{"id":185893,"date":"2025-04-15T10:09:44","date_gmt":"2025-04-15T10:09:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/peraltafinancing.com\/activist\/redrawing-boundaries-in-a-multipolar-world-a-new-phase-of-world-war-3\/"},"modified":"2025-04-15T10:09:44","modified_gmt":"2025-04-15T10:09:44","slug":"redrawing-boundaries-in-a-multipolar-world-a-new-phase-of-world-war-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=185893","title":{"rendered":"Redrawing Boundaries in a Multipolar World: A New Phase of World War 3"},"content":{"rendered":" \r\n
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Determining the precise boundaries of various spheres of influence in a multipolar world\u2014and formalizing them into an agreement\u2014will be a complex and prolonged process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It won\u2019t happen overnight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Until a formal agreement is reached among the world\u2019s major powers\u2014much like the Congress of Vienna after the Napoleonic Wars, the Treaty of Versailles following World War 1, and the Yalta Conference at the close of World War 2\u2014World War 3 will continue.<\/p>

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While a direct kinetic war between the US, Russia, and China cannot be entirely ruled out, it remains an unlikely scenario.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Instead, we are likely to see a continued mix of proxy wars, economic conflicts, financial warfare, cyber attacks, biological warfare, deniable sabotage, and information warfare as these powers compete to expand their spheres of influence\u2014until an agreement is reached to formally end World War 3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Below is a geopolitical map of the emerging multipolar world as I see it today\u2014click the image to enlarge. I expect the colors and borders to change dramatically in the near future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"20250217-multipolar-MapChart_M\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Defining the New Spheres of Influence<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

Some boundaries are relatively clear. The Western Hemisphere will undoubtedly remain under US influence. Russia\u2019s sphere will include Eastern Europe and parts of Central Asia, while China\u2019s will center on East Asia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, where exactly the lines will be drawn within these zones remains a significant question.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Take East Asia, for example.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Taiwan is almost sure to be reunited with China in some form. The US cannot prevent this, and Washington will likely acknowledge Taiwan as part of China\u2019s sphere of influence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But what about South Korea, Japan, and the Philippines?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The US is unlikely to abandon its alliances with them completely.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Can China accept South Korea, Japan, and the Philippines remaining US allies? If not, what actions will Beijing take?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

For World War 3 to conclude, the US and China must agree on the boundaries of their respective spheres of influence in East Asia\u2014but that doesn\u2019t seem imminent. The competition between Washington and Beijing in East Asia (and beyond) is set to continue.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Middle East\u2019s Role in the Emerging World Order<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

The Middle East presents one of the biggest uncertainties in the emerging multipolar world.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Where will the new boundaries be drawn?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The region is further complicated by the presence of powerful regional players like Turkey, Israel, and Iran, all of whom have their own interests.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The US, Russia, and China will not only need to define their roles in the Middle East but so will these regional actors. There\u2019s no sign of a resolution anytime soon. The region remains volatile, and the potential for a regional conflict escalating into a global confrontation remains a real possibility.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A key question is Iran\u2019s role in the multipolar world order\u2014and whether the US and Israel will accept it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

What About Europe?<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

While it seems clear that Eastern Europe will fall into Russia\u2019s sphere, the fate of Western and Central Europe remains uncertain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As part of Trump\u2019s foreign policy shift, it appears the US government has effectively ended the war in Ukraine, all but ensuring Russia\u2019s anticipated victory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Losing the Ukraine war will be a bitter pill for supporters of the unipolar world order. Yet, it was always inevitable they would face a harsh reality check after wagering so much blood, treasure, and credibility on a conflict they were never positioned to win.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Russia\u2019s victory in Ukraine will carry enormous downstream consequences\u2014particularly for Europe and NATO.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The existential question for Western Europe is: What will happen to NATO?<\/p>\n\n\n\n