{"id":187302,"date":"2025-04-16T04:15:38","date_gmt":"2025-04-16T04:15:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/peraltafinancing.com\/analytics\/we-start-by-initializing-the-base-case\/"},"modified":"2025-04-16T04:15:38","modified_gmt":"2025-04-16T04:15:38","slug":"we-start-by-initializing-the-base-case","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=187302","title":{"rendered":"We Start By Initializing The &#8220;Base Case&#8221;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div id=\"post-body-3141000878475000179\" itemprop=\"description articleBody\">\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: arial;\">In my Pricing \/ Forecasting projects ($4,900 &#8230; kevinh@minethatdata.com), I start by initializing a &#8220;base case&#8221; &#8230; what would happen under normal conditions, same prices?<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"separator\" style=\"clear: both; text-align: center;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/blogger.googleusercontent.com\/img\/b\/R29vZ2xl\/AVvXsEhYG7mUEVJVSKgI5VDOtBGPDpjGyfw-EEslj4C0dgFHDkPwRQCgI2md8adm5556njezMmy4rULuo9gMEwF6nDpoHy4Uhsiu9_dQaH9veVtmelkAWOn5aMtVeunZ8vjbvMDIU8RF2dsOmiqjm5_CnRyFqJLQNh1gfkv8vA2HVrbIhT3X7Jr_JCUI9w\/s1280\/mtd_20250412b.jpg\" imageanchor=\"1\" style=\"margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" border=\"0\" data-original-height=\"720\" data-original-width=\"1280\" height=\"225\" src=\"https:\/\/blogger.googleusercontent.com\/img\/b\/R29vZ2xl\/AVvXsEhYG7mUEVJVSKgI5VDOtBGPDpjGyfw-EEslj4C0dgFHDkPwRQCgI2md8adm5556njezMmy4rULuo9gMEwF6nDpoHy4Uhsiu9_dQaH9veVtmelkAWOn5aMtVeunZ8vjbvMDIU8RF2dsOmiqjm5_CnRyFqJLQNh1gfkv8vA2HVrbIhT3X7Jr_JCUI9w\/w400-h225\/mtd_20250412b.jpg\" width=\"400\"\/><\/a><\/div>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: arial;\">This business is at equilibrium &#8230;. the customer file is at a comparable size year-over-year, which means sales\/profit are comparably year-over-year. We now have our &#8220;base case&#8221;.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: arial;\">Let&#8217;s say your cost of goods increase by 15% this year. Let&#8217;s say you keep prices the same, you eat the profit instead of the customer. Does the cost of goods increase eat up profit?<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"separator\" style=\"clear: both; text-align: center;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/blogger.googleusercontent.com\/img\/b\/R29vZ2xl\/AVvXsEgQEoDqFmYA40zk9JGz0eC55lR3EUYHy9IRJQvNCHueoMODEZuvOjiw0oZE9QX6BkN9qdgunnwDD0zkcGdCIL82BZ-dzRFJzwU-Xetfmzsf7w-TFChgVNG9Wfj31wKJkrDRMQqoYMmifvVfXIIh18pEHrfrHgdPEfKraNEtbHh_6me6yXP-d042Jg\/s1280\/mtd_20250412c.jpg\" imageanchor=\"1\" style=\"margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" border=\"0\" data-original-height=\"720\" data-original-width=\"1280\" height=\"225\" src=\"https:\/\/blogger.googleusercontent.com\/img\/b\/R29vZ2xl\/AVvXsEgQEoDqFmYA40zk9JGz0eC55lR3EUYHy9IRJQvNCHueoMODEZuvOjiw0oZE9QX6BkN9qdgunnwDD0zkcGdCIL82BZ-dzRFJzwU-Xetfmzsf7w-TFChgVNG9Wfj31wKJkrDRMQqoYMmifvVfXIIh18pEHrfrHgdPEfKraNEtbHh_6me6yXP-d042Jg\/w400-h225\/mtd_20250412c.jpg\" width=\"400\"\/><\/a><\/div>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: arial;\"><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: arial;\">Look at that &#8230; you eat $4,000,000 in profit.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: arial;\">You&#8217;re not going to eat $4,000,000 in profit, are you? You&#8217;ll past the cost along to the customer. Tomorrow, we&#8217;ll see if the customer is willing to eat up discretionary spend as a consequence.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In my Pricing \/ Forecasting projects ($4,900 &#8230; kevinh@minethatdata.com), I start by initializing a &#8220;base case&#8221; &#8230; what would happen under normal conditions, same prices? This business is at equilibrium &#8230;. the customer file is at a comparable size year-over-year, which means sales\/profit are comparably year-over-year. We now have our &#8220;base case&#8221;. Let&#8217;s say your [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":187303,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12033],"tags":[563,415,73498,5454],"dealstore":[],"offerexpiration":[],"class_list":["post-187302","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analytics","tag-base","tag-case","tag-initializing","tag-start"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>We Start By Initializing The &quot;Base Case&quot; - Som2ny Network<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=187302\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"We Start By Initializing The &quot;Base Case&quot; - Som2ny Network\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"In my Pricing \/ Forecasting projects ($4,900 &#8230; kevinh@minethatdata.com), I start by initializing a &#8220;base case&#8221; &#8230; what would happen under normal conditions, same prices? 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