{"id":148162,"date":"2025-03-21T18:12:14","date_gmt":"2025-03-21T18:12:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/peraltafinancing.com\/business\/investing\/stock-market-outlook-march-16-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-03-21T18:12:14","modified_gmt":"2025-03-21T18:12:14","slug":"stock-market-outlook-march-16-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=148162","title":{"rendered":"Stock Market Outlook \u2013 March 16 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p><strong>Stock Market Outlook entering the Week of March 16th = <span style=\"color: #ff0000\">Downtrend<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>ADX Directional Indicators: <strong><span style=\"color: #ff0000\">Downtrend<\/span><\/strong><\/li>\n<li>Institutional Activity (Price &amp; Volume):\u00a0<strong><span style=\"color: #ff0000\">Downtrend<\/span><\/strong><\/li>\n<li>On Balance Volume Indicator:\u00a0<strong><span style=\"color: #ff0000\">Downtrend<\/span><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline\"><strong>ANALYSIS<\/strong><\/span><br \/>The stock market outlook remains in a downtrend after another failed rally attempt.<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"http:\/\/schrts.co\/MAZBdHHC\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">S&amp;P500 ( <em>$SPX<\/em> )<\/a> fell 3.1% last week and tested the 200 day moving average.\u00a0 The index is ~5% below the 50-day moving average and ~2% above the 200-day moving average.<\/p>\n<div data-shortcode=\"caption\" id=\"attachment_8758\" style=\"width: 650px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-8758\" data-attachment-id=\"8758\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/2025\/03\/16\/stock-market-outlook-march-16-2025\/2025-03-16-spx_trendline_analysis-daily\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2025-03-16-spx_trendline_analysis-daily.png\" data-orig-size=\"1329,990\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"2025-03-16-SPX_Trendline_Analysis-Daily\" data-image-description=\"&lt;p&gt;Stock chart with trendlines, volume, ADX, and OBV for daily SPX prices&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;SPX Price &amp; Volume Chart for Mar 16 2025&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2025-03-16-spx_trendline_analysis-daily.png?w=300\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2025-03-16-spx_trendline_analysis-daily.png?w=640\" class=\"size-large wp-image-8758\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2025-03-16-spx_trendline_analysis-daily.png?w=640\" alt=\"Technical analysis of daily SPX prices\" width=\"640\" height=\"477\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-8758\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">SPX Price &amp; Volume Chart for Mar 16 2025<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>All three indicators remained bearish.\u00a0 Another week, another failed rally attempt, as institutions weren\u2019t in a buying mood and used the 3\/7 rally attempt as another exit opportunity.\u00a0 Sticking to the script, the market put in another potential rally start on Friday, although this time the trading volume was low.<\/p>\n<div data-shortcode=\"caption\" id=\"attachment_8759\" style=\"width: 650px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-8759\" data-attachment-id=\"8759\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/2025\/03\/16\/stock-market-outlook-march-16-2025\/2025-03-16-sector_performance_analysis\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2025-03-16-sector_performance_analysis.png\" data-orig-size=\"1327,949\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"2025-03-16-Sector_Performance_Analysis\" data-image-description=\"&lt;p&gt;Data table with weekly returns for each S&amp;P500 Sector ETF&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;S&amp;P Sector Performance for Week 12 of 2025&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2025-03-16-sector_performance_analysis.png?w=300\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2025-03-16-sector_performance_analysis.png?w=640\" class=\"size-large wp-image-8759\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2025-03-16-sector_performance_analysis.png?w=640\" alt=\"Weekly price performance of S&amp;P500 sector ETFs\" width=\"640\" height=\"458\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-8759\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">S&amp;P Sector Performance for Week 12 of 2025<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Energy <em>( $XLE )<\/em> and Utilities <em>( $XLU )<\/em> were the only green sectors last week.\u00a0 Discretionary <em>( $XLY )<\/em> was the worst sector.\u00a0 The bias for Communications <em>( $XLC )<\/em>, Staples <em>( $XLP )<\/em>, and Materials <em>( <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sectorspdrs.com\/mainfund\/xlb\">$XLB<\/a> )<\/em> moved to bearish, Real Estate <em>( $XLRE )<\/em> moved to Neutral.\u00a0 Energy <em>( $XLE )<\/em> and Utilities <em>( $XLU )<\/em> moved back to bullish.<\/p>\n<div data-shortcode=\"caption\" id=\"attachment_8760\" style=\"width: 650px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-8760\" data-attachment-id=\"8760\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/2025\/03\/16\/stock-market-outlook-march-16-2025\/2025-03-16-style_performance_analysis\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2025-03-16-style_performance_analysis.png\" data-orig-size=\"1321,956\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"2025-03-16-Style_Performance_Analysis\" data-image-description=\"&lt;p&gt;Data table with weekly returns for each investing style&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;Sector Style Performance for Week 12 of 2025&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2025-03-16-style_performance_analysis.png?w=300\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2025-03-16-style_performance_analysis.png?w=640\" class=\"size-large wp-image-8760\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2025-03-16-style_performance_analysis.png?w=640\" alt=\"Weekly price performance by sector style\" width=\"640\" height=\"463\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-8760\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Sector Style Performance for Week 12 of 2025<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>No winners across the sector styles last week; Defensive led to the downside with a drop of 3%.\u00a0 Large-cap value <em>( $IWX )<\/em> and Defensive <em>( $POWA )<\/em> moved to bearish bias.<\/p>\n<div data-shortcode=\"caption\" id=\"attachment_8762\" style=\"width: 650px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-8762\" data-attachment-id=\"8762\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/2025\/03\/16\/stock-market-outlook-march-16-2025\/2025-03-16-asset_class_performance\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2025-03-16-asset_class_performance.png\" data-orig-size=\"1327,704\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"2025-03-16-Asset_Class_Performance\" data-image-description=\"&lt;p&gt;Data table with weekly returns for various asset classes&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;Asset Class Performance for Week 12 2025&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2025-03-16-asset_class_performance.png?w=300\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2025-03-16-asset_class_performance.png?w=640\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-large wp-image-8762\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2025-03-16-asset_class_performance.png?w=640\" alt=\"Weekly price performance by asset class\" width=\"640\" height=\"340\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-8762\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Asset Class Performance for Week 12 2025<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Gold led to the upside last week, continuing its recent run atop the leaderboard.\u00a0 Bitcoin and US equities were the worst performers.\u00a0 Dollar met resistance, shifting back to bearish bias from neutral.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline\"><strong>COMMENTARY<\/strong><\/span><br \/>Economic data didn\u2019t ring any alarm bells last week.\u00a0 January JOLTs was up slightly versus December.\u00a0 February inflation data easing from a year over year perspective.\u00a0 Headline and core consumer price index <em>( CPI )<\/em> fell 20 basis points.<\/p>\n<table style=\"border-collapse: collapse;width: AUTO\" border=\"1\" width=\"AUTO\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"7\">\n<tbody>\n<tr style=\"width: 50pt;height: 15.0pt\">\n<td><strong>CPI (y\/y)<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\"><strong>Actual<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\"><strong>Prior<br \/><\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\"><strong>Expected<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"width: 50pt;height: 15.0pt\">\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>Headline<\/em><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>+2.8%<\/em><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>+3.0%<\/em><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>+2.9%<\/em><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"width: 50pt;height: 15.0pt\">\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>Core<\/em><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>+3.1%<\/em><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>+3.3%<\/em><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>+3.2%<\/em><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Producer prices <em>( PPI )<\/em> fell more than CPI, with Headline and Core PPI down 0.5% and 0.4%, respectively, thanks to upward revisions to January data (+0.2%).<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<table style=\"border-collapse: collapse;width: AUTO\" border=\"1\" width=\"AUTO\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"7\">\n<tbody>\n<tr style=\"width: 50pt;height: 15.0pt\">\n<td><strong>PPI (y\/y)<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\"><strong>Actual<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\"><strong>Prior<br \/><\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\"><strong>Expected<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"width: 50pt;height: 15.0pt\">\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>Headline<\/em><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>+3.2%<\/em><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>+3.7%*<\/em><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>+3.3%<\/em><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"width: 50pt;height: 15.0pt\">\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>Core<\/em><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>+3.4%<\/em><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>+3.8%*<\/em><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>+3.5%<\/em><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>This week is likely to continue to trend of higher volatility, with retails sales, housing data, and another FOMC interest rate decision, not to mention any additional tariff talk.<\/p>\n<p>Last weeks price action looks to be a consolidation of the recent sell off, which could turn into a near term bottom.\u00a0 But volatility is still elevated <em>( i.e. &gt;20 )<\/em>, and most sectors and styles are bearish bias, so positive price action has a higher probability of being a counter-trend rally than the start of a new trend.\u00a0 Either way, the ADX should turn around first, and we\u2019ll need to see confirmation of Friday\u2019s rally attempt sometime after Wednesday this week.<\/p>\n<p>Best to Your Week!<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><strong><em>P.S. If you find this research helpful, please tell a friend.<br \/>If you don\u2019t, tell an enemy.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<h6>Sources: Bloomberg, CNBC, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Hedgeye, Stockcharts.com, TradingEconomics.com, U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics<\/h6>\n<hr\/>\n<h6>Invest Safely, LLC is an independent investment research and online financial media company.\u00a0 Use of Invest Safely, LLC and any other products available through invest-safely.com is subject to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy.<\/h6>\n<h6>Not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.<\/h6>\n<\/p><\/div>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Stock Market Outlook entering the Week of March 16th = Downtrend ADX Directional Indicators: Downtrend Institutional Activity (Price &amp; Volume):\u00a0Downtrend On Balance Volume Indicator:\u00a0Downtrend ANALYSISThe stock market outlook remains in a downtrend after another failed rally attempt. The S&amp;P500 ( $SPX ) fell 3.1% last week and tested the 200 day moving average.\u00a0 The index [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":148163,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[96],"tags":[7095,11209,12752,3310],"dealstore":[],"offerexpiration":[],"class_list":["post-148162","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-investing","tag-march","tag-market","tag-outlook","tag-stock"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Stock Market Outlook \u2013 March 16 2025 - Som2ny Network<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=148162\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Stock Market Outlook \u2013 March 16 2025 - Som2ny Network\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Stock Market Outlook entering the Week of March 16th = Downtrend ADX Directional Indicators: Downtrend Institutional Activity (Price &amp; Volume):\u00a0Downtrend On Balance Volume Indicator:\u00a0Downtrend ANALYSISThe stock market outlook remains in a downtrend after another failed rally attempt. 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