{"id":260795,"date":"2025-05-28T01:19:12","date_gmt":"2025-05-28T01:19:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/peraltafinancing.com\/business\/investing\/stock-market-outlook-may-25-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-05-28T01:19:12","modified_gmt":"2025-05-28T01:19:12","slug":"stock-market-outlook-may-25-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=260795","title":{"rendered":"Stock Market Outlook \u2013 May 25 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p><strong>Stock Market Outlook entering the Week of May 25th = <span style=\"color: #008000\">Uptrend<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>ADX Directional Indicators:\u00a0<strong><span style=\"color: #008000\">Uptrend<\/span><\/strong><\/li>\n<li>Institutional Activity (Price &amp; Volume): <strong><span style=\"color: #008000\">Uptrend<\/span><\/strong><\/li>\n<li>On Balance Volume Indicator: <strong><span style=\"color: #008000\">Uptrend<\/span><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline\"><strong>ANALYSIS<\/strong><\/span><br \/>The stock market outlook stays in an uptrend, as equities retreated to the 200-day moving average.<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"http:\/\/schrts.co\/MAZBdHHC\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">S&amp;P500 <em>( $SPX )<\/em><\/a> fell 2.6% last week.\u00a0 The index sits ~4% above the 50-day moving average and ~1% above the 200-day moving average.<\/p>\n<div data-shortcode=\"caption\" id=\"attachment_8933\" style=\"width: 650px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-8933\" data-attachment-id=\"8933\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/2025\/05\/25\/stock-market-outlook-may-25-2025\/2025-05-25-spx_trendline_analysis-daily\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/2025-05-25-spx_trendline_analysis-daily.png\" data-orig-size=\"1329,990\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"2025-05-25-SPX_Trendline_Analysis-Daily\" data-image-description=\"&lt;p&gt;Stock chart with trendlines, volume, ADX, and OBV for daily SPX prices&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;SPX Price &amp; Volume Chart for May 25 2025&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/2025-05-25-spx_trendline_analysis-daily.png?w=300\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/2025-05-25-spx_trendline_analysis-daily.png?w=640\" class=\"size-large wp-image-8933\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/2025-05-25-spx_trendline_analysis-daily.png?w=640\" alt=\"Technical analysis of daily SPX prices \" width=\"640\" height=\"477\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-8933\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">SPX Price &amp; Volume Chart for May 25 2025<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>All three technical indicators remain bullish. The Direction Indicator <em>( ADX )<\/em> could flip to bearish if price decides to head lower and fill the May 12 gap.<\/p>\n<div data-shortcode=\"caption\" id=\"attachment_8932\" style=\"width: 650px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-8932\" data-attachment-id=\"8932\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/2025\/05\/25\/stock-market-outlook-may-25-2025\/2025-05-25-sector_performance_analysis\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/2025-05-25-sector_performance_analysis.png\" data-orig-size=\"1327,949\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"2025-05-25-Sector_Performance_Analysis\" data-image-description=\"&lt;p&gt;Data table with weekly returns for each S&amp;P500 Sector ETF&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;S&amp;P Sector Performance for Week 22 of 2025&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/2025-05-25-sector_performance_analysis.png?w=300\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/2025-05-25-sector_performance_analysis.png?w=640\" class=\"size-large wp-image-8932\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/2025-05-25-sector_performance_analysis.png?w=640\" alt=\"Weekly price performance of S&amp;P500 sector ETFs\" width=\"640\" height=\"458\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-8932\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">S&amp;P Sector Performance for Week 22 of 2025<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Consumer Staples <em>( $XLP )<\/em>\u00a0 held up the best last week, while Energy <em>( $XLE )<\/em> was the worst performer and fell back down to bearish bias.\u00a0 Real estate <em>( $XLRE )<\/em>\u00a0 slid to neutral on the rise in treasury yields.<\/p>\n<div data-shortcode=\"caption\" id=\"attachment_8934\" style=\"width: 650px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-8934\" data-attachment-id=\"8934\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/2025\/05\/25\/stock-market-outlook-may-25-2025\/2025-05-25-style_performance_analysis\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/2025-05-25-style_performance_analysis.png\" data-orig-size=\"1321,956\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"2025-05-25-Style_Performance_Analysis\" data-image-description=\"&lt;p&gt;Data table with weekly returns for each investing style&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;Sector Style Performance for Week 22 of 2025&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/2025-05-25-style_performance_analysis.png?w=300\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/2025-05-25-style_performance_analysis.png?w=640\" class=\"size-large wp-image-8934\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/2025-05-25-style_performance_analysis.png?w=640\" alt=\"Weekly price performance by sector style\" width=\"640\" height=\"463\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-8934\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Sector Style Performance for Week 22 of 2025<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Low Beta <em>( $SPLV )<\/em> was the best style last week, while High Beta <em>( $SPLV )<\/em> was the worst.\u00a0 High Dividend <em>( $SPHD )<\/em> fell to Bearish bias as well, hit by weak equity performance and interest rates.<\/p>\n<div data-shortcode=\"caption\" id=\"attachment_8931\" style=\"width: 650px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-8931\" data-attachment-id=\"8931\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/2025\/05\/25\/stock-market-outlook-may-25-2025\/2025-05-25-asset_class_performance\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/2025-05-25-asset_class_performance.png\" data-orig-size=\"1327,704\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"2025-05-25-Asset_Class_Performance\" data-image-description=\"&lt;p&gt;Data table with weekly returns for various asset classes&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;Asset Class Performance for Week 22 2025&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/2025-05-25-asset_class_performance.png?w=300\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/2025-05-25-asset_class_performance.png?w=640\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-large wp-image-8931\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/2025-05-25-asset_class_performance.png?w=640\" alt=\"Weekly price performance by asset class\" width=\"640\" height=\"340\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-8931\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Asset Class Performance for Week 22 2025<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Gold <em>( $GLD )<\/em> clawed back some gains last week, followed closely by Bitcoin <em>( $IBIT ),<\/em>\u00a0 while equities led to the downside <em>( $SPY )<\/em> was the worst performer.\u00a0 No bias changes to report.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline\"><strong>COMMENTARY<\/strong><\/span><br \/>Equity indexes gave back some of their recent gains last week and tested support at the 50-day moving average.\u00a0 Headline volatility remains a risk, with markets hyper-fixated on tariff news.<\/p>\n<p>On Thursday, the U.S. House of Representatives passed the \u201cBig, Beautiful\u201d tax bill, which is front loaded with tax cuts and back loaded with spending reductions. The Congressional Budget Office estimates that the bill would add ~$3 trillion to the deficit over the next ten years, but that\u2019s also front loaded.<\/p>\n<p>While the tax cuts and new spending are likely to have a stimulative effect in the short term, the bond market responded by sending the 10-year yield above 4.5% and the 30-year above 5%. Bond markets are paying attention to government debt and related costs. The interest paid by the U.S. government is already approaching historic levels, and financing this additional debt at higher rates will push the interest paid even higher, thereby putting more upward pressure on treasury yields.<\/p>\n<p>Looking ahead, markets are closed tomorrow for Memorial Day.\u00a0 Data-wise, we get the latest Durable Goods Orders on Tuesday, FOMC minutes Wednesday, a revised GDP figure Thursday, and PCE on Friday.<\/p>\n<p>Trading volume was below average last week, which should\u2019ve created some decent entry points for long set-ups.\u00a0 Look for tickers with a bullish bias that break out of proper set-ups when trading resumes.<\/p>\n<p>Best to Your Week!<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><strong><em>P.S. If you find this research helpful, please tell a friend.<br \/>If you don\u2019t, tell an enemy.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<h6>Sources: Bloomberg, CNBC, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Hedgeye, Stockcharts.com, TradingEconomics.com, U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics<\/h6>\n<hr\/>\n<h6>Invest Safely, LLC is an independent investment research and online financial media company.\u00a0 Use of Invest Safely, LLC and any other products available through invest-safely.com is subject to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy.<\/h6>\n<h6>Not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.<\/h6>\n<\/p><\/div>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Stock Market Outlook entering the Week of May 25th = Uptrend ADX Directional Indicators:\u00a0Uptrend Institutional Activity (Price &amp; Volume): Uptrend On Balance Volume Indicator: Uptrend ANALYSISThe stock market outlook stays in an uptrend, as equities retreated to the 200-day moving average. The S&amp;P500 ( $SPX ) fell 2.6% last week.\u00a0 The index sits ~4% above [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":260796,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[96],"tags":[11209,12752,3310],"dealstore":[],"offerexpiration":[],"class_list":["post-260795","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-investing","tag-market","tag-outlook","tag-stock"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Stock Market Outlook \u2013 May 25 2025 - Som2ny Network<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=260795\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Stock Market Outlook \u2013 May 25 2025 - Som2ny Network\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Stock Market Outlook entering the Week of May 25th = Uptrend ADX Directional Indicators:\u00a0Uptrend Institutional Activity (Price &amp; Volume): Uptrend On Balance Volume Indicator: Uptrend ANALYSISThe stock market outlook stays in an uptrend, as equities retreated to the 200-day moving average. The S&amp;P500 ( $SPX ) fell 2.6% last week.\u00a0 The index sits ~4% above [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=260795\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Som2ny Network\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-05-28T01:19:12+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/2025-05-25-spx_trendline_analysis-daily.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"639\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"476\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=260795#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=260795\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/b85e3c3dc0e1daea076524dc8810c371\"},\"headline\":\"Stock Market Outlook \u2013 May 25 2025\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-05-28T01:19:12+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=260795\"},\"wordCount\":539,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=260795#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/2025-05-25-spx_trendline_analysis-daily.png\",\"keywords\":[\"Market\",\"Outlook\",\"STOCK\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Investing\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=260795#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=260795\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=260795\",\"name\":\"Stock Market Outlook \u2013 May 25 2025 - 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Som2ny Network","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=260795","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Stock Market Outlook \u2013 May 25 2025 - Som2ny Network","og_description":"Stock Market Outlook entering the Week of May 25th = Uptrend ADX Directional Indicators:\u00a0Uptrend Institutional Activity (Price &amp; Volume): Uptrend On Balance Volume Indicator: Uptrend ANALYSISThe stock market outlook stays in an uptrend, as equities retreated to the 200-day moving average. The S&amp;P500 ( $SPX ) fell 2.6% last week.\u00a0 The index sits ~4% above [&hellip;]","og_url":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=260795","og_site_name":"Som2ny Network","article_published_time":"2025-05-28T01:19:12+00:00","og_image":[{"width":639,"height":476,"url":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/2025-05-25-spx_trendline_analysis-daily.png","type":"image\/png"}],"author":"admin","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"admin","Est. reading time":"3 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=260795#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=260795"},"author":{"name":"admin","@id":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/b85e3c3dc0e1daea076524dc8810c371"},"headline":"Stock Market Outlook \u2013 May 25 2025","datePublished":"2025-05-28T01:19:12+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=260795"},"wordCount":539,"commentCount":0,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=260795#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/2025-05-25-spx_trendline_analysis-daily.png","keywords":["Market","Outlook","STOCK"],"articleSection":["Investing"],"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=260795#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=260795","url":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=260795","name":"Stock Market Outlook \u2013 May 25 2025 - 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