{"id":139889,"date":"2025-03-17T15:36:56","date_gmt":"2025-03-17T15:36:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/peraltafinancing.com\/business\/investing\/moving-average-convergence-divergence-indicator-macd\/"},"modified":"2025-03-17T15:36:56","modified_gmt":"2025-03-17T15:36:56","slug":"moving-average-convergence-divergence-indicator-macd","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=139889","title":{"rendered":"Moving Average Convergence\/Divergence Indicator (MACD)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div itemprop=\"text\">\n<div id=\"attachment_62188\" style=\"width: 2010px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-62188\" data-attachment-id=\"62188\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/itawealth.com\/moving-average-convergence-divergence-indicator-macd\/olympus-digital-camera-334\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/itawealth.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Wheeler.jpg\" data-orig-size=\"2000,1500\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;5.6&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;E-M1MarkII&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;OLYMPUS DIGITAL CAMERA&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;1741265235&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;25&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;200&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0.002&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;OLYMPUS DIGITAL CAMERA&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;1&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"OLYMPUS DIGITAL CAMERA\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;Wheeler \u2013 Oregon Coast&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/itawealth.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Wheeler-300x225.jpg\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/itawealth.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Wheeler-1024x768.jpg\" class=\"size-full wp-image-62188\" src=\"https:\/\/itawealth.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Wheeler.jpg\" alt=\"Moving Average Convergence\/Divergence Indicator (MACD) 1\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1500\" title=\"Moving Average Convergence\/Divergence Indicator (MACD) 1\" srcset=\"https:\/\/itawealth.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Wheeler.jpg 2000w, https:\/\/itawealth.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Wheeler-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/itawealth.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Wheeler-1024x768.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/itawealth.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Wheeler-768x576.jpg 768w, https:\/\/itawealth.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Wheeler-1536x1152.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-62188\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><em>Wheeler \u2013 Oregon Coast<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Back in the 1970s I learned of <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><em><strong><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/cmtassociation.org\/presenter\/gerald-appel\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Gerald Appel<\/a><\/strong><\/em><\/span> and his Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) technical indicator.\u00a0 Appel published and sold a pamphlet explaining the MACD model and how to calculate it on a Texas Instrument calculator.\u00a0 This was a time just before personal computers became available so we relied on calculators for \u201ccomplex\u201d calculations.\u00a0 Some of you will remember the days of programmable calculators.\u00a0 At the time I was tracking no-load mutual funds using <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><em><strong><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/terms\/e\/ema.asp\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Exponential Moving Averages<\/a><\/strong><\/em><\/span> (EMAs).\u00a0 EMAs were easier to calculate than simple moving averages as one did not need to remove the oldest data point.\u00a0 Furthermore, EMAs place more emphasis on recent data vs. old data points so they are faster reacting to price changes.<\/p>\n<p>Appel used various EMA combinations, but the default setting today is to use a 12-day and 26-day combination with a 9-day EMA of the MACD.\u00a0 Stockcharts now makes all the calculations for the end user so there is no need to manually go through all the calculations.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Stockchart Graphs:\u00a0\u00a0<\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/schrts.co\/XtKEdYDQ\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><em><strong>Save this link <\/strong><\/em><\/span><\/a>so you have an easy time finding an appropriate Stockchart graph for any ticker of interest.\u00a0 A little later I will go over some of the positives and negatives of using this technical indicator.<\/p>\n<p><strong>MACD: <\/strong>Below is the MACD plot for SCHD, one ETF used with ITA portfolios.\u00a0 The black or dark line is a calculation of the 26-day EMA minus the 12-day EMA.\u00a0 The red line is a 9-day EMA of the MACD graph.\u00a0 Again, Stockcharts does all the grunt work for the end user.<\/p>\n<p>The argument goes like this.\u00a0 When the black line moves from below to above the red line we purchase shares in the security and when the black line moves from above to below the red line we sell all shares of the security.\u00a0 The current MACD recommendation for SCHD is to remain in cash and wait for a positive signal.<\/p>\n<p>As with most technical indicators there are at least three fundamental negatives to the MACD.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Moving in and out of the market creates taxable events.\u00a0 Most, if not all technical indicators, do not add sufficient returns to overcome the tax burden.<\/li>\n<li>Moving in and out of the market frequently results in what is known as a security whipsaw.<\/li>\n<li>In any give year there tend to be ten significant up days in the market.\u00a0 When using a technical indicator such as the MACD it is very easy to miss all or a major port of the upward move.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>How might one use the MACD to our advantage?\u00a0 Assume one is accumulating cash in a portfolio.\u00a0 We have several choices as to how to use available cash.<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Invest immediately in the security most under the target percentage.<\/li>\n<li>Dollar-cost-average on a regular schedule which is not significantly different from #1.<\/li>\n<li>Use the MACD as a trigger as to when to move back into the market.\u00a0 This move or decision is a \u201cfirst cousin\u201d to the \u201cBuy-Hold-Sell\u201d recommendations one finds within the Kipling spreadsheet.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>For example, both the MACD shown below and the BHS recommendation within the Kipling spreadsheet are telling us to wait before adding more shares of SCHD to any portfolios.\u00a0 This also happens to be the recommendation for most U.S. Equity securities.<\/p>\n<p>In this first MACD graph of SCHD we see where the black line is below the red line.\u00a0 Therefore we remain on the sidelines when it comes to investing in more shares of SCHD.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"62193\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/itawealth.com\/moving-average-convergence-divergence-indicator-macd\/1-372\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/itawealth.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/1-11.jpg\" data-orig-size=\"1118,303\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"1\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/itawealth.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/1-11-300x81.jpg\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/itawealth.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/1-11-1024x278.jpg\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-62193\" src=\"https:\/\/itawealth.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/1-11.jpg\" alt=\"Moving Average Convergence\/Divergence Indicator (MACD) 2\" width=\"1118\" height=\"303\" title=\"Moving Average Convergence\/Divergence Indicator (MACD) 2\" srcset=\"https:\/\/itawealth.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/1-11.jpg 1118w, https:\/\/itawealth.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/1-11-300x81.jpg 300w, https:\/\/itawealth.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/1-11-1024x278.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/itawealth.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/1-11-768x208.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1118px) 100vw, 1118px\"\/><\/p>\n<p><strong>Graphs Settings:\u00a0\u00a0<\/strong>I was not able to capture both the graph and settings in one screenshot so I am breaking them into two parts.\u00a0 If you wish a little more clarity in the relationship between the black and red lines, change the date from one year to three months or less to as to expand the Stockcharts graph.<\/p>\n<p>Note the default parameters are 12, 26, and 9 as explained above.\u00a0 One can find details on the Internet as to how to make the calculations.\u00a0 I let Stockcharts do the heavy lifting of these calculations.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"62197\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/itawealth.com\/moving-average-convergence-divergence-indicator-macd\/2-354\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/itawealth.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2-11.jpg\" data-orig-size=\"1122,423\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"2\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/itawealth.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2-11-300x113.jpg\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/itawealth.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2-11-1024x386.jpg\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-62197\" src=\"https:\/\/itawealth.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2-11.jpg\" alt=\"Moving Average Convergence\/Divergence Indicator (MACD) 3\" width=\"1122\" height=\"423\" title=\"Moving Average Convergence\/Divergence Indicator (MACD) 3\" srcset=\"https:\/\/itawealth.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2-11.jpg 1122w, https:\/\/itawealth.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2-11-300x113.jpg 300w, https:\/\/itawealth.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2-11-1024x386.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/itawealth.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2-11-768x290.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1122px) 100vw, 1122px\"\/><\/p>\n<p>If you have been following recent blog posts you are aware that I am repositioning many ETFs in order to further simplify the asset allocations of ITA portfolios.<\/p>\n<p>Market projections are frequent incorrect so I pay little attention to them.\u00a0 I have similar reservations regarding technical indicators, although I find them fascinating.\u00a0 I hear projections that 2025 will be a volatile year, but 2026 and 2027 will be see a strong bull market.\u00a0 It is unlikely we will hear a review of these projections at the end of 2027.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Recommendation:<\/strong>\u00a0 Save as much as you can as early as you can and dollar-cost-average into a few broad based ETFs such as VOO.\u00a0 Trying to finesse the market will most likely end up as a major disappointment.<\/p>\n<p>(Visited 22 times, 6 visits today)<\/p>\n<div class=\"sharedaddy sd-block sd-like jetpack-likes-widget-wrapper jetpack-likes-widget-unloaded\" id=\"like-post-wrapper-56068088-62185-67d841974f33c\" 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[&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":139890,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[96],"tags":[10903,59574,35859,59575,4237],"dealstore":[],"offerexpiration":[],"class_list":["post-139889","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-investing","tag-average","tag-convergencedivergence","tag-indicator","tag-macd","tag-moving"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Moving Average Convergence\/Divergence Indicator (MACD) - Som2ny Network<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=139889\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" 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