{"id":240763,"date":"2025-05-14T04:18:13","date_gmt":"2025-05-14T04:18:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/peraltafinancing.com\/business\/finance\/us-china-tariff-truce-triggers-transpacific-rush-but-uncertainty-lingers\/"},"modified":"2025-05-14T04:18:13","modified_gmt":"2025-05-14T04:18:13","slug":"us-china-tariff-truce-triggers-transpacific-rush-but-uncertainty-lingers","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=240763","title":{"rendered":"US-China Tariff Truce Triggers Transpacific Rush\u2014But Uncertainty Lingers"},"content":{"rendered":"


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Home<\/a><\/span> News<\/a><\/span> US-China Tariff Truce Triggers Transpacific Rush\u2014But Uncertainty Lingers<\/strong><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

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A brief easing of tariffs between the US and China has set off a burst of transpacific trade activity, but deeper tensions and long-term supply chain disruptions continue to cloud the outlook.<\/p>\n

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A 90-day truce in the ongoing US-China trade war has sparked a rush to move goods across the Pacific, with businesses scrambling to take advantage of temporarily lowered tariffs.<\/p>\n

President Donald Trump essentially backed down on a trade war that he started with China, reducing US duties on Chinese imports from a punishing 145% to 30%. China, meanwhile, slashed its tariffs on American goods from 125% to 10%.<\/p>\n

The short-term relief is already creating ripple effects as container carriers like Marseille, France-based CMA CGM and Hamburg, Germany-based Hapag-Lloyd reportedly praised the pause and expect to see a spike in bookings as businesses try to ship before the temporary pause ends.<\/p>\n

\u201cYou weren\u2019t going to be shipping anything from China to the US at 145%,\u201d David Roche, president of financial analysis firm Quantum Strategy in Singapore, told Global Finance. \u201cAt 30%, something gets shipped\u2014but far less than when we were at 8% before Trump took office.\u201d Roche noted that a modest uptick in container traffic might soon appear in Port of Los Angeles bookings, which reflect demand about three weeks out.<\/p>\n

But he cautioned: \u201cMy feeling is that we will see a small recovery, but not a big recovery, and you will still have empty shelves, and you will still have increased inflation in the US as a result of these tariffs.\u201d<\/p>\n

April inflation data offered a mixed picture. While year-over-year inflation cooled slightly to 2.3%\u2014just under the 2.4% forecast\u2014prices still rose 0.2% month-over-month, missing estimates of 0.3%. Core inflation, excluding volatile food and energy prices, held steady at 2.8%.<\/p>\n

The scenario looks less bleak compared to last month when Fitch Ratings downgraded its 2025 global GDP forecast to 1.9% amid concerns about Trump\u2019s escalating tariff policy. The firm\u2019s chief economist, Brian Coulton, said in an analyst note on Tuesday that while the latest 90-day pause brings the US effective tariff rate down from 23% to 13%, it\u2019s still far above the 2.3% level seen in 2024.<\/p>\n

This does not mean that\u00a0the trade war, \u201cwhich is already having a tangible economic impact, is over,\u201d Coulton said, citing remaining 10% baseline tariffs and industry-specific levies still in force.<\/p>\n

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent insists the US-China talks are part of a broader strategy of \u201ceconomic decoupling for strategic necessities.\u201d He emphasized that \u201cgeneralized decoupling\u201d is not US policy, but the administration remains focused on import substitution to reduce reliance on Chinese goods and bolster American manufacturing.<\/p>\n

Even with the recent rollback, China remains the US\u2019s most heavily tariffed trading partner. According to Fitch, the current ETR for Chinese imports stands at 31.8%, factoring in legacy duties on steel, autos, and a 10% baseline tariff applied broadly. Certain electronics like smartphones and computers were excluded from the most recent round of tariffs.<\/p>\n

While the temporary deal may cool tensions and boost transpacific shipping in the short run, experts warn that the structural damage to global supply chains\u2014and the strategic rift between the world\u2019s two largest economies\u2014is unlikely to heal in just 90 days.<\/p>\n

Analysts for Singapore-based UOB Group struck a more optimistic tone following the pause in US-China trade tensions, forecasting a near-term economic boost for China as exporters rush to front-load production and shipments to the US during the window.<\/p>\n

\u201cSuffice to say, we now see some upside potential to our 2025 growth forecast for China of 4.3%,\u201d UOB analysts said in a note, though they said that any formal revision will wait for further data. Despite the temporary reprieve, UOB expects China to continue focusing on domestic resilience and export diversification, supported by ongoing policy efforts.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Home News US-China Tariff Truce Triggers Transpacific Rush\u2014But Uncertainty Lingers A brief easing of tariffs between the US and China has set off a burst of transpacific trade activity, but deeper tensions and long-term supply chain disruptions continue to cloud the outlook. A 90-day truce in the ongoing US-China trade war has sparked a rush […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":240764,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[93],"tags":[64084,88561,11677,88560,39861,72610,21083,71784],"dealstore":[],"offerexpiration":[],"class_list":["post-240763","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-finance","tag-lingers","tag-rushbut","tag-tariff","tag-transpacific","tag-triggers","tag-truce","tag-uncertainty","tag-uschina"],"yoast_head":"\nUS-China Tariff Truce Triggers Transpacific Rush\u2014But Uncertainty Lingers - Som2ny Network<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=240763\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"US-China Tariff Truce Triggers Transpacific Rush\u2014But Uncertainty Lingers - Som2ny Network\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Home News US-China Tariff Truce Triggers Transpacific Rush\u2014But Uncertainty Lingers A brief easing of tariffs between the US and China has set off a burst of transpacific trade activity, but deeper tensions and long-term supply chain disruptions continue to cloud the outlook. 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