{"id":264581,"date":"2025-05-31T00:59:27","date_gmt":"2025-05-31T00:59:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/peraltafinancing.com\/business\/investing\/got-gas-capitalist-exploits\/"},"modified":"2025-05-31T00:59:27","modified_gmt":"2025-05-31T00:59:27","slug":"got-gas-capitalist-exploits","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=264581","title":{"rendered":"Got gas? \u2013 Capitalist Exploits"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83c\udf99\ufe0f<strong>\u00a0NEW PODCAST WITH CHRIS AND BRAD<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Chris and Brad joined Danny on the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=3I9NEV1HKAI\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">CapitalCosm show<\/a>\u00a0to talk about the energy market and the opportunities they\u2019re seeing right now.<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=3I9NEV1HKAI\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"500\" height=\"283\" src=\"https:\/\/capitalistexploits.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-8.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-36050\" srcset=\"https:\/\/capitalistexploits.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-8.jpeg 500w, https:\/\/capitalistexploits.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-8-300x170.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/capitalistexploits.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-8-125x71.jpeg 125w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>Here\u2019s just a smattering of the topics the gents have touched on:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>With oil down almost 50% over the last 36 months,\u00a0<strong>how did fundamentals change and how do Chris and Brad feel about the oil and gas investments today?<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>The great European blackout:<\/strong>\u00a0what was behind the worst power failure in modern times.<\/li>\n<li>As major tech players like Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, and others are now getting directly involved in nuclear to power AI data centers,\u00a0<strong>what do these shifts mean for the energy market?<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>The Youtube indicator for finding contrarian opportunities.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>China vs. US:<\/strong>\u00a0what opportunities does an AI arms race between the world\u2019s top 2 economies open up for investors?<\/li>\n<li>Why the price of natural gas is a\u00a0<strong>key indicator in the energy market.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u2026and much more. You can listen to the entire conversation\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=3I9NEV1HKAI\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">on Youtube here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83d\udca8<strong>\u00a0GOT GAS?<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>While on the topic of energy\u2026<\/p>\n<p>The following chart caught our collective eye.<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"500\" height=\"468\" src=\"https:\/\/capitalistexploits.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-7.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-36049\" srcset=\"https:\/\/capitalistexploits.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-7.jpeg 500w, https:\/\/capitalistexploits.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-7-300x281.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/capitalistexploits.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-7-125x117.jpeg 125w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\"\/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>As you can see, data centers already consume more electricity than France \u2014 the world\u2019s 7th biggest economy. And with power-hungry AI data centers now being added into the mix, this demand is on track to triple over the next 5 years.<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s an \u201cisht\u201d ton of new energy that will have to come from\u2026 somewhere. We have been saying for years that the best way to play the AI boom isn\u2019t to load up on NVIDIA and the likes\u2026 but to buy coal, natural gas, and uranium.<\/p>\n<p>And lookie here\u2026<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"500\" height=\"203\" src=\"https:\/\/capitalistexploits.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-6.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-36048\" srcset=\"https:\/\/capitalistexploits.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-6.jpeg 500w, https:\/\/capitalistexploits.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-6-300x122.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/capitalistexploits.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-6-125x51.jpeg 125w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\"\/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>From the article:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><em>President Donald Trump signed a series of executive orders May 23 intended to overhaul the regulation of commercial nuclear reactors and speed the process of building and deploying nuclear power.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>During the signing, which was attended by the CEOs of major nuclear-related companies, Trump argued the \u201ctechnology has come a long way, both in safety and cost.\u201d The orders realize a long-held Republican goal of deregulating nuclear power.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>According to a senior White House official, the four executive orders aim to expedite reactor research &amp; development, streamline regulations to allow the Pentagon and other agencies to build reactors on federally owned land, change the Nuclear Regulatory Commission and sets new timelines for its consideration of construction permits, and expand domestic uranium production and enrichment capabilities.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>This is yuuuge for uranium. But before you pull up your Interactive Brokers app to buy uranium stocks, keep in mind it will take 5 years to bring any additional nuclear capacity online (and that\u2019s being very generous).<\/p>\n<p>This extra supply will have to come from either coal and\/or natural gas. And since in the west, coal is as welcome as a fart in a crowded elevator, this leaves us with natural gas.<\/p>\n<p>Our view is that demand for it is set to increase dramatically in the coming years \u2014 double from today\u2019s levels, according to this chart (h\/t @Josh_Young_1).<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"500\" height=\"481\" src=\"https:\/\/capitalistexploits.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-5.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-36047\" srcset=\"https:\/\/capitalistexploits.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-5.jpeg 500w, https:\/\/capitalistexploits.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-5-300x289.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/capitalistexploits.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-5-125x120.jpeg 125w, https:\/\/capitalistexploits.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-5-24x24.jpeg 24w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\"\/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>Perhaps that\u2019s why \u201cnatty\u201d gas stocks have been on a tear lately (for instance, one position in our\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/capexinsider.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><em>Insider portfolio<\/em><\/a>\u00a0is up some 200%, though it has been a marathon of patience \u2014 with multiple 30+% pullbacks along the way).<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u2696\ufe0f<strong>\u00a0POSITION SIZING MATTERS<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/manual.compoundplanning.com\/chapters\/a-conversation-with-michael-mauboussin\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">This interview<\/a>\u00a0with Morgan Stanley\u2019s research head, Michael Mauboussin, is well worth your time. The following section on position sizing is particularly worth highlighting:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><em>There\u2019s one other thing [Druckenmiller] talked about and it was about position sizing. Broadly speaking when you\u2019re trying to maximize your returns, you need two things. One is you need some sort of an edge. Edge means you have a belief or a mathematical advantage that\u2019s not reflected in the current odds or in the market price. The second thing is how much you can bet on that when you have that advantage. And the intuition is quite straightforward. If you had perfect information, you knew your bet was going to make you money. You would bet everything you could, right?<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>And then there are degrees of certainty about that. So there\u2019s this relationship between edge and betting size, and that leads to your total ability to generate excess returns. He has this sort of zinger, where he says, people said, what did you learn from Soros? And he said, the main thing that he learned from Soros was that position sizing was 70 to 80% of the game. The reason that struck me is because, first of all,\u00a0<strong>purportedly George Soros made money on fewer than 30% of his trades. And that alone is worth letting settle in a bit. And he\u2019s one of the great investors of our time. So what does that mean?<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>It means that he made a lot of investments that lost money. They probably did not lose much money. And when he did make money, he made a lot of money, both by betting a lot of money and by letting it run simultaneously. That I thought was a really interesting lesson.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Position sizing is a topic we harp on about a lot here at Capitalist Exploits HQ. Successful (asymmetric) investing is a matter of weighing probabilities and sizing your trades appropriately.<\/p>\n<p>Keep your position sizing small enough that you don\u2019t give an isht if a trade turns against you (like the natural gas trade we mentioned earlier), but big enough that it can move the needle on your portfolio.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83c\udfc3\u200d\u2642\ufe0f<strong>\u00a0GOLD: RUNNING LIKE THE POLICE ARE AFTER IT<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Speaking of \u201cneedle-moving\u201d investments, check out this chart (h\/t @MikeZaccardi)\u2026<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"500\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/capitalistexploits.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-4.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-36046\" srcset=\"https:\/\/capitalistexploits.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-4.jpeg 500w, https:\/\/capitalistexploits.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-4-300x253.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/capitalistexploits.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-4-125x106.jpeg 125w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\"\/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>Not something most people would\u2019ve expected \u2014 especially given that growth stocks like NVIDIA, Microsoft, Tesla, etc. make up a good chunk of the S&amp;P 500.<\/p>\n<p>And while gold was running like the police was after it over the recent months, gold miners have been an entirely different story.<\/p>\n<p>For a looong time, they went nowhere (despite the favorable fundamentals being there all along), and we had nothing to show for it. As an aside, a practical lesson in position sizing \u2014 we only had a 5% initial position size in gold miners. If that was a 20% position size, we probably wouldn\u2019t have been able to hold that position for the length of time we did.<\/p>\n<p>But so far this year, gold miners have been beating the pants off gold. Here\u2019s the gold miners ETF (GDX) against gold.<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"500\" height=\"287\" src=\"https:\/\/capitalistexploits.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-3.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-36045\" srcset=\"https:\/\/capitalistexploits.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-3.jpeg 500w, https:\/\/capitalistexploits.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-3-300x172.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/capitalistexploits.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-3-125x72.jpeg 125w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\"\/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>According to a recent Wall Street Journal article,\u00a0<strong>gold-mining margins are currently sitting at a 50-year high<\/strong>. But ironically (though not surprisingly), most investors still couldn\u2019t care less about gold or gold miners.<\/p>\n<p>Case in point, Tavi Costa (@TaviCosta) shared this chart about how family offices are positioned. You have to squint to even see the gold chunk. Gold and other precious metals make for just 2% of family office portfolios while they have less than 1% in commodities.<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"500\" height=\"500\" src=\"https:\/\/capitalistexploits.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-2.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-36044\" srcset=\"https:\/\/capitalistexploits.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-2.jpeg 500w, https:\/\/capitalistexploits.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-2-300x300.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/capitalistexploits.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-2-125x125.jpeg 125w, https:\/\/capitalistexploits.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-2-100x100.jpeg 100w, https:\/\/capitalistexploits.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-2-24x24.jpeg 24w, https:\/\/capitalistexploits.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-2-48x48.jpeg 48w, https:\/\/capitalistexploits.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-2-96x96.jpeg 96w, https:\/\/capitalistexploits.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-2-150x150.jpeg 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\"\/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>Our hunch is that this will change materially if gold and gold stocks keep on running.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83e\udd23<strong>\u00a0WEEKLY HUMOUR<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Some ESG-compliant humour (from Insider member Patrick):<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"365\" height=\"500\" src=\"https:\/\/capitalistexploits.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-1.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-36043\" srcset=\"https:\/\/capitalistexploits.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-1.jpeg 365w, https:\/\/capitalistexploits.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-1-219x300.jpeg 219w, https:\/\/capitalistexploits.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-1-91x125.jpeg 91w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 365px) 100vw, 365px\"\/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>And lastly, if you have no plans for the weekend, here\u2019s an idea (courtesy of\u00a0<em>Insider<\/em>\u00a0member Clint)\u2026<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"411\" height=\"500\" src=\"https:\/\/capitalistexploits.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-36042\" srcset=\"https:\/\/capitalistexploits.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image.jpeg 411w, https:\/\/capitalistexploits.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-247x300.jpeg 247w, https:\/\/capitalistexploits.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-103x125.jpeg 103w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 411px) 100vw, 411px\"\/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>Wishing you a great weekend!<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ud83c\udf99\ufe0f\u00a0NEW PODCAST WITH CHRIS AND BRAD Chris and Brad joined Danny on the\u00a0CapitalCosm show\u00a0to talk about the energy market and the opportunities they\u2019re seeing right now. Here\u2019s just a smattering of the topics the gents have touched on: With oil down almost 50% over the last 36 months,\u00a0how did fundamentals change and how do Chris [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":264582,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[96],"tags":[15977,15978,1510],"dealstore":[],"offerexpiration":[],"class_list":["post-264581","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-investing","tag-capitalist","tag-exploits","tag-gas"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Got gas? \u2013 Capitalist Exploits - Som2ny Network<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=264581\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Got gas? \u2013 Capitalist Exploits - Som2ny Network\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\ud83c\udf99\ufe0f\u00a0NEW PODCAST WITH CHRIS AND BRAD Chris and Brad joined Danny on the\u00a0CapitalCosm show\u00a0to talk about the energy market and the opportunities they\u2019re seeing right now. 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\u2013 Capitalist Exploits - Som2ny Network","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=264581","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Got gas? \u2013 Capitalist Exploits - Som2ny Network","og_description":"\ud83c\udf99\ufe0f\u00a0NEW PODCAST WITH CHRIS AND BRAD Chris and Brad joined Danny on the\u00a0CapitalCosm show\u00a0to talk about the energy market and the opportunities they\u2019re seeing right now. 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