{"id":146346,"date":"2025-03-20T20:32:24","date_gmt":"2025-03-20T20:32:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/peraltafinancing.com\/business\/investing\/a-giant-sucking-sound-capitalist-exploits\/"},"modified":"2025-03-20T20:32:24","modified_gmt":"2025-03-20T20:32:24","slug":"a-giant-sucking-sound-capitalist-exploits","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=146346","title":{"rendered":"A Giant Sucking Sound\u2026 \u2013 Capitalist Exploits"},"content":{"rendered":"


\n<\/p>\n

\n

\"\ud83c\udf2a\ufe0f\"\/ MAGNIFICENT 7: A GIANT SUCKING SOUND<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Hear that? It\u2019s the sound of money being sucked into the Magnificent 7 (Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Alphabet\/Google, Amazon, Tesla, and Meta\/Facebook).<\/p>\n

So much so that the Magnificent 7 are now bigger (by market cap) than ALL the world\u2019s energy, basic materials, utility, and transportation stocks combined. Take a look\u2026<\/p>\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n

And it\u2019s not just compared to boring, stodgy stocks like these (who needs energy, anyway, right?). With the exception of the US, the Magnificent 7 are now bigger than any stock market in the world.<\/p>\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n

But even within the US, the gap between the \u201cMag 7\u201d and the rest of the market is widening.<\/p>\n

Since the start of 2022, you have just about broken even if you have been invested in a basket of large cap stocks (as measured by the S&P 500 in white below). But if you actually dared to venture into smaller cap stocks, you\u2019re in the red right now.<\/p>\n

The Magnificent 7 and Nvidia in particular remind us a lot about Cisco during the dot-com boom when networking equipment was all the rage.<\/p>\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n

As you can see in the above chart, it ended in tears. But here\u2019s what is really interesting\u2026<\/p>\n

Even though Cisco\u2019s stock price crumbled some 80% during the dot-com bust, its earnings didn\u2019t. Actually, come 2003, Cisco\u2019s earnings were actually higher than in 2000.<\/p>\n

And look at 2010 \u2014 the stock price was still down some 70% from its dot-com highs, but earnings and revenue were hitting new records. And yet, for whatever reason, investors decided that they would pay such a high multiple for Cisco\u2019s earnings.<\/p>\n

It might take some time, but the market tends to find a way to sort out excess returns.<\/p>\n

\"\u2620\ufe0f\"\u00a0\u00a0R.I.P. SHORT SELLING<\/strong><\/h2>\n

\u201cThe reports of my death are greatly exaggerated.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

Whoever actually came up with that old chestnut was onto something \u2014 at least when it comes to investing.<\/p>\n

Whenever the press of popular opinion declares an asset class, industry, or strategy as being dead and buried, our experience tells us to get wary.<\/p>\n

You might remember the famous \u201cdeath of equities\u201d cover that marked the beginning of a long bull market in stocks. Or when the same magazine more recently declared inflation dead (hint: it wasn\u2019t).<\/p>\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n

Based on this Bloomberg piece, short selling might be the next \u201cvictim\u201d?<\/p>\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n

Here\u2019s an excerpt from the article:<\/p>\n

\n

Jim Chanos quit after failing to raise capital. Carson Block\u2019s firm launched its first long-only fund. Andrew Left dubbed his kind \u201ca dying breed.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

These are bad times to be a bear on Wall Street.<\/em><\/p>\n

After taking hits on multiple fronts, short sellers \u2014 who borrow and then sell stocks in a bid to profit from price declines \u2014 are in retreat. Thank the gravity-defying bull market, lingering regulatory threats, a day-trading horde randomly squeezing shares like GameStop Corp. ever higher, and more.<\/em><\/p>\n

Short interest in a typical member of the S&P 500 is hovering around the lowest levels in more than two decades, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Assets in funds with a short bias have slumped to $4.6 billion from $7.8 billion in 2008, HFR data show, during a period when equity hedge funds overall nearly tripled in size. Activist campaigns like those pursued by Block and Left \u2014 where investors seek company flaws and bet against them before making their findings public \u2014 launched at the slowest pace in a decade in 2022, with only a tiny uptick last year.<\/em><\/p>\n

Against that backdrop, a succession of high-profile players has dialed back their short-selling activity, and some have turned away from the business \u2014 including the most famous of them all.<\/em><\/p>\n

\u201cOur fund side of our business was just dwindling \u2014 people just didn\u2019t want to invest,\u201d says Jim Chanos, the legendary short seller renowned for calling Enron Corp.\u2019s demise. \u201cInvestors \u2014 primarily institutional investors \u2014 have just given up on the fact that there\u2019s going to be excess returns on the short side.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

With the Magnificent 7 going parabolic, short selling might seem like a dying profession. But we can\u2019t help ourselves and draw parallels (again) with the dot-com boom, namely, when the crowd came for Buffett in 1999. This is from Barron\u2019s:<\/p>\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n

In fairness, Buffett\u2019s Berkshire Hathaway was down some 40% from its peak, while the rest of the market raced higher, with tech stocks leading the way. But look at what happened once the dot-com bubble burst (Berkshire in yellow and the S&P 500 in white)\u2026<\/p>\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n

The S&P 500 dropped some 40% while Berkshire soared close to 50%.<\/p>\n

Whenever the press of popular opinion tells you that \u2014 in no uncertain terms \u2014 an investing strategy is dead and buried, odds are it is about to come back to life (and often in a big way). The same way, if all the talk in town is a strategy or a stock being the \u201conly trade in town,\u201d then Mr Market is going to teach investors a good lesson.<\/p>\n

\"\ud83d\udcfa\"\u00a0\u00a0DRUCK ON COPPER<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Stan Druckenmiller\u2019s recent comments on copper caught our attention.<\/p>\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n

Here\u2019s the gist of Druck\u2019s argument:<\/p>\n

\n

\u201cCopper is a pretty simple story, takes about 12 years, greenfield to produce copper, and you got EVs, the grid, data centers, and believe it or not munitions. These missiles all got enough copper in them and the world\u2019s getting hot that we just think the supply-demand situation is incredible for the next five or six years,\u201d Druckenmiller said in the CNBC interview.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

But when you look at the market, one of the two things must be true \u2014 either Druck is wrong or most investors are too enamored with the Nvidia\u2019s of the world to care about copper.<\/p>\n

Right now, copper miners (and copper in general) are as unloved as they were during the height of the TMT bubble some 25 years ago (well, near enough).<\/p>\n

Here\u2019s copper\u2019s performance against the S&P 500 \u2014 flirting with all time lows.<\/p>\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n

But even broadly speaking, copper is a good proxy for the themes we\u2019ve discussed here ad nauseam \u2014 hard assets vs financial assets\/value vs growth\/inflation vs deflation, etc.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s worth noting that copper both tend to do well in periods of high inflation. This is a chart Chris shared in his recent Rebel Capitalist Live presentation:<\/p>\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n

In other words, if you think that the world is going to go through a period of high inflation over the next 10 years (as we do), then copper and copper miners (as well as energy) make a lot of sense.<\/p>\n

\"\ud83e\ude7a\"\u00a0\u00a0CHECKING IN ON COAL<\/strong><\/h2>\n

You just can\u2019t make this up\u2026<\/p>\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n

From the article (emphasis ours):<\/p>\n

\n

The Biden administration has just signed an economic suicide pact that would require the United States and six other Western democracies to shut down its coal power plants by 2035, while\u00a0China, India and the rest of the world currently have more than 1,000 new coal power plants in the planning or construction phase.<\/strong>\u00a0The no-coal pact allows all nations but the Suicidal Seven to continue using as much affordable coal power as they like.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

To put things in perspective,\u00a0Insider<\/a>\u00a0member Ananth shared this chart illustrating coal consumption over the past decades.<\/p>\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n

Our hunch is this \u2014 coupled with the net zero\u00a0initiative<\/s>\u00a0ideology \u2014 explains why many (if not most?) Western analysts and talking heads think coal is dead and on the way out (sound familiar?). Coal use in their backyard has been going nowhere but down, so surely it must be true.<\/p>\n

But as you can see, Asian countries (in orange) have more than made up for whatever coal the West gave up. In fact, just two countries (China and India) single handedly pushed global coal use to an all-time high last year.<\/p>\n

And it doesn\u2019t look like this trend will reverse itself anytime soon as those countries keep burning coal like there\u2019s no tomorrow. Here\u2019s India (h\/t to Insider member Claus for this chart)\u2026<\/p>\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n

It\u2019s no surprise coal stocks have been very good to investors over the past couple of years.<\/p>\n

One obscure coal miner that we hold in our Dividend Portfolio is up 88% so far. But wait, there\u2019s more. It\u2019s not just capital gains. Many coal stocks also pay fat dividends. With dividends reinvested, that 88% becomes 235% \u2014 just so you can appreciate the power of dividends.<\/p>\n

\"\ud83e\udd23\"\u00a0\u00a0WEEK\u2019S HUMOUR<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Credit for this one goes to Insider member Lynn.<\/p>\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n

And this one from member Claus. Honest marketing above all else!<\/p>\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n

Have a great weekend!<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

MAGNIFICENT 7: A GIANT SUCKING SOUND Hear that? It\u2019s the sound of money being sucked into the Magnificent 7 (Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Alphabet\/Google, Amazon, Tesla, and Meta\/Facebook). So much so that the Magnificent 7 are now bigger (by market cap) than ALL the world\u2019s energy, basic materials, utility, and transportation stocks combined. Take a look\u2026 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":146347,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[96],"tags":[15977,15978,2471,2656,61612],"dealstore":[],"offerexpiration":[],"class_list":["post-146346","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-investing","tag-capitalist","tag-exploits","tag-giant","tag-sound","tag-sucking"],"yoast_head":"\nA Giant Sucking Sound\u2026 \u2013 Capitalist Exploits - Som2ny Network<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=146346\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"A Giant Sucking Sound\u2026 \u2013 Capitalist Exploits - Som2ny Network\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"MAGNIFICENT 7: A GIANT SUCKING SOUND Hear that? It\u2019s the sound of money being sucked into the Magnificent 7 (Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Alphabet\/Google, Amazon, Tesla, and Meta\/Facebook). So much so that the Magnificent 7 are now bigger (by market cap) than ALL the world\u2019s energy, basic materials, utility, and transportation stocks combined. Take a look\u2026 […]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=146346\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Som2ny Network\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-03-20T20:32:24+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/1742502746_72.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"72\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"72\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"7 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=146346#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=146346\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/b85e3c3dc0e1daea076524dc8810c371\"},\"headline\":\"A Giant Sucking Sound\u2026 \u2013 Capitalist Exploits\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-03-20T20:32:24+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=146346\"},\"wordCount\":1415,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=146346#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/1742502746_72.png\",\"keywords\":[\"Capitalist\",\"Exploits\",\"GIANT\",\"Sound\",\"Sucking\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Investing\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=146346#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=146346\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=146346\",\"name\":\"A Giant Sucking Sound\u2026 \u2013 Capitalist Exploits - 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