{"id":251010,"date":"2025-05-21T20:19:24","date_gmt":"2025-05-21T20:19:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/peraltafinancing.com\/business\/investing\/you-must-subscribe-to-keep-reading-19\/"},"modified":"2025-05-21T20:19:24","modified_gmt":"2025-05-21T20:19:24","slug":"you-must-subscribe-to-keep-reading-19","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=251010","title":{"rendered":"You Must Subscribe to Keep Reading&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p><head profile=\"http:\/\/gmpg.org\/xfn\/11\"><br \/>\n    <meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text\/html; charset=UTF-8\"\/><br \/>\n    <meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width, initial-scale=1.0\"\/><br \/>\n    <meta name=\"google-site-verification\" content=\"srCVoReXshrgjtcMf0y_Bkx7c8hKaL5VlhBdW0E-nvU\"\/><\/p>\n<link rel=\"icon\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cxoadvisory.com\/wp-content\/themes\/cxo\/images\/icons\/favicon.ico\" type=\"image\/x-icon\"\/>\n    <link 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href=\"https:\/\/www.cxoadvisory.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/8636\"\/><link rel=\"shortlink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cxoadvisory.com\/?p=8636\"\/>\n<link rel=\"alternate\" title=\"oEmbed (JSON)\" type=\"application\/json+oembed\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cxoadvisory.com\/wp-json\/oembed\/1.0\/embed?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.cxoadvisory.com%2Fsubscription-options%2F\"\/>\n<link rel=\"alternate\" title=\"oEmbed (XML)\" type=\"text\/xml+oembed\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cxoadvisory.com\/wp-json\/oembed\/1.0\/embed?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.cxoadvisory.com%2Fsubscription-options%2F&amp;format=xml\"\/>\n<p>\t\t<!-- ShiftNav CSS\n\t================================================================ --><\/p>\n<p>\t\t<!-- end ShiftNav CSS --><\/p>\n<p>\t<!-- Running WishList Member Legacy v3.27.16 (e1eb) --><\/p>\n<p><\/head><\/p>\n<p><body class=\"wp-singular page-template page-template-subscription-gate page-template-subscription-gate-php page page-id-8636 wp-theme-cxo\" id=\"wp_automatic_ReadabilityBody\"><\/p>\n<div class=\"top_bar\">\n<p>Objective research to aid investing decisions<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div class=\"main\">\n<div class=\"c_allocations\">\n<div class=\"c_allocation\">\n<h4 class=\"allocation_title\">Value Investing Strategy <span>(<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cxoadvisory.com\/strategies\/\">Strategy Overview<\/a>)<\/span><\/h4>\n<div class=\"allocations\">\n<p>\n        Allocations for May 2025 (Final)      <\/p>\n<p>\n        <span class=\"allocations-signals-value\"><strong>Cash<\/strong> <i class=\"fas fa-lock\"\/><\/span><span class=\"allocations-signals-value\"><strong>TLT<\/strong> <i class=\"fas fa-lock\"\/><\/span><span class=\"allocations-signals-value\"><strong>LQD<\/strong> <i class=\"fas fa-lock\"\/><\/span><span class=\"allocations-signals-value\"><strong>SPY<\/strong> <i class=\"fas fa-lock\"\/><\/span>      <\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div class=\"c_allocation\">\n<h4 class=\"allocation_title\">Momentum Investing Strategy <span>(<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cxoadvisory.com\/strategies\/\">Strategy Overview<\/a>)<\/span><\/h4>\n<div class=\"allocations\">\n<p>\n        Allocations for May 2025 (Final)      <\/p>\n<p>\n        <span class=\"allocations-signals-value\"><strong>1st ETF<\/strong> <i class=\"fas fa-lock\"\/><\/span><span class=\"allocations-signals-value\"><strong>2nd ETF<\/strong> <i class=\"fas fa-lock\"\/><\/span><span class=\"allocations-signals-value\"><strong>3rd ETF<\/strong> <i class=\"fas fa-lock\"\/><\/span>      <\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"container\">\n<div id=\"subscribe_area\" class=\"container-main\">\n<div class=\"premium_preview_container\">\n<p class=\"posted_cat\">May 21, 2025 \u2022 <strong>Posted in<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cxoadvisory.com\/investing-expertise\/\" rel=\"category tag\">Investing Expertise<\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"premium_preview\">\n<p>Are more factors better for predicting stock market returns? In their April 2025 paper entitled <a href=\"https:\/\/ssrn.com\/abstract=5202064\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u201cThe Limited Virtue of Complexity in a Noisy World\u201d<\/a>, \u00c1lvaro Cartea, Qi Jin and Yuantao Shi analyze the interactions between stock factor noisiness (errors\/uncertainties) and factor model complexity in portfolio optimization. Specifically, they study how factor noise affects the predictive power of factor-based return models. They postulate that noise arises from issues such as inconsistent data collection, processing errors or insufficient computing power. Their conclusions derive from three examples:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Employ market data to simulate ideal noiseless stock factors, and combine them via <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Ridge_regression\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">ridge regression<\/a>\u00a0to predict stock returns.<\/li>\n<li>Apply a <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Neural_network\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">neural network<\/a> to actual NYSE\/AMEX\/NASDAQ data to predict monthly stock returns via a varying number of factor inputs during 1991 through 2023.<\/li>\n<li>Use simulated stock factors which have either fixed noise levels or noise levels that increase with model complexity to explore how predictive power varies with noise and complexity.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>Using monthly excess returns for the broad value-weighted U.S. stock market and values for 15 factors used in other studies during 1926 through 2023, <em>they find that:<\/em> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cxoadvisory.com\/investing-expertise\/factor-model-complexity-versus-predictive-power\/#more-46785\" class=\"more-link\"><span aria-label=\"Continue reading Factor Model Complexity Versus Predictive Power\">(more\u2026)<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<div class=\"subscription-prompt\">\n      <i class=\"fas fa-key\"\/><\/p>\n<div class=\"subscription-prompt-content\">\n<p><span class=\"highlight\">Please <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cxoadvisory.com\/login\/\" title=\"CXO Login\" class=\"login-link\">log in<\/a> or <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cxoadvisory.com\/premium\/\" title=\"CXO Premium Subscription\">subscribe<\/a> to continue reading&#8230;<\/span><br \/><span class=\"more-line\">Gain access to hundreds of premium articles, our momentum strategy, full RSS feeds, and more! \u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cxoadvisory.com\/premium\/\" title=\"CXO Premium Subscription\">Learn more<\/a> <i class=\"fas fa-long-arrow-right\"\/><\/span><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>\t<!-- ShiftNav #shiftnav-main --><br \/>\n\t<!-- \/.shiftnav #shiftnav-main --><\/p>\n<p><!-- Google tag (gtag.js) --><\/p>\n<p><\/body>\n<\/div>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>You Must Subscribe to Keep Reading&#8230; &#8211; CXO Advisory Objective research to aid investing decisions Value Investing Strategy (Strategy Overview) Allocations for May 2025 (Final) Cash TLT LQD SPY Momentum Investing Strategy (Strategy Overview) Allocations for May 2025 (Final) 1st ETF 2nd ETF 3rd ETF May 21, 2025 \u2022 Posted in Investing Expertise Are more [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[96],"tags":[3646,16595],"dealstore":[],"offerexpiration":[],"class_list":["post-251010","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-investing","tag-reading","tag-subscribe"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - 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