{"id":128555,"date":"2025-03-12T14:27:08","date_gmt":"2025-03-12T14:27:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/peraltafinancing.com\/business\/investing\/wilmar-at-3-00-per-share-more-on-alibaba\/"},"modified":"2025-03-12T14:27:08","modified_gmt":"2025-03-12T14:27:08","slug":"wilmar-at-3-00-per-share-more-on-alibaba","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=128555","title":{"rendered":"Wilmar at $3.00 per share. More on Alibaba."},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">Quite a few readers and viewers have been asking me on and off this year whether I was adding to my investment in Wilmar.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">I think more people asked me when Wilmar&#8217;s stock price went down to $3.20 and $3.10 per share.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">I kept saying that I was waiting for $3.00 per share.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">Briefly in August, I thought I might get it but it didn&#8217;t happen.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">Well, it finally happened.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">My overnight BUY order at $3.00 per share was filled.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">Wilmar International is very undervalued if we were to look at the sum of its parts.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">Its majority held YKA in China has a larger market cap than Wilmar in Singapore.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">So, buying Wilmar today, we are getting the rest of its businesses for free.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">This is something I have said for a long time.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">Of course, a stock could stay undervalued for a long time too.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">Those of us who track the counter know that insiders are consistently adding to their positions.<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"separator\" style=\"clear: both; text-align: center;\"><span style=\"clear: left; float: left; font-size: x-large; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;\"><\/p>\n<div class=\"separator\" style=\"clear: both; text-align: center;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/blogger.googleusercontent.com\/img\/b\/R29vZ2xl\/AVvXsEhTUL0Vn2lOBTUZ1aH4XqWk9lcF369F1E_FQAfbTbX6tYeAEvi6Jno9kgtHBWjUIBZmSOASgXkokVt_eVk431fbK86Pq7g_aVwra_7fRIVQNIuv3UfVSXZEhgbg-QcbOJzwLt_Ta7zE_vDuwc2D6rgQeD4xYeWyKZJP-1DgBr3TYpOQciY9QuQavx2SH_t6\/s844\/wilmarKKH.png\" style=\"clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" border=\"0\" data-original-height=\"490\" data-original-width=\"844\" height=\"233\" src=\"https:\/\/blogger.googleusercontent.com\/img\/b\/R29vZ2xl\/AVvXsEhTUL0Vn2lOBTUZ1aH4XqWk9lcF369F1E_FQAfbTbX6tYeAEvi6Jno9kgtHBWjUIBZmSOASgXkokVt_eVk431fbK86Pq7g_aVwra_7fRIVQNIuv3UfVSXZEhgbg-QcbOJzwLt_Ta7zE_vDuwc2D6rgQeD4xYeWyKZJP-1DgBr3TYpOQciY9QuQavx2SH_t6\/w400-h233\/wilmarKKH.png\" width=\"400\"\/><\/a><\/div>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" border=\"0\" data-original-height=\"392\" data-original-width=\"837\" height=\"188\" src=\"https:\/\/blogger.googleusercontent.com\/img\/b\/R29vZ2xl\/AVvXsEjouJVLIPBodq8Y7HaNkBUJhVnbCtMGEto9vLMRzJ52r6bw4sXWUWaclZVjw8YKZPK_VoTX8hztKILGYLauWIj24qsXdbn_jZeorcnwjglS6tyQjcbFfrflRSkQKO1b0mwjO5kRwQFCv-ZwCkfcdtVKWtPD4O4ZcL2-A6kYfis6S0c5LsuucCE39JLNz5F2\/w400-h188\/wilmargy.png\" width=\"400\"\/><\/span><\/div>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"\/><br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #660000; font-size: x-large;\"><br \/><\/span> <br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #660000; font-size: x-large;\"><br \/><\/span>  <\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">Historically, at $3.00 per share or lower, we have seen even more insider buying.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">Wilmar&#8217;s business in China is not performing as well as before as the Chinese economy is still suffering from the meltdown of its property sector.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">Consumers are still cautious and are not spending as freely as before.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">Historically, Wilmar also did share buybacks during times of lower earnings as its share price got punished as a result.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">At current prices, downside is probably limited.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">I also like that Wilmar has been consistent in paying dividends through good and bad times.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">They did not suspend dividends during the pandemic, for example.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">The dividend per share of 17c isn&#8217;t demanding as expectation is for earnings per share to be about 30c in 2025.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">Buying at $3.00 per share gives me a dividend yield of 5.66% and an earnings yield of about 10%.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">Of course, readers who have been watching my\u00a0 YouTube videos on the banks would be familiar with the concept of earnings yield.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">Wilmar is still one of my larger investments and it fits my primary strategy to invest in bona fide income generating assets which will pay me through good and bad times.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">I thought I would end 2024 without buying any equities but after initiating a position in Alibaba Group last week, I have added to my position in Wilmar today.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"2025 inflation and investments. Investing in DBS, OCBC and UOB to beat inflation? What about REITs?\" width=\"840\" height=\"473\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/W3pa6cp3ijM?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #660000; font-size: x-large;\"><br \/><\/span> <br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #660000; font-size: x-large;\"><br \/><\/span>  <\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">Many regular readers were curious why I invested in Alibaba Group last week.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">I have made videos about Alibaba and how I thought it was trading like a value stock.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">Despite that, I wasn&#8217;t ready to jump on the bandwagon because of policy risk in China.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">Alibaba also didn&#8217;t use to pay a dividend but not too long ago, they started to pay dividends, very little in dividends.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">The dividend yield is less than 2% with a payout ratio of about 20%.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">So, it is a very sustainable dividend.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">Alibaba has very healthy cashflow and very strong balance sheet.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">Instead of paying more dividends, Alibaba has decided to do share buybacks.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">I must agree that doing share buybacks at such depressed valuations is probably a good idea.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">Alibaba has already bought back some 10% of its outstanding shares, if I remember correctly.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">All else being equal, share buybacks will lead to earnings accretion and we should see a lower PE ratio.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">Paying HK$80 per share today is a better deal than paying HK$80 per share two years ago.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #660000; font-size: x-large;\"><br \/><\/span> <br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #660000; font-size: x-large;\"><br \/><\/span>  <\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">Having said this, Alibaba is a small position in my portfolio and although I could add to my position if the stock price declines another 5%, it will probably remain small.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">Why 5%?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">There is some support for a mild uptrend if we connect all the lows in its stock price seen this year.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">Even if there is another 5% decline in its stock price, this mild uptrend would still be intact.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">If the support holds, the worst could indeed be over for Alibaba.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">When a viewer asked what the stock price for Alibaba is going to be like in future, I said I didn&#8217;t know how the price is going to move.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">However, I know that the 13 years median PE ratio is about 30x which means that if Mr. Market decides to like Alibaba again, all else being equal, its stock price could double from here.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">Well, I wouldn&#8217;t hold my breath.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">Undervalued can stay undervalued for a long time and it certainly seems to be the case for Alibaba.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">Whether stocks or socks, just like Warren Buffett, I like to buy when they are marked down.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><b style=\"background-color: #fff2cc;\">Merry Christmas!<\/b><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><b>Related post:<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/singaporeanstocksinvestor.blogspot.com\/2022\/06\/wilmar-international-free-stuff-with.html\" target=\"_blank\">Wilmar: Free stuff!<\/a><\/b><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #660000; font-size: x-large;\"><br \/><\/span> <br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #660000; font-size: x-large;\"><br \/><\/span>  <\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Quite a few readers and viewers have been asking me on and off this year whether I was adding to my investment in Wilmar. I think more people asked me when Wilmar&#8217;s stock price went down to $3.20 and $3.10 per share. I kept saying that I was waiting for $3.00 per share. Briefly in [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":128556,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[96],"tags":[9958,11198,56155],"dealstore":[],"offerexpiration":[],"class_list":["post-128555","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-investing","tag-alibaba","tag-share","tag-wilmar"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Wilmar at $3.00 per share. 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