response raises questions. It may reflect rising oil prices and [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":294058,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[88],"tags":[17103,2809,10490,125487,14970,16978,39414,125488,11715,1820,2565],"dealstore":[],"offerexpiration":[],"class_list":["post-294057","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-americas","tag-bombs","tag-flux","tag-forexlive","tag-iran","tag-israel","tag-jun","tag-lob","tag-markets","tag-news","tag-wrap"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Forexlive Americas FX news wrap 13 Jun: Markets are in flux as Israel and Iran lob bombs - Som2ny Network<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=294057\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Forexlive Americas FX news wrap 13 Jun: Markets are in flux as Israel and Iran lob bombs - Som2ny Network\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The U.S. dollar moved higher overnight (and coming into the US session), driven by classic flight-to-safety flows following Israel&#8217;s strike on Iran. 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However, U.S. yields did not follow the usual script\u2014instead of falling amid geopolitical stress, they moved higher. This divergence from the typical Pavlovian response raises questions. 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