{"id":197713,"date":"2025-04-22T01:28:23","date_gmt":"2025-04-22T01:28:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/peraltafinancing.com\/business\/investing\/10-insights-for-advisors-qa-with-clss-rusty-vanneman\/"},"modified":"2025-04-22T01:28:23","modified_gmt":"2025-04-22T01:28:23","slug":"10-insights-for-advisors-qa-with-clss-rusty-vanneman","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=197713","title":{"rendered":"10 Insights for Advisors: Q&#038;A with CLS&#8217;s Rusty Vanneman"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-12402\" src=\"https:\/\/cls3.wpengine.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/Question-marks-and-dollar-signs-1024x698.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"467\" height=\"318\"\/><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">If you\u2019re looking for fast answers to tough investment questions \u2014 like what to expect from the stock market for the remainder of the year, or the impact Trump\u2019s tweets have on the market \u2014 you\u2019ve come to the right place. President and CIO of CLS Investments, Rusty Vanneman, answers 10 of the top advisor questions he\u2019s recently received.<\/span><br \/><strong>Q: What do we expect from the stock market for the remainder of 2019?<\/strong><br \/>A: We don\u2019t think the last half of the year is likely to cause any major changes to long-term investment portfolios, but we do expect two things:<br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">First, we expect more price volatility, meaning prices will move around \u2014 both upward and downward \u2014 more often. This volatility, which is typical of the market, will likely provide investment opportunities.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Second, we expect the stock market to generate even more gains on top of this year\u2019s already above-average gains. The market typically trends upward, especially during the third year of a presidential cycle. Additionally, the last three months of the year are generally the strongest.<\/span><br \/><strong>Q: What do we expect from the bond market for the remainder of 2019?<\/strong><br \/>A: We expect interest rates to rise. We\u2019ve seen a remarkable decline in yields this year; growth data has slipped, but the bond market\u2019s move feels like an overreaction, especially considering some inflation data has steadily crept higher.<br \/><strong>Q: Are we nervous about a recession?<\/strong><br \/>A: It\u2019s important to note that it typically takes three to six months to determine whether the economy is in a recession. Every time you see a chart matching up recessions with market behavior, keep in mind the recession was identified well after the fact and not in real time.<br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That said, since 1980, one indicator has had three previous successes calling recessions. The indicator is an inverted yield curve, which occurs when long-term bond interest rates are lower than short\u2014term bond yields. This is atypical of the bond market, and suggests lower economic growth. The yield curve inverted in May, and we are watching it closely.<\/span><br \/><strong>Q: <\/strong><strong>What will the Federal Reserve do next with short-term interest rates?<\/strong><br \/>A: The market expects the Federal Reserve to cut rates \u2014 and it probably will, but it\u2019s not such a slam-dunk decision in my opinion. The economy isn\u2019t that bad; there are some budding inflationary pressures, and interest rates are already low.<br \/><strong>Q: What do you think of Europe\u2019s economic situation?<\/strong><br \/>A: Europe is still a mess. The European crisis from a few years ago really hasn\u2019t gone away; the market narratives have simply moved elsewhere. Since we are global investors at CLS, we do have exposure to Europe in our portfolios, but we are underweight relative to the overall global market. Still, despite the issues, there are values to take advantage of. And if prices sink further, we may buy more.<br \/><strong>Q: How do you expect the trade discussions to be resolved?<\/strong><br \/>A: Like most market participants, I expect market volatility to increase as a result of public rhetoric. But I also think there\u2019s a chance \u2014 10 \u2013 20% \u2014 of a very positive conclusion.<br \/><b>Q: What do you think of Twitter\u2019s impact?<\/b><br \/>A: Thanks to President Trump, tweets from the Oval Office have become a real deal. However, the impact of presidential tweets is short-term game, and it is not necessary for long-term investors to monitor them or to make shifts in their portfolios accordingly. For long-term investors, it\u2019s noise.<br \/><strong>Q: <\/strong><strong>What is the future of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies?<\/strong><br \/>A: Bitcoin has had an amazing run this year. At CLS, we\u2019re excited for cryptocurrency ETFs to be created. We see it as a budding asset class segment: used in the proper sizing, such as very small weights given the accompanying volatility, it could be a useful tool in managing overall portfolio risk.<br \/><strong>Q: Will the dollar rebound?<\/strong><br \/>A: The U.S. dollar has had a great run, but prices have broken down recently, even dropping below the key 200-day moving average. This would suggest the dollar will continue to get weaker as currencies tend to trend in the same direction. Further, if the Federal Reserve reduces short-term interest rates, more pressure will be placed on the currency.<br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">All else being equal, a weaker dollar would mean strong relative performance for international securities and real assets, such as commodities.<\/span><br \/><b>Q: What is your best investment idea?<\/b><br \/>A: Emerging market value stocks! They remain our highest conviction view. It\u2019s the one asset class segment that appears to offer above-average return expectations relative to long-term averages over the next five to 10 years. Emerging market value stocks offer essentially the same growth than the S&amp;P 500, but their valuations are 50% \u2013 67% lower.<br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">To learn more about CLS Investments, contact us at 888-455-4244.<\/span><br \/><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0905-CLS-7\/15\/2019<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>If you\u2019re looking for fast answers to tough investment questions \u2014 like what to expect from the stock market for the remainder of the year, or the impact Trump\u2019s tweets have on the market \u2014 you\u2019ve come to the right place. President and CIO of CLS Investments, Rusty Vanneman, answers 10 of the top advisor [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":197714,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[96],"tags":[11403,76234,10844,25024,76235],"dealstore":[],"offerexpiration":[],"class_list":["post-197713","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-investing","tag-advisors","tag-clss","tag-insights","tag-rusty","tag-vanneman"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>10 Insights for Advisors: Q&amp;A with CLS&#039;s Rusty Vanneman - Som2ny Network<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=197713\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"10 Insights for Advisors: Q&amp;A with CLS&#039;s Rusty Vanneman - Som2ny Network\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"If you\u2019re looking for fast answers to tough investment questions \u2014 like what to expect from the stock market for the remainder of the year, or the impact Trump\u2019s tweets have on the market \u2014 you\u2019ve come to the right place. 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