{"id":163249,"date":"2025-03-29T06:31:15","date_gmt":"2025-03-29T06:31:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/peraltafinancing.com\/alabama\/giving-away-money-alabama-v-duke-elite-eight-opening-odds\/"},"modified":"2025-03-29T06:31:15","modified_gmt":"2025-03-29T06:31:15","slug":"giving-away-money-alabama-v-duke-elite-eight-opening-odds","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=163249","title":{"rendered":"Giving Away Money: Alabama v Duke Elite Eight opening odds"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p id=\"MGzgUL\"><strong>Quick shout-out to FanDuel <\/strong>for helping us keep the lights on, as they are sponsoring this post.  <a href=\"https:\/\/sportsbook.fanduel.com\/\"><strong>All odds courtesy of FanDuel<\/strong><\/a><strong>. <\/strong>And if you\u2019re going to go full bread-and-circus in our imploding post-capitalist Western world, you may as well have nihilistic fun on the way out the door, and into the dustbin of history!<\/p>\n<p id=\"X5odd0\">Per FanDuel, <strong>Alabama enters this game as a handy-but-not-overwhelmed underdog, at +7 (-110). <\/strong><\/p>\n<p id=\"uwK9az\">But is that fair? Let\u2019s find out and make a prediction, shall we? We were 4-for-4 last night, and have bagged almost 70% of our NCAA and NIT picks. (Marshall JCM 800, here I come).<\/p>\n<hr class=\"p-entry-hr\" id=\"I9DVVr\"\/>\n<p id=\"iNMszI\">We knew \u2014 indeed, hoped \u2014 it would come down to this: No. 1 v. No. 2 in the East, as the Crimson Tide advanced to the Elite 8 mostly unscuffed. The only thing that has really been able to slow down the lethal Crimson Tide offense has been themselves. Meanwhile, the Regional top-seed Duke Blue Devils are the overwhelming tournament favorite, and have been even more impressive in dispatching their outmatched opponents. Yes, the Devils drew a bit easier path, but they way they\u2019re playing at all three levels, it would not have mattered too much. <\/p>\n<p id=\"MLkwNZ\">We\u2019ll go into the Xs and Os later today in our game preview, but this game stands to be a bit closer than most imagine. It is also probably going to be the shootout that did not materialize versus BYU, and that is apt to favor the underdogs here. <\/p>\n<p id=\"PLfyzx\">Why? Well, against ranked teams, Duke is a terrible cover&#8230;without much experience facing elite competition. They\u2019ve played just five such games all season, and tote a terrible 2-3 (40%) record ATS. They\u2019re underperforming by almost 2.5 PPG versus the expected spread. Alabama, however, has been remarkably impressive in its games against quality teams. The Tide have played an ungodly 18 contests against Top 25 teams, and are 12-6 (67%) against the number. And, unlike the Devils, the Tide is <em>over<\/em>performing its number by about 2.5 PPG. <\/p>\n<p id=\"l6B2tm\">As an underdog, the Tide have been even better, 6-2 versus the spread (75%). In a sport where the underdog covers or pushes just about 53% of the time, that is well-above happenstance. Duke has not been a terrible favorite, but they\u2019ve not been a lock either, hitting the margin just 63% of the time. At neutral sites, the Devils are sub-.500 ATS (4-5), while Alabama\u2019s performance is the inverse of that, at 5-4. And both teams come into the battle for Indianapolis at 2-1 vs. the NCAA field. In their last half dozen, the Tide is 4-2 while Duke is just at .500.<\/p>\n<p id=\"w0nJnh\">Trends do favor the Tide, despite some of the eye-popping stats that the Blue Devils have rang up. But, Alabama is certainly no slouch either. We\u2019ll discuss the reasons why in the upcoming preview. While Duke is a deserved favorite, they are not insurmountably so by the numbers. Covering high single digits may be too much of an ask for the Devils. <\/p>\n<p id=\"AgxLII\"><strong>Our call: Alabama +7<\/strong><\/p>\n<p id=\"kMeVmg\">Again, thanks to FanDuel for sponsoring this. Please use <a href=\"https:\/\/sportsbook.fanduel.com\/\">this link<\/a> when hitting up their site. <\/p>\n<hr class=\"p-entry-hr\" id=\"zW1MoG\"\/>\n<p id=\"LXecM7\"><em><strong>Want some more of these?<\/strong><\/em><em> I crank the data for (almost) every single game, every single week over at my companion site:<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.patreon.com\/givingawaymoney\"><em> <\/em><em><strong>(Almost) Giving Away Money<\/strong><\/em><\/a><em>. Check it out, and prosper. <\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Quick shout-out to FanDuel for helping us keep the lights on, as they are sponsoring this post. All odds courtesy of FanDuel. And if you\u2019re going to go full bread-and-circus in our imploding post-capitalist Western world, you may as well have nihilistic fun on the way out the door, and into the dustbin of history! [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":163250,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11763],"tags":[12750,44636,14886,4126,66172,14654,54622,14887,11659,832,11414,2878,547,54908,59334],"dealstore":[],"offerexpiration":[],"class_list":["post-163249","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-alabama","tag-alabama","tag-away","tag-bama","tag-duke","tag-eight","tag-elite","tag-fanduel","tag-front-page","tag-giving","tag-money","tag-odds","tag-opening","tag-roll","tag-statistics-and-betting","tag-v"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Giving Away Money: Alabama v Duke Elite Eight opening odds - Som2ny Network<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=163249\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Giving Away Money: Alabama v Duke Elite Eight opening odds - Som2ny Network\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Quick shout-out to FanDuel for helping us keep the lights on, as they are sponsoring this post. All odds courtesy of FanDuel. And if you\u2019re going to go full bread-and-circus in our imploding post-capitalist Western world, you may as well have nihilistic fun on the way out the door, and into the dustbin of history! 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