{"id":106876,"date":"2025-02-24T10:12:41","date_gmt":"2025-02-24T10:12:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/peraltafinancing.com\/business\/investing\/stock-market-outlook-february-23-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-02-24T10:12:41","modified_gmt":"2025-02-24T10:12:41","slug":"stock-market-outlook-february-23-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=106876","title":{"rendered":"Stock Market Outlook \u2013 February 23 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p><strong>Stock Market Outlook entering the Week of February 23rd = <span style=\"color: #008000\">Uptrend<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>ADX Directional Indicators: <strong><span style=\"color: #ff0000\">Downtrend<\/span><\/strong><\/li>\n<li>Institutional Activity (Price &amp; Volume): <strong><span style=\"color: #ff6600\">Mixed<\/span><\/strong><\/li>\n<li>On Balance Volume Indicator: <strong><span style=\"color: #008000\">Uptrend<\/span><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline\"><strong>ANALYSIS<\/strong><\/span><br \/>The stock market outlook remains in an uptrend, although Friday\u2019s sell-off damaged bullish sentiment.<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"http:\/\/schrts.co\/MAZBdHHC\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">S&amp;P500 ( <em>$SPX<\/em> )<\/a> fell 1.7% last week.\u00a0 The index is at the 50-day moving average and ~6% above the 200-day moving average.<\/p>\n<div data-shortcode=\"caption\" id=\"attachment_8708\" style=\"width: 650px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-8708\" data-attachment-id=\"8708\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/2025\/02\/23\/stock-market-outlook-february-23-2025\/2025-02-23-spx_trendline_analysis-daily\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/2025-02-23-spx_trendline_analysis-daily.png\" data-orig-size=\"1329,990\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"2025-02-23-SPX_Trendline_Analysis-Daily\" data-image-description=\"&lt;p&gt;Stock chart with trendlines, volume, ADX, and OBV for daily SPX prices&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;SPX Price &amp; Volume Chart for Feb 23 2025&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/2025-02-23-spx_trendline_analysis-daily.png?w=300\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/2025-02-23-spx_trendline_analysis-daily.png?w=640\" class=\"size-large wp-image-8708\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/2025-02-23-spx_trendline_analysis-daily.png?w=640\" alt=\"Technical analysis of daily SPX prices\" width=\"640\" height=\"477\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-8708\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">SPX Price &amp; Volume Chart for Feb 23 2025<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>The ADX filled back to a downtrend during Friday\u2019s sell-off.\u00a0 Institutional activity moved to mixed, since the index retreated to the 50-day.\u00a0 Distribution days are elevated, but not in the danger zone\u2026yet.<\/p>\n<div data-shortcode=\"caption\" id=\"attachment_8709\" style=\"width: 650px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-8709\" data-attachment-id=\"8709\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/2025\/02\/23\/stock-market-outlook-february-23-2025\/2025-02-23-sector_performance_analysis\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/2025-02-23-sector_performance_analysis.png\" data-orig-size=\"1327,949\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"2025-02-23-Sector_Performance_Analysis\" data-image-description=\"&lt;p&gt;Data table with weekly returns for each S&amp;P500 Sector ETF&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;S&amp;P Sector Performance for Week 08 of 2025&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/2025-02-23-sector_performance_analysis.png?w=300\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/2025-02-23-sector_performance_analysis.png?w=640\" class=\"size-large wp-image-8709\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/2025-02-23-sector_performance_analysis.png?w=640\" alt=\"Weekly price performance of S&amp;P500 sector ETFs\" width=\"640\" height=\"458\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-8709\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">S&amp;P Sector Performance for Week 08 of 2025<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>The Energy sector <em>( $XLE )<\/em> provided shelter from the selloff, leading all sectors higher last week while upshifting to a bullish bias.\u00a0 Consumer Discretionary <em>( $XLY )<\/em> was the worst performer and moved from neutral to bearish bias along with Industrials.\u00a0 Materials ( <em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sectorspdrs.com\/mainfund\/xlb\">$XLB<\/a><\/em> ) and Technology <em>( <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sectorspdrs.com\/mainfund\/xlk\">$XLK<\/a> ) <\/em> moved back to neutral bias.<\/p>\n<div data-shortcode=\"caption\" id=\"attachment_8711\" style=\"width: 650px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-8711\" data-attachment-id=\"8711\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/2025\/02\/23\/stock-market-outlook-february-23-2025\/2025-02-23-style_performance_analysis\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/2025-02-23-style_performance_analysis.png\" data-orig-size=\"1321,956\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"2025-02-23-Style_Performance_Analysis\" data-image-description=\"&lt;p&gt;Data table with weekly returns for each investing style&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;Sector Style Performance for Week 08 of 2025&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/2025-02-23-style_performance_analysis.png?w=300\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/2025-02-23-style_performance_analysis.png?w=640\" class=\"size-large wp-image-8711\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/2025-02-23-style_performance_analysis.png?w=640\" alt=\"Weekly price performance by sector style\" width=\"640\" height=\"463\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-8711\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Sector Style Performance for Week 08 of 2025<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>High Dividend <em>( $MTUM )<\/em> was the best performer last week; Small Cap Growth <em>( $IWO )<\/em> was the worst.<\/p>\n<p>Quality <em>( $QUAL )<\/em> moved back to neutral bias, High Dividend <em>( $SPHD )<\/em> moved to bullish bias, and High Beta <em>( $SPHB )<\/em>, Large Cap Growth <em>( $IWF )<\/em>, Mid Cap Value <em>( $IJJ )<\/em>, and Defensive <em>( $POWA )<\/em> moved to bearish.<\/p>\n<div data-shortcode=\"caption\" id=\"attachment_8712\" style=\"width: 650px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-8712\" data-attachment-id=\"8712\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/2025\/02\/23\/stock-market-outlook-february-23-2025\/2025-02-23-asset_class_performance\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/2025-02-23-asset_class_performance.png\" data-orig-size=\"1327,704\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"2025-02-23-Asset_Class_Performance\" data-image-description=\"&lt;p&gt;Data table with weekly returns for various asset classes&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;Asset Class Performance for Week 08 2025&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/2025-02-23-asset_class_performance.png?w=300\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/2025-02-23-asset_class_performance.png?w=640\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-large wp-image-8712\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/2025-02-23-asset_class_performance.png?w=640\" alt=\"Weekly price performance by asset class\" width=\"640\" height=\"340\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-8712\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Asset Class Performance for Week 08 2025<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>U.S. Bonds outperformed last week, indicating a flight to safety for some investors.\u00a0 The increase pushed bonds back to a bullish bias. On the downside, U.S. equities, Oil, and Bitcoin <em>( <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ishares.com\/us\/products\/333011\/ishares-bitcoin-trust-etf\">$IBIT<\/a> )<\/em> all fought for last place, with equities and oil falling to bearish and neutral bias, respectively.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline\"><strong>COMMENTARY<\/strong><\/span><br \/>You probably noticed that our bias indicator is swinging back and forth between bullish and bearish, much like the ADX.\u00a0 Whipsaws are a feature of all signal-based processes, not a bug.\u00a0 Shorter timeframes tend to flip more often than longer timeframes, but it can lower your level of confidence regardless.\u00a0 That\u2019s why it\u2019s important to confirm any signal with some other \u201ctest\u201d, rather than trying to guess when prices will bottom or top.<\/p>\n<p>Typically, a shift in bias indicates a change portfolio allocations and risk management strategies used by institutional investors <em>( i.e. the big money )<\/em>.\u00a0 They can adjust many aspects of their holdings, including exposure to asset classes, sectors, styles, and\/or strategies.<\/p>\n<p>Right now, a change in capital flows isn\u2019t surprising, given the new political agenda within the United States.\u00a0 Some actions create higher uncertainty <em>( risk )<\/em>, others re-prioritize investment theses <em>( e.g. green energy )<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>Don\u2019t underestimate the impact of corporate capital expenditures, particularly in the Ai-related areas.\u00a0 Many companies are wrestling with the implications of innovations like DeepSeek Ai, which could ripple through the semiconductor value chain.<\/p>\n<p>Speaking of semiconductors, all eyes are on Nvidia <em>( $NVDA )<\/em> earnings this week, to be released Wednesday after market close.\u00a0 We also get Durable Goods orders and the 2nd Q4 GDP estimate on Thursday, as well as the latest PCE inflation data on Friday.<\/p>\n<p>Best to Your Week!<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><strong><em>P.S. If you find this research helpful, please tell a friend.<br \/>If you don\u2019t, tell an enemy.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<h6>Sources: Bloomberg, CNBC, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Hedgeye, Stockcharts.com, TradingEconomics.com, U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics<\/h6>\n<hr\/>\n<h6>Invest Safely, LLC is an independent investment research and online financial media company.\u00a0 Use of Invest Safely, LLC and any other products available through invest-safely.com is subject to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy.<\/h6>\n<h6>Not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.<\/h6>\n<\/p><\/div>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Stock Market Outlook entering the Week of February 23rd = Uptrend ADX Directional Indicators: Downtrend Institutional Activity (Price &amp; Volume): Mixed On Balance Volume Indicator: Uptrend ANALYSISThe stock market outlook remains in an uptrend, although Friday\u2019s sell-off damaged bullish sentiment. The S&amp;P500 ( $SPX ) fell 1.7% last week.\u00a0 The index is at the 50-day [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":106878,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[96],"tags":[3843,11209,12752,3310],"dealstore":[],"offerexpiration":[],"class_list":["post-106876","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-investing","tag-february","tag-market","tag-outlook","tag-stock"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Stock Market Outlook \u2013 February 23 2025 - Som2ny Network<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=106876\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Stock Market Outlook \u2013 February 23 2025 - Som2ny Network\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Stock Market Outlook entering the Week of February 23rd = Uptrend ADX Directional Indicators: Downtrend Institutional Activity (Price &amp; Volume): Mixed On Balance Volume Indicator: Uptrend ANALYSISThe stock market outlook remains in an uptrend, although Friday\u2019s sell-off damaged bullish sentiment. The S&amp;P500 ( $SPX ) fell 1.7% last week.\u00a0 The index is at the 50-day [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=106876\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Som2ny Network\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-02-24T10:12:41+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/2025-02-23-spx_trendline_analysis-daily.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"639\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"476\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=106876#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=106876\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/b85e3c3dc0e1daea076524dc8810c371\"},\"headline\":\"Stock Market Outlook \u2013 February 23 2025\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-02-24T10:12:41+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=106876\"},\"wordCount\":595,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=106876#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/2025-02-23-spx_trendline_analysis-daily.png\",\"keywords\":[\"February\",\"Market\",\"Outlook\",\"STOCK\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Investing\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=106876#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=106876\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=106876\",\"name\":\"Stock Market Outlook \u2013 February 23 2025 - 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Som2ny Network","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=106876","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Stock Market Outlook \u2013 February 23 2025 - Som2ny Network","og_description":"Stock Market Outlook entering the Week of February 23rd = Uptrend ADX Directional Indicators: Downtrend Institutional Activity (Price &amp; Volume): Mixed On Balance Volume Indicator: Uptrend ANALYSISThe stock market outlook remains in an uptrend, although Friday\u2019s sell-off damaged bullish sentiment. The S&amp;P500 ( $SPX ) fell 1.7% last week.\u00a0 The index is at the 50-day [&hellip;]","og_url":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=106876","og_site_name":"Som2ny Network","article_published_time":"2025-02-24T10:12:41+00:00","og_image":[{"width":639,"height":476,"url":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/2025-02-23-spx_trendline_analysis-daily.png","type":"image\/png"}],"author":"admin","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"admin","Est. reading time":"3 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=106876#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=106876"},"author":{"name":"admin","@id":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/b85e3c3dc0e1daea076524dc8810c371"},"headline":"Stock Market Outlook \u2013 February 23 2025","datePublished":"2025-02-24T10:12:41+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=106876"},"wordCount":595,"commentCount":0,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=106876#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/2025-02-23-spx_trendline_analysis-daily.png","keywords":["February","Market","Outlook","STOCK"],"articleSection":["Investing"],"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=106876#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=106876","url":"https:\/\/fivemor.com\/?p=106876","name":"Stock Market Outlook \u2013 February 23 2025 - 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