{"id":131084,"date":"2025-03-13T16:38:14","date_gmt":"2025-03-13T16:38:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/peraltafinancing.com\/business\/investing\/stock-market-outlook-march-09-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-03-13T16:38:14","modified_gmt":"2025-03-13T16:38:14","slug":"stock-market-outlook-march-09-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=131084","title":{"rendered":"Stock Market Outlook \u2013 March 09 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p><strong>Stock Market Outlook entering the Week of March 9th = <span style=\"color: #ff0000\">Downtrend<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>ADX Directional Indicators: <strong><span style=\"color: #ff0000\">Downtrend<\/span><\/strong><\/li>\n<li>Institutional Activity (Price &amp; Volume):\u00a0<strong><span style=\"color: #ff0000\">Downtrend<\/span><\/strong><\/li>\n<li>On Balance Volume Indicator:\u00a0<strong><span style=\"color: #ff0000\">Downtrend<\/span><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline\"><strong>ANALYSIS<\/strong><\/span><br \/>The stock market outlook remained in a downtrend last week after last week\u2019s rally attempt failed. Equities get a second chance this week, thanks to another strong Friday rally.<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"http:\/\/schrts.co\/MAZBdHHC\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">S&amp;P500 ( <em>$SPX<\/em> )<\/a> fell 3.1% last week and tested the 200 day moving average.\u00a0 The index is ~4% below the 50-day moving average and ~1% above the 200-day moving average.<\/p>\n<div data-shortcode=\"caption\" id=\"attachment_8742\" style=\"width: 650px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-8742\" data-attachment-id=\"8742\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/2025\/03\/09\/stock-market-outlook-march-09-2025\/2025-03-09-spx_trendline_analysis-daily\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2025-03-09-spx_trendline_analysis-daily.png\" data-orig-size=\"1329,990\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"2025-03-09-SPX_Trendline_Analysis-Daily\" data-image-description=\"&lt;p&gt;Stock chart with trendlines, volume, ADX, and OBV for daily SPX prices&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;SPX Price &amp; Volume Chart for Mar 09 2025&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2025-03-09-spx_trendline_analysis-daily.png?w=300\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2025-03-09-spx_trendline_analysis-daily.png?w=640\" class=\"size-large wp-image-8742\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2025-03-09-spx_trendline_analysis-daily.png?w=640\" alt=\"Technical analysis of daily SPX prices\" width=\"640\" height=\"477\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-8742\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">SPX Price &amp; Volume Chart for Mar 09 2025<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>On-balance volume shifted to bearish last week, reflecting the high volume selling experienced since mid-February.\u00a0 Institutions weren\u2019t in a buying mood last week either, instead using the 2\/28 rally attempt as a exit opportunity.\u00a0 The market will try again this week, after putting in another strong Friday session.\u00a0 That said, the ADX shows a strengthening downtrend taking hold as we entered the weekend.<\/p>\n<div data-shortcode=\"caption\" id=\"attachment_8744\" style=\"width: 650px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-8744\" data-attachment-id=\"8744\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/2025\/03\/09\/stock-market-outlook-march-09-2025\/2025-03-09-sector_performance_analysis\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2025-03-09-sector_performance_analysis.png\" data-orig-size=\"1327,949\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"2025-03-09-Sector_Performance_Analysis\" data-image-description=\"&lt;p&gt;Data table with weekly returns for each S&amp;P500 Sector ETF&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;S&amp;P Sector Performance for Week 10 of 2025&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2025-03-09-sector_performance_analysis.png?w=300\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2025-03-09-sector_performance_analysis.png?w=640\" class=\"size-large wp-image-8744\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2025-03-09-sector_performance_analysis.png?w=640\" alt=\"Weekly price performance of S&amp;P500 sector ETFs\" width=\"640\" height=\"458\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-8744\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">S&amp;P Sector Performance for Week 10 of 2025<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Healthcare <em>( $XLV )<\/em> was the only shelter from last week\u2019s sell-off, basically breaking even.\u00a0 Financials <em>( $XLF )<\/em> were the worst sector.\u00a0 The bias for Energy <em>( $XLE )<\/em>, Financials <em>( $XLF )<\/em>, and Industrials <em>( $XLI )<\/em> fell to bearish. \u00a0 Communications, Materials ( <em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sectorspdrs.com\/mainfund\/xlb\">$XLB<\/a><\/em> ), and Utilities are testing their support levels.<\/p>\n<div data-shortcode=\"caption\" id=\"attachment_8745\" style=\"width: 650px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-8745\" data-attachment-id=\"8745\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/2025\/03\/09\/stock-market-outlook-march-09-2025\/2025-03-09-style_performance_analysis\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2025-03-09-style_performance_analysis.png\" data-orig-size=\"1321,956\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"2025-03-09-Style_Performance_Analysis\" data-image-description=\"&lt;p&gt;Data table with weekly returns for each investing style&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;Sector Style Performance for Week 10 of 2025&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2025-03-09-style_performance_analysis.png?w=300\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2025-03-09-style_performance_analysis.png?w=640\" class=\"size-large wp-image-8745\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2025-03-09-style_performance_analysis.png?w=640\" alt=\"Weekly price performance by sector style\" width=\"640\" height=\"463\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-8745\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Sector Style Performance for Week 10 of 2025<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Like Healthcare, the High Dividend <em>( $SPHD )<\/em> sector style was the only winner last week. Mega-cap growth <em>( $OEF )<\/em>, Momentum and Quality styles fell to bearish bias, while Large-cap value <em>( $IWX )<\/em> is testing support at a neutral bias.<\/p>\n<div data-shortcode=\"caption\" id=\"attachment_8743\" style=\"width: 650px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-8743\" data-attachment-id=\"8743\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/2025\/03\/09\/stock-market-outlook-march-09-2025\/2025-03-09-asset_class_performance\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2025-03-09-asset_class_performance.png\" data-orig-size=\"1327,704\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"2025-03-09-Asset_Class_Performance\" data-image-description=\"&lt;p&gt;Data table with weekly returns for various asset classes&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;Asset Class Performance for Week 10 2025&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2025-03-09-asset_class_performance.png?w=300\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2025-03-09-asset_class_performance.png?w=640\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-large wp-image-8743\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2025-03-09-asset_class_performance.png?w=640\" alt=\"Weekly price performance by asset class\" width=\"640\" height=\"340\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-8743\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Asset Class Performance for Week 10 2025<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>A bit of a comeback for Bitcoin; probably a response to all the crypto-related announcements out of Washington D.C. last week.\u00a0 Otherwise, Gold was the other safety play, while Oil led to the downside.\u00a0 The dollar also fell to bearish bias, thanks to an unusually large decline during the week.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline\"><strong>COMMENTARY<\/strong><\/span><br \/>First things first: the smart money is selling the rips, not buying the dips, which means U.S. equities are in sell mode. Whether it\u2019s initial or reciprocal tariffs, government upheaval, or geopolitical turmoil, the world is an increasingly uncertain place at this moment in time. And financial markets do not react well to uncertainty, so you\u2019re seeing risk-off trades.<\/p>\n<p>Rising foreign currencies have pressured the U.S. Dollar in recent weeks, unwinding most of the post-election rally. Of greater interest is the bond market, specifically Germany\u2019s: yields on government bonds have spiked after they announced changes to their <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/German_balanced_budget_amendment\">\u201cdebt brake\u201d<\/a> and an historic boost in spending. The increase in bond yields comes despite the European Central Bank cutting interest rates for the fifth time in a row and lowering its growth forecasts for the Eurozone; likely an attempt to mitigate the impact of tariffs. These developments impact the profitability of various <a href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/carry-trade-definition-4682656\">carry trades<\/a>, changing capital flows and volatility throughout the global financial system.<\/p>\n<p>January macroeconomic data <em>( ISM PMI Surveys )<\/em> showed slightly lower manufacturing activity and slightly higher service-related activity. February non-farm payrolls showed a month over month increased, but fell short of forecasts. At a speech in Chicago, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated that \u201cthe US economy continues to be in a good place,\u201d and while they aren\u2019t focused on the uncertainty caused by tariffs, they are waiting for more data to determine if and when interest rate adjustments are needed. So there\u2019s no \u201cFed put\u201d at the moment.<\/p>\n<p>If you\u2019re looking hold a position longer than a day or two, you want to buy the best of the best when you have the highest odds of success. Now is the time to prepare your watch lists for the next buying opportunity <em>( big up days with higher than average trading volumes, $VIX . There are only a few places with a bullish bias <em>( see above )<\/em>, and their largely defensive in nature.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>This week we get January JOLTs, February CPI &amp; PPI, and March Consumer Sentiment.<\/p>\n<p>Best to Your Week!<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><strong><em>P.S. If you find this research helpful, please tell a friend.<br \/>If you don\u2019t, tell an enemy.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<h6>Sources: Bloomberg, CNBC, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Hedgeye, Stockcharts.com, TradingEconomics.com, U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics<\/h6>\n<hr\/>\n<h6>Invest Safely, LLC is an independent investment research and online financial media company.\u00a0 Use of Invest Safely, LLC and any other products available through invest-safely.com is subject to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy.<\/h6>\n<h6>Not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.<\/h6>\n<\/p><\/div>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Stock Market Outlook entering the Week of March 9th = Downtrend ADX Directional Indicators: Downtrend Institutional Activity (Price &amp; Volume):\u00a0Downtrend On Balance Volume Indicator:\u00a0Downtrend ANALYSISThe stock market outlook remained in a downtrend last week after last week\u2019s rally attempt failed. Equities get a second chance this week, thanks to another strong Friday rally. The S&amp;P500 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":131085,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[96],"tags":[7095,11209,12752,3310],"dealstore":[],"offerexpiration":[],"class_list":["post-131084","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-investing","tag-march","tag-market","tag-outlook","tag-stock"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Stock Market Outlook \u2013 March 09 2025 - Som2ny Network<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=131084\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Stock Market Outlook \u2013 March 09 2025 - Som2ny Network\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Stock Market Outlook entering the Week of March 9th = Downtrend ADX Directional Indicators: Downtrend Institutional Activity (Price &amp; Volume):\u00a0Downtrend On Balance Volume Indicator:\u00a0Downtrend ANALYSISThe stock market outlook remained in a downtrend last week after last week\u2019s rally attempt failed. Equities get a second chance this week, thanks to another strong Friday rally. The S&amp;P500 [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=131084\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Som2ny Network\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-03-13T16:38:14+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2025-03-09-spx_trendline_analysis-daily.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"639\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"476\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=131084#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=131084\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/b85e3c3dc0e1daea076524dc8810c371\"},\"headline\":\"Stock Market Outlook \u2013 March 09 2025\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-03-13T16:38:14+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=131084\"},\"wordCount\":745,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=131084#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2025-03-09-spx_trendline_analysis-daily.png\",\"keywords\":[\"March\",\"Market\",\"Outlook\",\"STOCK\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Investing\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=131084#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=131084\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=131084\",\"name\":\"Stock Market Outlook \u2013 March 09 2025 - 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Som2ny Network","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=131084","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Stock Market Outlook \u2013 March 09 2025 - Som2ny Network","og_description":"Stock Market Outlook entering the Week of March 9th = Downtrend ADX Directional Indicators: Downtrend Institutional Activity (Price &amp; Volume):\u00a0Downtrend On Balance Volume Indicator:\u00a0Downtrend ANALYSISThe stock market outlook remained in a downtrend last week after last week\u2019s rally attempt failed. Equities get a second chance this week, thanks to another strong Friday rally. 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