{"id":228415,"date":"2025-05-07T08:27:31","date_gmt":"2025-05-07T08:27:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/peraltafinancing.com\/business\/investing\/irregular-roundup-15th-july-2024\/"},"modified":"2025-05-07T08:27:31","modified_gmt":"2025-05-07T08:27:31","slug":"irregular-roundup-15th-july-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=228415","title":{"rendered":"Irregular Roundup, 15th July 2024"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>We begin today\u2019s Irregular Roundup with chilling.<\/p>\n<h6><span id=\"Chill_not_FIRE\">Chill not FIRE<\/span><\/h6>\n<p>When I started this blog almost ten years ago, one of the 7 Circles after which it was named was \u201cFIRE and Frugal\u201d.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The FIRE movement wasn\u2019t very well known at that point, but by now I would expect that most readers know that the acronym stands for Financial Independence, Retire Early.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Both aspects of FIRE appealed to me, and indeed, I had already FIRE\u2019d before I started the blog.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>But a lot of the UK finance bloggers at that time were working towards FIRE, and it was a topic I was interested in.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Unfortunately, there isn\u2019t a lot to say about fire. The process goes as follows:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Work out how much you need to live on<\/li>\n<li>Multiply this by between 25 and 33 (depending on which SWR \u2013 safe withdrawal rate \u2013 you believe in) to come up with a pot size that will allow you to retire<\/li>\n<li>Work backwards from that pot to work out what level of contributions you need to make\u00a0 to get to that number by your target age (and divide that by your income to come up with you\u2019re savings rate)<\/li>\n<li>Save for many years and hey presto! You\u2019ve fired.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>I ran out of things to say, and several other FIRE bloggers who were around then have also quit since they hit their number.<\/p>\n<p>The sooner you want to FIRE, the more aggressive your savings rate has to be \u2013 some people aim for 60% to 70% of income.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>I only worked for 25 years, which according to Mr. Money Mustache\u2019s \u201csimple maths\u201d means I must have saved 33% of my income.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>I\u2019m not sure I managed that, but the point I was going to make is that there has been a backlash against high savings rates, and \u201csacrifice\u201d in general.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Andrew-Oxlade.jpg\" data-slb-active=\"1\" data-slb-asset=\"2013972019\" data-slb-internal=\"0\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-43875\" src=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Andrew-Oxlade-257x300.jpg\" alt=\"Andrew Oxlade\" width=\"257\" height=\"300\" srcset=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Andrew-Oxlade-257x300.jpg 257w, https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Andrew-Oxlade.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 257px) 100vw, 257px\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-43875\" src=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Andrew-Oxlade-257x300.jpg\" alt=\"Andrew Oxlade\" width=\"257\" height=\"300\" srcset=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Andrew-Oxlade-257x300.jpg 257w, https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Andrew-Oxlade.jpg 300w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 257px) 100vw, 257px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The latest salvo was fired by Andrew Oxlade of Fidelity in This Is Money.<\/p>\n<p>CHILL stands for Career Happiness Inspires Longer Lives.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>That\u2019s a tall order for many \u2013 the quality of careers has declined considerably since I started.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Andrew thinks that social media fosters the idea that money is what\u2019s needed for happiness.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Maybe it does \u2013 Reddit and Twitter were the only platforms that I ever liked, and they have both fallen a long way from their peak.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>More money indeed has diminishing returns, but that depends on how you define enough.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>If you look at income, then clearly \u00a3200K of income is not worth double what \u00a3100K is.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>But in FIRE, the surplus just brings forward the date of your financial independence, so money scales more linearly until you reach your goal.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>That might look weird to someone who isn\u2019t interested in FI, or who thinks that it\u2019s unattainable \u2013 but it\u2019s not.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr\/>\n<p>I always saw FIRE as being about regaining control of your time.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>I hated my job and 90%+ of the more than fifty managers I had during my career.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>I was also bored at work, and find retirement more stimulating (though when you quit a decade or more before your peers, you do lose some social contact).<\/p>\n<p>My partner enjoys her job and is likely to continue for as long as she is offered interesting work (and her health permits).<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>I enjoy not having a job, but instead having the time to devote to whatever hobby or passion currently interests me.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Everybody has to decide for themselves on the RE part, though there are few jobs that I can see 70-year-olds enjoying.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>FI, not so much \u2013 I can\u2019t see why anyone wouldn\u2019t want to be financially independent.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>FI means freedom.<\/p>\n<h6><span id=\"Consumer_preferences\">Consumer preferences<\/span><\/h6>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Joachim-Klement.jpg\" data-slb-active=\"1\" data-slb-asset=\"1903768668\" data-slb-internal=\"0\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-28171\" src=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Joachim-Klement-300x270.jpg\" alt=\"Joachim Klement\" width=\"300\" height=\"270\" srcset=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Joachim-Klement-300x270.jpg 300w, https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Joachim-Klement-24x22.jpg 24w, https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Joachim-Klement-36x32.jpg 36w, https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Joachim-Klement-48x43.jpg 48w, https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Joachim-Klement-350x315.jpg 350w, https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Joachim-Klement.jpg 400w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-28171\" src=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Joachim-Klement-300x270.jpg\" alt=\"Joachim Klement\" width=\"300\" height=\"270\" srcset=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Joachim-Klement-300x270.jpg 300w, https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Joachim-Klement-24x22.jpg 24w, https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Joachim-Klement-36x32.jpg 36w, https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Joachim-Klement-48x43.jpg 48w, https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Joachim-Klement-350x315.jpg 350w, https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Joachim-Klement.jpg 400w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Joachim Klement wrote about <a href=\"https:\/\/klementoninvesting.substack.com\/p\/another-exercise-in-stating-the-blindingly\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">whether consumers take notice of firms\u2019 profits and ESG credentials<\/a>.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Except for weirdos like me who are totally into investing as a hobby or profession, I have never seen anyone read a financial report or an ESG report. I wonder how anyone could have missed that before sending outquestionnaires to tens of thousands of unsuspecting Americans.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Purchase-considerations-7-Circles.png\" data-slb-active=\"1\" data-slb-asset=\"752021832\" data-slb-internal=\"0\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-43878\" src=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Purchase-considerations-7-Circles-300x194.png\" alt=\"Purchase considerations (7 Circles)\" width=\"300\" height=\"194\" srcset=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Purchase-considerations-7-Circles-300x194.png 300w, https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Purchase-considerations-7-Circles.png 1024w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-43878\" src=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Purchase-considerations-7-Circles-300x194.png\" alt=\"Purchase considerations (7 Circles)\" width=\"300\" height=\"194\" srcset=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Purchase-considerations-7-Circles-300x194.png 300w, https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Purchase-considerations-7-Circles.png 1024w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>As you might imagine, people are interested in quality and price, not profitability and ESG credentials.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Information-sources-7-Circles.png\" data-slb-active=\"1\" data-slb-asset=\"1731328527\" data-slb-internal=\"0\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-43879\" src=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Information-sources-7-Circles-300x203.png\" alt=\"Information sources (7 Circles)\" width=\"300\" height=\"203\" srcset=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Information-sources-7-Circles-300x203.png 300w, https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Information-sources-7-Circles.png 1024w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-43879\" src=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Information-sources-7-Circles-300x203.png\" alt=\"Information sources (7 Circles)\" width=\"300\" height=\"203\" srcset=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Information-sources-7-Circles-300x203.png 300w, https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Information-sources-7-Circles.png 1024w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>And their key information sources are friends and family and customer reviews.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Financial and ESG reports are used by less than 10% of people.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Which I guess is simply the share of people who checked every possible answer because they didn\u2019t pay attention to the survey plus the few weirdos that have investing as a hobby or profession.\u00a0ESG reports only have an effect on consumers who have been prompted to actually read them, but these effects are small and short-lived.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Frictions-7-Circles.png\" data-slb-active=\"1\" data-slb-asset=\"1371060022\" data-slb-internal=\"0\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-43880\" src=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Frictions-7-Circles-300x202.png\" alt=\"Frictions (7 Circles)\" width=\"300\" height=\"202\" srcset=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Frictions-7-Circles-300x202.png 300w, https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Frictions-7-Circles.png 1024w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-43880\" src=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Frictions-7-Circles-300x202.png\" alt=\"Frictions (7 Circles)\" width=\"300\" height=\"202\" srcset=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Frictions-7-Circles-300x202.png 300w, https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Frictions-7-Circles.png 1024w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>When they were asked after the experiment why they didn\u2019t care about ESG and profits, the number one reason was that they couldn\u2019t remember.<\/p>\n<h6><span id=\"One_factor_model\">One factor model<\/span><\/h6>\n<p>In a second article, Joachim wrote about <a href=\"https:\/\/klementoninvesting.substack.com\/p\/a-one-factor-model-to-explain-asset\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">a one-factor model to explain asset returns<\/a>.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">The problem with most finance models and theories is that they have been developed by people trained in economics and finance, which is to say by people without a proper education in maths and statistics.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Joachim is a trained mathematician and physicist and doesn\u2019t rate his colleagues in finance.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>In particular, he\u2019s not a fan of linear models, even though they sometimes make money.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Financial markets are complex dynamic stochastic systems and trying to describe a complex dynamic system with a linear model is inevitably going to fail no matter how many parameters you use to \u2018fit\u2019 the model to reality. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Most importantly, practitioners and academics alike insist on using fundamental variables like valuation or profitability to explain market behaviour.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Way back in 2009, Joachim wrote a paper explaining <a href=\"https:\/\/papers.ssrn.com\/sol3\/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1153442\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">how to use a Fourier filter to profit from market cycles<\/a>.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">I thought that was an incredibly simple model that performed extremely well, but I met a lot of resistance because the model did not rely on fundamentals, but instead used combinations of sine and cosine functions to identify cycles without \u2018explaining\u2019 what drives these cycles.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>The new paper is similar, using fourth-order polynomials.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Non-linear-single-factor-model-7-Circles.png\" data-slb-active=\"1\" data-slb-asset=\"642783932\" data-slb-internal=\"0\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-43882\" src=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Non-linear-single-factor-model-7-Circles-300x185.png\" alt=\"Non-linear single factor model (7 Circles)\" width=\"300\" height=\"185\" srcset=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Non-linear-single-factor-model-7-Circles-300x185.png 300w, https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Non-linear-single-factor-model-7-Circles.png 1024w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-43882\" src=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Non-linear-single-factor-model-7-Circles-300x185.png\" alt=\"Non-linear single factor model (7 Circles)\" width=\"300\" height=\"185\" srcset=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Non-linear-single-factor-model-7-Circles-300x185.png 300w, https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Non-linear-single-factor-model-7-Circles.png 1024w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">This nonlinear model makes all known factor models redundant. It created sizeable outperformance and matched the actual returns of <a class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;Anything that has a \u00a0monetary value (e.g. property, investments, cash).&lt;\/div&gt;\" href=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/glossary\/asset\/\" data-gt-translate-attributes=\"[{\" attribute=\"\" tabindex=\"0\" role=\"link\">asset<\/a> classes very well. [The] model outperformed existing factor models in almost all cases for forecast periods of 6 months.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Despite this, Joachim is not optimistic that the new model will be widely adopted.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">It doesn\u2019t use fundamentals to explain share price returns. And that means to most practitioners and academics it has no meaning. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">But you know who doesn\u2019t care about \u2018having meaning\u2019 or using polynomials to understand and forecast <a class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;Anything that has a \u00a0monetary value (e.g. property, investments, cash).&lt;\/div&gt;\" href=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/glossary\/asset\/\" data-gt-translate-attributes=\"[{\" attribute=\"\" tabindex=\"0\" role=\"link\">asset<\/a> returns? AI. And hedge funds don\u2019t care whether their model uses fundamental variables. They just want to make money.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>I don\u2019t care either, so I hope that someone will use AI to make the model available to regular private investors.<\/p>\n<h6><span id=\"DIY_vs_advised\">DIY vs advised<\/span><\/h6>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Alina-Khan.jpg\" data-slb-active=\"1\" data-slb-asset=\"1037752989\" data-slb-internal=\"0\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-43660\" src=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Alina-Khan-257x300.jpg\" alt=\"Alina Khan\" width=\"257\" height=\"300\" srcset=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Alina-Khan-257x300.jpg 257w, https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Alina-Khan.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 257px) 100vw, 257px\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-43660\" src=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Alina-Khan-257x300.jpg\" alt=\"Alina Khan\" width=\"257\" height=\"300\" srcset=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Alina-Khan-257x300.jpg 257w, https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Alina-Khan.jpg 300w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 257px) 100vw, 257px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>For FT Adviser, Alina Khan reported that 79% of over 55s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ftadviser.com\/your-industry\/2024\/04\/29\/over-55s-opt-for-diy-approach-to-finances-over-advice\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">prefer the DIY route to taking advice from an IFA<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The data comes from Canada Life, which reported a few more findings:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>39 per cent p are experiencing the retirement they dreamed of<\/li>\n<li>29 per cent are not<\/li>\n<li>11 per cent did not anticipate just how much money they would need in retirement and are finding life after work more difficult than they expected<\/li>\n<li>36 per cent said they had experienced unexpected health challenges<\/li>\n<li>27 per cent said they were still happy even if they were not living the retirement they had planned<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Experiences-during-retirement-7-Circles.png\" data-slb-active=\"1\" data-slb-asset=\"1591023851\" data-slb-internal=\"0\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-43884\" src=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Experiences-during-retirement-7-Circles-300x174.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"174\" srcset=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Experiences-during-retirement-7-Circles-300x174.png 300w, https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Experiences-during-retirement-7-Circles.png 1024w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-43884\" src=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Experiences-during-retirement-7-Circles-300x174.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"174\" srcset=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Experiences-during-retirement-7-Circles-300x174.png 300w, https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Experiences-during-retirement-7-Circles.png 1024w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Canada Life MD Tom Evans said:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">People\u2019s experiences of retirement vary quite widely. While a lack of retirement funds, and the impact of rising costs are clearly issues facing the current generation of retirees, unexpected health issues trump both of those, and the dreams of many have been shattered.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Planning your retirement and ensuring it is flexible enough to navigate the many challenges you will face is vital to feel in control to enjoy your later years.\u00a0 <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Engaging the services of a qualified financial adviser early on is a fundamental part of that process. <\/span><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">An adviser will not only be able to help with product choice, investment selection and tax, but will help you navigate any unexpected bumps in the road along the way.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>I agree about the need for a flexible plan, but many people should be able to put one together without professional help, and many others won\u2019t have the funds to justify paying for (expensive) advice.<\/p>\n<h6><span id=\"IHT\">IHT<\/span><\/h6>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Emma-Agyemang.jpg\" data-slb-active=\"1\" data-slb-asset=\"1316944950\" data-slb-internal=\"0\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-23434\" src=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Emma-Agyemang-284x300.jpg\" alt=\"Emma Agyemang\" width=\"284\" height=\"300\" srcset=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Emma-Agyemang-284x300.jpg 284w, https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Emma-Agyemang-24x24.jpg 24w, https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Emma-Agyemang-34x36.jpg 34w, https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Emma-Agyemang-45x48.jpg 45w, https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Emma-Agyemang.jpg 350w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 284px) 100vw, 284px\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-23434\" src=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Emma-Agyemang-284x300.jpg\" alt=\"Emma Agyemang\" width=\"284\" height=\"300\" srcset=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Emma-Agyemang-284x300.jpg 284w, https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Emma-Agyemang-24x24.jpg 24w, https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Emma-Agyemang-34x36.jpg 34w, https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Emma-Agyemang-45x48.jpg 45w, https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Emma-Agyemang.jpg 350w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 284px) 100vw, 284px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>For the FT, Emma Agyemang reported on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/637c1151-04c5-49d6-9d76-ed1f8cdf9435\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">calls from think-tank Demos for government action on IHT<\/a>.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>A freedom of information request found that 68 estates, each with business assets of more than \u00a35M, were able to shelter \u00a31.8bn of their assets from IHT.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>HMRC data shows that 3,380 estates in 2020-2021 claimed the tax break on assets worth a total of \u00a33.2 bn.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>So the Demos families mad up 2% of claims, but owned 57% of the sheltered assets.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Business relief was introduced in 1976 and was originally targeted at company firms, but was later extended to AIM stocks.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Since then, a cottage industry of wealth managers offering IHT portfolios of safe AIM stocks has grown up.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>To save even more money, you can run such a portfolio on a DIY basis (since most AIM stocks qualify) \u2013 as I did for my mother-in-law.<\/p>\n<p>Dan Gross of Demos said:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">It is quite shocking that over half of the relief goes to 68 estates. It\u2019s a very small number of the wealthiest benefiting from the vast majority of the relief. Business relief is being used as a way to reduce tax bills for those estates at the very top.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>The inclusion of AIM stocks makes no sense from an IHT perspective, but it makes more sense from the angle of supporting small growth stocks (as with VCT and EIS).<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>This argument is somewhat undermined by the low quality of the typical AIM stock, but with some joined-up thinking from the government, this might be fixed.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>I think it\u2019s more likely that Labour will do away with the relief (for AIM stocks at least) as IHT seems to be one of the taxes they are planning to raise more revenue from.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The best we can hope for is a cap on how much an individual can shelter \u2013 the IFS has suggested \u00a3500K (in total, with the AIM relief scrapped).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h6><span id=\"Quick_Links\">Quick Links<\/span><\/h6>\n<p>I have just one for you this week:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Alpha Architect looked at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reddit.com\/r\/UKFinanceOver30\/comments\/1e1lbx5\/explaining_the_performance_of_lowpriced_stocks\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">The Penny Stock Anomaly<\/a>.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>Until next time.<\/p>\n<div id=\"author-bio-box\" style=\"background: #f8f8f8; border-top: 2px solid #cccccc; border-bottom: 2px solid #cccccc; color: #4609ff\">\n<h3><a style=\"color: #555555;\" href=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/author\/mikerawson\/\" title=\"All posts by Mike Rawson\" rel=\"author\">Mike Rawson<\/a><\/h3>\n<div class=\"bio-gravatar\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-del=\"avatar\" src=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Author-pic-fix-150x150.jpg\" class=\"avatar pp-user-avatar avatar-100 photo \" height=\"100\" width=\"100\"\/><\/div>\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\/\" class=\"bio-icon bio-icon-website\"\/><a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/7-Circles-425914570895193\/\" class=\"bio-icon bio-icon-facebook\"\/><a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/the7circles.uk\" class=\"bio-icon bio-icon-twitter\"\/><a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/plus.google.com\/+The7circlesUk_DIY_investor\/posts\" class=\"bio-icon bio-icon-googleplus\"\/><a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/mike-rawson-700897ab\" class=\"bio-icon bio-icon-linkedin\"\/><a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/uk.pinterest.com\/miker0992\/\" class=\"bio-icon bio-icon-pinterest\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"bio-description\">Mike is the owner of 7 Circles, and a private investor living in London. &#13;<br \/>\n&#13;<br \/>\nHe has been managing his own money for 40 years, with some success.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>          <!--\/.pagination-->\n        <\/div>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>We begin today\u2019s Irregular Roundup with chilling. Chill not FIRE When I started this blog almost ten years ago, one of the 7 Circles after which it was named was \u201cFIRE and Frugal\u201d. The FIRE movement wasn\u2019t very well known at that point, but by now I would expect that most readers know that the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":228416,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[96],"tags":[27443,10699,5762,4098],"dealstore":[],"offerexpiration":[],"class_list":["post-228415","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-investing","tag-15th","tag-irregular","tag-july","tag-roundup"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Irregular Roundup, 15th July 2024 - Som2ny Network<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=228415\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Irregular Roundup, 15th July 2024 - Som2ny Network\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"We begin today\u2019s Irregular Roundup with chilling. 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